NATO's 5% target: Why Almonty Industries' mega mine and NASDAQ listing are a perfect fit for investors

The Market Online

26-06-2025

Geopolitical conflicts and trade restrictions are making it increasingly difficult to source critical raw materials. Western companies in the high-tech and defense sectors are particularly struggling with scarce supplies and increasingly stringent export controls. With NATO's new 5% defense spending target, the battle for raw materials such as tungsten, which are essential for defense equipment, is set to gain further momentum. As a result, the demand for independent suppliers and the need for reliable partners with sufficient capacity is growing. Almonty Industries has already established a unique profile as a tungsten producer, with assets ranging from mines in Europe to the upcoming commissioning of a mega deposit in South Korea. The commissioning of the Sangdong mine in South Korea and Almonty's European Operations
Almonty Industries (TSX:AII) is on the verge of starting production at its Sangdong Mine, which is set to go into operation soon. With a tungsten content significantly higher than that of many competitors and a mine life span of over 90 years, the project offers considerable cost advantages and planning security. At the same time, it is the largest tungsten mine outside China. By 2027, the Company aims to supply 43% of global supply outside China, which equates to approximately 7% of global supply.
In addition to the property in South Korea, the Panasqueira mine in Portugal, which is already in operation, continuously supplies tungsten concentrate. The Company also owns two additional tungsten properties in Spain. Development of tungsten production in Sangdong through 2027. (Source: Almonty Industries) The importance of long-term supply contracts for security of supply
In order to meet the demand of reliable end users, Almonty has entered into long-term purchase agreements with the Plansee Group. Another key factor is an exclusive agreement with a US defense company that will purchase at least 40 tons of tungsten oxide per month, which will be used in American defense systems, guaranteeing stable and predictable revenues. In addition, a separate agreement with a South Korean SpaceX supplier secures the purchase of molybdenum, which is also located on the Sangdong property, and complements the portfolio of strategic metals. The minimum price guarantees in these agreements and the open-ended purchase prices allow the Company to plan with certainty. Expansion into the US, personnel changes, and NASDAQ listing
Almonty decided at its Annual General Meeting to relocate its headquarters to the US in order to become the only major tungsten concentrate producer in North America. The US Congressional Committee acknowledged the importance of the Sangdong mine for national security in a letter, which can be seen as a clear sign of confidence. In May, the Company was invited to join the Critical Metals Forum, highlighting Almonty's relevance in this area. Alan Estevez and General Gustave Perna recently joined the Board of Directors. Estevez formerly served as US Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security, while Perna most recently commanded the US Army. Both bring extensive expertise in defense logistics and strategic procurement to the Company.
At the same time, Almonty is planning an IPO on the NASDAQ. This step aims to improve liquidity and attract institutional investors, giving them a direct stake in the expected growth.
According to Bloomberg, now is an ideal time to go public, as newly listed companies are currently experiencing the fastest share price increases in years. This year, the shares of three companies more than doubled on their first day of trading.
Several factors could significantly increase the Company's value. The NATO target of 5% of gross domestic product for defense spending by 2035 at the latest will drive demand for tungsten significantly. The commissioning of a state-of-the-art tungsten oxide processing plant in South Korea will increase local value creation and improve margins. The molybdenum deposit offers additional revenue opportunities. A successful NASDAQ listing would raise Almonty's profile and attract institutional investors who are looking to invest in security-related raw materials. Given China's tighter export controls and the US's billion-dollar subsidy programs for critical metals, there is a political tailwind for companies like Almonty. Subsidies and tax incentives for domestic production could further strengthen the competitive position. The automotive industry is working on the further development of its batteries for electric vehicles. Tungsten-containing materials such as niobium tungstate are being tested as anode materials. A breakthrough here could further fuel demand for tungsten. Analyst opinions and price targets
Market observers are optimistic. The latest revaluation by GBC Research is based on higher long-term tungsten price assumptions and an improved cash flow forecast. In addition, the increased price target reflects both the strategic value of the mine and Almonty's growing role in the global supply chain. The price target has been set at CAD 5.50. Sphene Capital sees the price target at CAD 5.40. The current share price is CAD 3.56. Chart of Almonty Industries. (Source: refinitiv.com)
Almonty Industries is on the verge of maturing from a niche producer to a key raw material supplier for Western high-tech and defense industries. With an established mine in Europe, the high-grade Sangdong project, and a strong network of long-term customers, the Company is securing valuable market share. The planned NASDAQ listing promises additional capital inflows and increased visibility. NATO's new 5% defense spending target will further drive up global demand. For investors focused on commodity security and geopolitical stability, Almonty Industries' unique market position could pave the way for an attractive growth phase. Conflict of interest
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