BNP Paribas' Debbas: Volatility to Remain High
The unpredictable nature of Trump's actions is leading to a 'crisis of confidence' among investors says Georges Debbas, Head of European Equity & Derivatives Strategy at BNP Paribas Markets 360. As a result, the S&P has downgraded to an extent not seen since Black Monday, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the outbreak of Covid. Georges spoke to Anna Edwards, Kriti Gupta, and Guy Johnson on 'Bloomberg: The Opening Trade'.
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CNBC
39 minutes ago
- CNBC
Boeing trims projection for 20-year jet demand
Boeing expects global demand for air travel to increase by more than 40% by 2030, driving the need for thousands of new jetliners in the next few years, according to its 20-year demand forecast for commercial airliners released Sunday ahead of the Paris Airshow. The company expects demand for 43,600 new airliners through 2044. That is essentially the same as last year's edition, which projected demand for 43,975 new deliveries through 2043. European rival Airbus last week revised up its own 20-year commercial demand forecast by 2% to 43,420 jets, saying the air transport industry was expected to ride out current trade tensions. Boeing's delivery projection includes nearly 33,300 single-aisle airliners, just over 7,800 widebody jets, 955 factory-built freighters and 1,545 regional jets. Single-aisle jets include the 737 MAX and competitor Airbus's A320neo family and make up roughly four of every five deliveries now. While Boeing's deliveries projection is roughly the same, it pared down its 20-year forecast for passenger traffic growth from 4.7% in last year's outlook to 4.2% this year. Likewise, it lowered its global economic growth forecast from 2.6% to 2.3%, cargo traffic growth from 4.1% to 3.7% and fleet growth from 3.2% to 3.1%. Despite the lower projection for cargo traffic, Boeing Vice President of Commercial Marketing Darren Hulst told reporters in a briefing that trade volatility is not expected to significantly shift long-term demand. "I think we need to point back to the perspective that the last 20, 40, 60 years have given us in terms of the value of air cargo, and the fact that it's roughly a 4% growth market through all this time," he said. Since Covid-19, air travel demand has bounced back, but airplane production is only half or even less than what it was before the pandemic, resulting in a shortage of 1,500 to 2,000 airliners, he said. Both Airbus and Boeing have struggled to return aircraft production to pre-pandemic levels. Boeing has been dealing with production safety concerns following a 2024 mid-air blowout of a panel on a nearly new Alaska Airlines 737 Max. As a result, the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration capped 737 production at 38 airplanes a month. Boeing has significantly improved production quality in recent months, but the crash of an Air India Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner on Thursday put it back in crisis mode. CEO Kelly Ortberg cancelled his plans to attend the Paris Airshow in order to assist with the crash investigation. Global air travel is projected to increase by more than 40% by 2030, compared to the pre-pandemic high, according to the forecast. During the next 20 years, Boeing expects about 51% of demand for new aircraft to come from growth rather than replacing older airplanes. China and South/Southeast Asia, which includes India, are expected to account for half of that additional capacity, according to the outlook. North America and Eurasia account for more than half of projected deliveries for replacing older aircraft. China makes up an estimated 10% of Boeing's existing order backlog. The country paused taking delivery of new Boeing aircraft as China and the U.S. clashed over tariffs. However, deliveries are expected to resume this month, Ortberg said in May during an investors conference.
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
The "Magnificent Seven" Are Still Growing Faster Than the Rest of the S&P 500. Here's When That Could Change, According to Wall Street Analysts.
