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US retail sales rise despite tariffs

US retail sales rise despite tariffs

Daily Mail​6 hours ago
Published: | Updated:
However, a softening labor market and higher goods prices could curb growth in consumer spending in the third quarter. Retail sales rose 0.5 percent last month after an upwardly revised 0.9 percent gain in June, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast that retail sales, which are mostly goods and not adjusted for inflation, would advance 0.5 percent after a previously reported 0.6 percent rise in June . 'July's retail sales figures weren't necessarily a blowout, with headline figures missing expectations,' Bret Kenwell, a US investment analyst at eToro, told the Daily Mail.
'But in a world where there are plenty of macro-related worries tied to inflation and employment, consumers are still out there spending.' Part of the rise in retail sales last month could be due to tariff-driven price increases rather than volumes.
A rush to buy battery-powered electric vehicles ahead of the September 30 expiration of federal government tax credits helped to drive automobile sales in July, analysts at JP Morgan said. Amazon and Walmart held sales promotions last month to lure inflation-weary consumers with deep discounts, including on back-to-school essentials.
Prime Day eventually became a blockbuster for the e-commerce giant. 'This partly shows the consumer receptiveness to deals and offers, especially in an environment where there is nervousness around future price increases.' Neil Saunders, retail expert at GlobalData, told the Daily Mail.
Amazon extended its sales window to 96 hours, up from the typical 48, featuring aggressive promotions on categories ranging from apparel to electronics. But downside risks to consumer spending are steadily rising. Middle- and higher-income households are mostly driving spending.
Bank of America Institute said an analysis of deposit data showed a widening in the wage gap between lower-income and higher-income households, an indication the labor market "appears to have deteriorated most significantly for lower-income workers." It said while lower-income households might not be losing their jobs, "soft labor demand is pressuring their pay and they are potentially working fewer hours."
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