2025 Wimbledon predictions, odds: Best bets, picks
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.
The oddsmakers believe that the men's side of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships is a two-horse race between Jannik Sinner and two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz.
Less than a month removed from their five-set thriller in the French Open final, Alcaraz, who won that match, is a +110 favorite to win his third Wimbledon title in as many years, and Sinner is right behind him at +200.
Novak Djokovic is also getting plenty of respect as the third choice at +650, but it's pretty clear who everybody expects to meet in the finals at the All England Club in two weeks.
It'll take a gargantuan effort to upset Alcaraz, Sinner and, to a lesser extent, Djokovic, but there are a few players being offered at tempting prices for the third Grand Slam of the 2025 season.
Daniil Medvedev to win (40/1, FanDuel)
Things have not come easily for Medvedev this season, but the 2021 U.S. Open champion should be buoyant heading into Wimbledon.
Not only does he have back-to-back trips to the semifinals at the All England Club, but he's coming into the fortnight in decent form, and he should benefit from a soft draw.
Medvedev is the second favorite to win Quarter 2, just behind Alexander Zverev and in front of Taylor Fritz. This is easily the softest quadrant of the tournament. Medvedev has battled injuries for the better part of a year now, but his performance on the grass at Halle suggests he's fully fit and firing. The Russian made it to the finals of that 500-level tournament, dispatching Zverev along the way.
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
There are very few players outside of Alcaraz, Sinner and Djokovic who make a compelling argument, but Medvedev belongs in that cohort, and you're getting him at a terrific number.
Tommy Paul to win (110/1, FanDuel)
Paul is suited for best-of-five tennis. A relentless competitor, Paul is tough to put away, and he's able to raise his level against the best players. He's yet to have a breakthrough moment at a Grand Slam, but he did win a title on the grass last year, he is a former semifinalist at the Australian Open, and he was a quarterfinalist at Wimbledon in 2024.
The New Jersey native is in the same section as Sinner, but his first three matches should be very manageable, so it's worth backing him at this massive number.
Tommy Paul
Getty Images
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win (420/1, FanDuel)
Wimbledon is its own beast. Not only because it's played on grass, but also because there really is no warmup season for the third Grand Slam of the year, which is played just weeks after the French Open.
That means we have to use our imagination a bit more when handicapping Wimbledon, especially when it comes to predicting potential dark horses.
Mpetshi Perricard stands out for two reasons at this price: His serve and his path.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Getty Images
According to the ATP, Mpetshi Perricard has the second-highest serve rating on tour behind only Fritz. As fate would have it, the Frenchman is playing Fritz in Round 1 of Wimbledon and is a +280 underdog for the match.
And though there is certainly a sizable risk that Mpetshi Perricard doesn't even get out of Round 1, if he does upset Fritz, his path completely opens up until a potential showdown with Medvedev in the Round of 16.
It's not all that uncommon for a player to serve his way to a surprising run at Wimbledon (Christopher Eubanks did it a couple of years ago), and Mpetshi Perricard is my pick to do that this year.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
San Francisco Chronicle
15 minutes ago
- San Francisco Chronicle
Potgieter wins a playoff in Detroit for first PGA Tour win. Harrington wins another Senior Open
DETROIT (AP) — Aldrich Potgieter made an 18-foot birdie putt on the fifth playoff hole, outlasting Max Greyserman to win the Rocket Classic on Sunday for his first PGA Tour title. The 20-year-old from South Africa is the youngest player on the tour and its biggest hitter. He became the ninth player to win for the first time this season. Chris Kirk, who closed with a 5-under 67, missed a 9-foot putt for the win on the first playoff hole and was eliminated on the second extra hole when he missed a 4-foot par putt. Greyserman missed a 12-foot birdie putt on the 18th hole in regulation, missing his chance to win and closing with a 67. Potgieter, who started with a two-shot lead, shot 69 to join Kirk at 22-under 266. Michael Thorbjornsen (67) and Jake Knapp (68) finished a stroke out of the playoff. USGA and PGA Tour Champions COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. (AP) — Padraig Harrington came out on top of a major championship that felt more like match play, closing his round with seven straight pars at the U.S. Senior Open for a 3-under 67 to beat Stewart Cink by one shot. Playing alongside Cink for the fourth straight day, Harrington finished at 11-under 269 on the tricky, heavily sloping Broadmoor. The Irishman sealed this match by hitting his approach to 8 feet on No. 18, putting pressure on Cink, who trailed by one but sat 30 yards in front of him on the fairway. Cink's approach landed on the precipice of a ledge, but spun back to 35 feet away to set up a two-putt. Harrington took two putts for the win, his second U.S. Senior Open title in four years that gets him in the U.S. Open next year at Shinnecock Hills. LIV Golf League CARROLLTON, Texas (AP) — Patrick Reed lost the lead with a 3-over 75 and then atoned for it by making a 15-foot birdie putt on the first hole of a four-man playoff to win LIV Golf Dallas, his first title since joining the Saudi-funded league in 2022. Reed, who started the final round with a three-shot lead, fell behind late in the day at Maridoe Golf Club until Jinichiro Kozuma made bogey on the 18th hole and then made par on his final hole at No. 1 for a 68. That got him into a playoff with Reed, Louis Oosthuizen (68) and Paul Casey (72). On the first extra hole, Oosthuizen drove into the water and Casey took four shots to reach the green on the par-4 18th. Kozuma missed his 25-foot birdie try, setting the stage for Reed. Jon Rahm finished out of the top 10 for the first time in LIV, while Sergio Garcia claimed the one LIV spot for the British Open. LPGA Tour MIDLAND, Mich. (AP) — Somi Lee poured in an 8-foot birdie putt on the first playoff hole to team with fellow South Korean Jin Hee Im to win the Dow Championship, denying Lexi Thompson her first LPGA title in six years. Thompson's partner, Megan Khang, had a chance to extend the playoff, but she missed a 5-foot birdie putt that was on the low side of the hole from the start. The final round was fourballs, but switched to foursomes for the playoff. Thompson made an 8-foot birdie putt on the par-3 18th hole for the American duo to finish with a 10-under 60 in fourballs. They were the first to post at 20-under 260. Lee made a 10-foot birdie putt to tie for the lead on the 17th. They shot 62. European Tour TUSCANY, Italy (AP) — Adrien Saddier claimed his first European tour title in his 200th start with a back-nine charge in the Italian Open, closing with a 4-under 66 for a two-shot victory over Martin Couvra. Couvra, the 54-hole leader, closed with a 69 and appeared headed for victory until Saddier had five birdies over the final seven holes at the Argentario Golf Club on the Tuscan coast. Saddier and Couvra earned places in the British Open field at Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland next month. Calum Hill of Scotland and Dan Bradbury of England finished tied for third, four strokes behind. Korn Ferry Tour SPRINGFIELD, Ill. (AP) — Austin Smotherman holed out for eagle to take the lead for the first time and closed with an 8-under 63 for a one-shot victory over Alvaro Ortiz in the Memorial Health Championship. It was the second Korn Ferry Tour victory this year for Smotherman, who moved to No. 1 on the points list and is virtually certain of returning to the PGA Tour next year. Ortiz began had a four-shot lead going into the final round and his lead was down to one when he bogeyed the 11th hole. Smotherman followed by holing out for eagle on the 408-yard 12th hole. Both player made birdie on the par 5s coming in and Smotherman held on for the win. Sandy Scott shot 60, with pars on the last two holes, to tie for third. Other tours Jillian Hollis rallied from a three-shot deficit with a 4-under 68 and a one-shot victory over Kelli Ann Strand in the Otter Creek Championship on the Epson Tour. ...Tatsunori Shogenji closed with a 6-under 65 for a one-shot victory over Ryuichi Oiwa (62) in the Japan Players Championship, his second Japan Golf Tour victory this year. ... Shannon Tan of Singapore captured her second Ladies European Tour title with a 5-under 68 and a one-shot victory over Helen Briem of Germany in the Amundi German Masters. ... David Horsey birdied the final hole for a 3-under 69, and then made birdie again to win a four-man playoff against James Allan, Joseba Torres and Daniel Young in Le Vaudreuil Golf Challenge in France. ... Shuri Sakuma closed with a 2-under 70 and won the Earth Mondahmin Cup by one shot over Nana Suganuma on the Japan LPGA. ... Jiu Ko closed with a 5-under 67 to hold off Hyungjo Yoo (62) for a two-shot victory in the McCol-Mona Youngpyong Open on the Korea LPGA.
