Japan Five-Year Bond Sale Draws Weakest Demand Ratio Since 2020
The average bid-to-cover ratio was 2.96, compared with with 3.54 at the prior sale and the 12-month average of 3.74.
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Yahoo
4 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Data Points to Solid U.S. Retail Spending. But There Are Plenty of Troubling Signs.
Key Takeaways July reversed a decline in month-to-month retail spending, with sales rising 1.5%, according to the National Retail Federation. The trade group and analysts from Bank of America said the number may be benefitting from temporary factors, such as back-to-school spending and Prime Day. Investors will get fresh insight on Friday, when the federal government is slated to release its retail data. Retail spending was solid in July, according to new data. But will it be enough to quell concerns about tariffs and inflation? Retail sales, exclusive of car and gas spending, rose 1.5% from June to July, reversing a 0.3% decrease from May to June, the National Retail Federation said this week ahead of government retail data due Friday. Retail spending is a closely watched measure of consumer financial health; economists expect Friday's report to show July sales up 0.5% from June, according to a Wall Street Journal survey. Sales for the month rose 5.9% year-over-year, but the trade group said it was difficult to determine what drove up spending. Retail sales were relatively weak in June, NRF said, while back-to-school spending and a longer Prime Day may have inflated July's numbers, Bank of America said. Executives at a range of companies have hinted at cautious consumers during the second-quarter earnings season. Wall Street analysts have suggested that shoppers have continued to spend, but sought opportunities to trade down to cheaper versions of desired items. 'It is possible some of the increase in spending was due to retailers passing through current or prospective tariff increases onto customers,' Bank of America wrote in an analysis of credit and debit card spending in July that pointed toward a smaller increase in the number of card transactions per household than in dollars spent. Annual inflation in July was on par with the 2.7% rate reported in June, coming in just below what economists expected. Economists generally believe tariffs will lead to price increases, and potentially, spikes in inflation, though some think that companies have yet to pass along as much of the effect of tariffs to consumers as they may in the second half of the year. Cautious consumer spending has come up on a number of retailers' recent conference calls, including the outdoor gear company Yeti Holdings (YETI), the athletic apparel brand Under Armour (UA) and burger chains Jack in the Box (JACK) and McDonald's (MCD). Lower-priced store-brand products have seen more take-up lately, some grocers and food companies have said. "Guests continue to manage their check by ordering fewer beverages and appetizers as well as trading down to lower-priced items on our menus," John Peyton, CEO of the parent company of Applebee's and IHOP, Dine Brands Global (DIN), said on a recent conference call. The economic climate is hitting low-income consumers, who appear to be getting fewer hours of work while maintaining similar spending levels, harder, Bank of America said. 'The low-end consumer is a consumer that we believe is most sensitive to price increases, is most nervous, and, in some cases, is not leaving the house,' Crocs (CROX) CEO Andrew Rees said on a conference call last week, according to a transcript from AlphaSense. Read the original article on Investopedia
Yahoo
4 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Markets still expect Sept. Fed rate cut, despite hot PPI data
Even hotter-than-expected inflation data isn't rattling the market's expectation of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September. Yahoo Finance Senior Reporters Jennifer Schonberger and Allie Canal outline the latest. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. What's also interesting, Jen, is we're not seeing, uh, at least fed funds futures budge that much this morning. That is not the sum total of of inflation expect of, uh, interest rate expectations, but it is a snapshot. Yeah, it is interesting that we're holding at 90% plus and above. Um, but again, I think it's almost like the market's trying to force the Fed's hand, and we do know there's volatility in these reports. So we'll have to see. We're going to get another CPI. We're going to get another PPI before September. But I think also, I'm reading this morning that you didn't just see the good side of PPI pop up, you saw the services side as well. And, uh, we heard from Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee yesterday, and when he talked about the CPI number, he said what concerned him about that was that services increased. So if we are seeing inflation increase, not just on the goods side, but on the services side, that's going to be concerning for the Fed. They're going to need to see more reports, right, before they make any determination on that. But if it's clear that inflation is not staying in the goods lane, and it's spilling over to services, which is what the Fed was concerned about before, we saw inflation coming down before this recent rout popping back up, then that's something to look for. Um, and Ali, you know, of course, it's not just fed funds futures. We can look across the spectrum, and we definitely saw stocks react negatively to this. Yeah, stock futures falling across the board here. And it is interesting to see those fed fund futures, uh, still hovering around that 95% when it comes to expectations for rate cuts in September, cuz normally that's correlated to what we see in the stock market. I'm looking at bond yields right now, too. And the 10-year yield is still low, hovering around 4.2%. So we're not seeing this, uh, massive recalibration of rate cut expectations, but we do have a wide range of dispersion when it comes to what Wall Street thinks is going to happen, when it comes to what actual FOMC officials think could happen. And that's because, as Jed was Jen was alluding to, the Fed is really caught between its two dual mandates. And even though we did have a better than feared CPI print, let's not forget that core services did firm up. And that's what I've been hearing from my sources is the fact that we have services inflation that's now firmer. That can offset any increases we see on the good side due to tariffs. And like you were saying, Julie, we have heard from businesses throughout this earning season that they're absorbing a lot of these costs. But from the early commentary on Wall Street, that's only going to last so long, and eventually that has to get passed on to the consumer price index and to, uh, our actual wallets. So that's something to look out for in the fall, and even into 2026, because that's what economists have been telling us. We're not going to see this tariff pass through right away. It's going to take a longer time. And I think markets got a little too excited after that CPI report the other day that maybe we won't see that impact fully materialize. I just, I just think from this hotter PPI print that might not be a reality.
Bloomberg
6 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Rogers to Sell Nine Data Centers to Sun Life-Owned Asset Manager
By Rogers Communications Inc. will sell a portfolio of nine data centers to infrastructure asset manager InfraRed Capital Partners to help pay down debt. The Toronto-based telecommunications firm, which announced the deal in a statement Thursday, did not disclose financial terms. A spokesperson for InfraRed Capital, part of the asset management business of Sun Life Financial, also declined to comment on the transaction's value.