The "Magnificent Seven" produced far better earnings growth than the rest of the market in the first quarter. Amazon and Alphabet were the biggest contributors to the outperformance. Investors will have to consider valuation as the rest of the market catches up with the Magnificent Seven. 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia › The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has produced phenomenal returns over the last two and a half years since the bottom of the 2022 bear market. The index is up nearly 70% since Oct. 2022, but much of that gain has been driven by just a handful of stocks. The "Magnificent Seven" have, for the most part, outperformed the benchmark over that period, and there's a clear reason why. As a group, the Magnificent Seven have produced much better earnings growth than the rest of the S&P 500. Not only that, they've consistently beaten high earnings expectations. That trend continued in the first quarter, but analysts are starting to think their phenomenal run of outperforming everything else in the market may come to an end soon. Here's what investors need to know. After Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) released its quarterly earnings on May 28, FactSet reported the Magnificent Seven grew earnings 27.7% in aggregate. That massively outperformed analysts' expectations of 16.0% earnings growth for the group. Here's how it breaks down: Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN): $1.59 earnings per share (EPS) vs. $1.36 expected, up 62% year over year. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL): $2.81 EPS vs. $2.01 expected, up 49% year over year. Meta Platforms: $6.43 EPS vs. $5.22 expected, up 37% year over year. Nvidia: $0.81 EPS vs. $0.75 expected, up 33% year over year. Microsoft: $3.46 EPS vs. $3.22 expected, up 18% year over year. Apple: $1.65 EPS vs. $1.62 expected, up 8% year over year. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA): $0.27 EPS vs. $0.41 expected, down 40% year over year. Six out of the seven outperformed expectations, and five of them grew earnings faster than the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 (9.4%). But as you can see, the level of outperformance and year-over-year growth varies widely from company to company. The weakest showing was most obviously from Tesla, which has suffered from political backlash against CEO Elon Musk, combined with rising competition from Chinese automaker BYD. As a result, deliveries dropped 13% year over year in the first quarter while average selling price also declined. The company's ramp-up in AI spending to support its forthcoming autonomous vehicle efforts also weighed on earnings results. On the other side of the spectrum, Amazon and Alphabet exhibited impressive earnings growth on the back of their cloud-computing businesses. Amazon Web Services grew sales 17% year over year, while its margin expanded to 39.5% (up from 37.6% a year ago). Google Cloud grew sales 28% with its operating margin expanding to 17.8% from 9.4% a year ago. The high-margin Google advertising business continued to produce strong growth as well. Nvidia felt the pain of restrictions on sales of its GPUs to China, but the company still managed to produce very strong earnings growth last quarter. Without the impact of the write-off in excess inventory and purchase obligations of its H20 GPUs designed for China and the related tax impact, earnings growth would have been 57% . Though Tesla is the only one showing weakness at the moment, the rest of the group's outperformance isn't going to last forever. While analysts expect the group to continue beating the rest of the market in terms of earnings growth through the end of 2025, difficult comparisons and better performance among the rest of the stocks in the S&P 500 could present a challenge for 2026. As such, analysts currently forecast first-quarter 2026 earnings growth of 10.2% for the Magnificent Seven as a group, but the rest of the 493 companies will generate an average of 10.3% earnings growth. That forecast has some important implications for investors, even if it ultimately proves inaccurate (as is almost always the case for forecasts a year out). The first is investors will need to be more discriminating among the seven stocks going forward. We've already seen Tesla stock falter, and Apple, despite beating expectations, has seen its stock hit hard by tariff pressure. Even if investors expect strong results from one of the businesses going forward, valuation will matter more as earnings growth slows down. Alphabet is currently the only member of the group with a forward price-to-earnings ratio below 25 (it sports an extremely attractive 18.5x multiple). The second is that there may be a lot more growth opportunities among the smaller members of the S&P 500. While analysts expect growth for the group to continue trailing the Magnificent Seven through the end of the year, that won't be true of every company. It's possible to find those companies trading at a fair value despite strong growth prospects outside of the Magnificent Seven. Another option is to buy an equal-weight S&P 500 index fund like the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEMKT: RSP). The fund invests evenly across all 500 constituents of the S&P 500, rebalancing on a quarterly basis. That ensures you capture just as much upside from smaller businesses as you do from the biggest companies in the index. As the tide turns and we start to see more parity in the market, investors should expect a stronger showing over the next year (or longer) from smaller names in the stock market. Meanwhile, many of the Magnificent Seven are starting to look expensive relative to their future earnings growth prospects as analysts' expectations come down. It may be worth selling off some to invest in new opportunities. Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $653,702!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $870,207!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 988% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 172% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join . See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 9, 2025 John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Adam Levy has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends BYD Company and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. The "Magnificent Seven" Are Still Growing Faster Than the Rest of the S&P 500. Here's When That Could Change, According to Wall Street Analysts. was originally published by The Motley Fool
Wall Street Journal
2 hours ago
- Wall Street Journal
Trump Disclosure Shows $57 Million in Earnings From Early Crypto Push
President Trump earned around $57 million from his stake in a family-backed cryptocurrency firm last year, according to a new financial disclosure form, showing the early returns on a burgeoning digital-asset empire. Trump's annual financial disclosure, released by the Office of Government Ethics, reveals his vast and varied income streams and holdings, covering everything from golf resorts to merchandising deals to stock investments in such companies as Apple and Berkshire Hathaway.