Boston Globe
17 minutes ago
- Boston Globe
Carlos Alcaraz seeking third straight Wimbledon title and sixth major
That's something only four men have achieved in the Open era, which began in 1968: Bjorn Borg, Pete Sampras, Roger Federer, and Novak Djokovic. Not bad company. Alcaraz is 5-0 in Grand Slam finals, which includes going 2-0 at the French Open — which he won three weeks ago via a comeback from two sets down against No. 1 Jannik Sinner in the final — and 1-0 at the US Open. Advertisement Last year, the No. 2-ranked Alcaraz became the youngest man to win a major trophy on each surface: grass, clay, and hard courts. Get Starting Point A guide through the most important stories of the morning, delivered Monday through Friday. Enter Email Sign Up But he's got a fondness for the green stuff. 'The most beautiful tennis that we can watch is on grass. The style that the people bring to the court when they play on grass . . . The sound of the ball,' said Alcaraz, who will go into Monday on a career-best 18-match winning streak, including a title at the Queen's Club tournament last weekend. 'The movement is really tough, but when you get it, it's kind of [as though] you're flying.' He loves that it allows him to show off the variety in his game and all of the skills he possesses. Advertisement Few players smile as much as Alcaraz does while in the thick of things, no matter what challenges might be presented by the foe across the net or the tension of the moment. He is as creative as it gets with a racket in hand, sometimes to his own detriment, and admits enjoying seeing replays on arena video screens after some of his best deliveries. 'I really want to hit slices, drop shots, going to the net all the time, playing aggressively,' said Alcaraz, who said he lost to two-time Wimbledon champion Andy Murray during a round of golf early in the week. 'I think on grass it's the style that you have to play, so that's what I like the most.' Other Grand Slam champions in action on Day 1 — when the temperature is expected to be around 90 degrees — include No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka against Carson Branstine, a qualifier making her Grand Slam debut; No. 6 Madison Keys, the Australian Open champion in January, against Elena-Gabriela Ruse; 2023 Wimbledon winner Marketa Vondrousova against No. 32 McCartney Kessler; and 2021 US Open champ Daniil Medvedev against Benjamin Bonzi. Others in action: 2024 Wimbledon runner-up Jasmine Paolini, 2024 US Open runner-up Taylor Fritz, and three-time major finalist Alexander Zverev. It's instructive to hear what Djokovic had to say about Alcaraz after a straight-set loss in last year's final. 'He just was better than me in every aspect of the game,' Djokovic said. 'In movement, in the way he was just striking the ball beautifully, serving great. Everything.' Those words carry weight. Djokovic has won seven of his men's-record 24 Grand Slam trophies at Wimbledon but was the runner-up to Alcaraz in 2023 and 2024. Advertisement When it comes to the idea of joining an elite group by completing a three-peat in two weeks' time, Alcaraz insisted that isn't the sort of thing he really cares about or spends time considering. He wants the title, yes. But where it would place him in history? Leave that to others. 'I really want to lift the trophy,' Alcaraz said. 'But right now, I'm not thinking about who I could join if I win three Wimbledons in a row.'
USA Today
29 minutes ago
- USA Today
The Rocket Classic will have a new spot on the PGA Tour schedule in 2026
The Rocket Classic is getting a new tee time in 2026. While the full PGA Tour schedule has yet to be released, the Rocket Classic will be moving back in the schedule. The new dates of July 30-Aug. 2 will push the tournament after the British Open, which is scheduled for July 16-19 at Royal Birkdale next year. The new dates, announced during the Sunday, June 29, final round, works well for both tournament and club. Tournament organizers have long struggled to attract the most popular golfers to the event. Part of that is the tournament is not a 'signature' event on the tour, a status that is unlikely to change anytime soon due to cost. But it was also partly because of its position on the schedule, where it is preceded by the U.S. Open and the Travelers Championship (a signature event) and succeeded by the Scottish Open, all events with much bigger purses than the Rocket. This combination has resulted in many top golfers choosing to skip the event to rest and prepare for the bigger events, which has in turn made Detroit a less prestigious tournament to the chagrin of its organizers. With the new late July/early August date, golfers who are near the cut line of the FedEx Cup playoffs may choose to play the tournament, which will strengthen the field. For the club, the new dates will allow them to complete renovations on the course. Detroit Golf Club plans to spend $16.1 million dollars renovating greens and bunkers as well as removing the pond on the 14th hole. The course will also be lengthened by 300 yards. With the extra weeks, the course will have more time to mature and will thus play faster, which both the golfers and the PGA Tour like. The movement of the tournament also means that it may be more likely to stay in Detroit. The organizers' unhappiness with the position on the schedule has long been a sticking point, and the Classic is only under contract through 2026, though there is an option for Rocket Companies to extend through 2027. Getting a new date and increasing the strength of the field will likely help the tournament remain in Detroit.
