
8x stock surge, record Q1 FY26 revenue: Can Polycab sustain the momentum?
Five years ago, the well-run cables and wires company was trading in the sub-Rs800 range. It was steady, predictable, and hardly the sort of stock that was a part of conversations.
Today, that same company trades close to Rs 7,000.
That is an eight-fold return for anyone who stayed the course. And it has not been a straight line climb. There were pauses, pullbacks, and even a sharp fall in late 2024. Yet, the stock's swift recovery in 2025 says a lot about the conviction investors have built in its story.
Polycab has earned its re-rating the hard way by cementing its leadership in wires and cables, pushing aggressively into fast-moving electrical goods, and expanding margins without losing sight of operational discipline.
It has kept its balance sheet strong, sitting on over Rs 3,100 crore of net cash, and it continues to invest heavily in growth under its multi-year Project Spring plan.
In Q1 FY26, Polycab delivered the highest-ever first-quarter revenue and profit in its history, showing strength across segments and geographies.
For investors, the question now is whether the next phase can match or even exceed the voltage of its past run.
Polycab runs two main businesses: the wires & cables segment, which is the engine room of the company, and the Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) segment, which is its growth frontier. There is also a smaller Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) arm that helps it deliver turnkey electrification projects.
In Q1 FY26, the company reported Rs 5,906 crore in revenue, up 26% year-on-year. The wires & cables division alone brought in around Rs 5,130 crore or about 87% of total sales, growing a strong 31% YoY.
This is where Polycab's dominance shows.
It sells everything from the copper wiring inside homes to the heavy-duty cables used in power plants, railways, and telecom projects. The domestic cables business grew faster than the market, hinting at market share gains.
Exports are still a small slice of the business at 5.2% of revenue, but they grew 24% year-on-year in the latest quarter. Management sees the US as a significant long-term opportunity because Indian cables currently benefit from lower import duties there than Chinese cables (about 10% versus 55%).
However, the domestic duty environment has become less predictable, with recent hikes making exports from India more cost-sensitive. This uncertainty means that while the US tariff gap is a strategic tailwind, sustaining export momentum will require close attention to shifting trade policies.
For the FMEG business, premium products are leading the way. For instance, premium fans now contribute 25% of fan sales, premium lights make up over 35% of lighting sales, and new modular switches already account for 20% of switch sales. Even solar inverters have emerged as the single largest category in the FMEG portfolio this quarter, driven by the state-level rooftop solar push.
Also, one of the big pluses is that the margins have been expanding across the board.
Consolidated Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) margin rose to 14.5%, up from 12.4% a year ago. The wires & cables segment delivered a 14.7% EBIT margin, and FMEG's profitability has started to take shape. A big help has been a better sales mix (more high-margin products) and operating leverage from higher volumes.
One of Polycab's underrated strengths is its distribution muscle.
It works with over 4,300 authorised dealers and reaches 2 lakh+ retail outlets across India. This network not only moves products efficiently but also allows Polycab to launch and scale new categories faster than many rivals. The same trucks that drop electrical cables to a distributor can also deliver fans, switches, and solar inverters, creating cost efficiencies and increasing shelf space presence.
The company has also kept its working capital cycle lean.
In Q1, it was just 43 days, helped by efficient collections and inventory management. Sitting on Rs 3,100+ crore of net cash, Polycab can fund expansion from internal resources without taking on heavy debt, a big advantage when scaling both manufacturing and distribution.
Polycab's stock has climbed nearly 8x in five years, and at the current price of around Rs 7,000, the company commands a market capitalisation of over Rs 1 lakh crore.
On a trailing basis, the stock trades at roughly 45 times earnings, which is a premium to many industrial peers but in line with high-quality consumer electrical names. The market is pricing in sustained double-digit revenue growth and margin stability.
The optimism is perhaps not without basis.
The domestic wires and cables market is expected to grow at a mid-teens CAGR over the next five years, powered by infrastructure spending, housing demand, and the shift to premium, branded products.
On top of that, Polycab's export push has a structural advantage due to favourable US tariffs, while its FMEG business offers a consumer-brand rerating opportunity if it continues to expand margins and scale.
Management is also guiding for steady capex under Project Spring, targeting both capacity expansion and deeper penetration in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. With over Rs 3,100 crore of net cash and a lean balance sheet, this growth can be funded internally without putting pressure on returns.
Still, investors should be aware of the risks.
A slowdown in infrastructure or real estate activity could hit cable demand. Raw material price swings, especially in copper and aluminium, can squeeze margins if not passed on quickly. Competition in FMEG is fierce, with established consumer brands fighting for the same shelf space. And on the export side, tariff advantages are policy-driven and could change with trade negotiations.
That said, Polycab's track record of execution, market share gains, and balance sheet strength put it in a position to navigate these challenges better than most. If the company can maintain high-teens revenue growth and keep margins in the 13-15% range, the stock's premium multiple may hold.
For long-term investors, Polycab remains an interesting mix of a steady infrastructure play with a consumer brand growth kicker. The next few years will show whether this current keeps flowing at the same intensity.
Note: This article relies on data from annual and industry reports. We have used our assumptions for forecasting.
Parth Parikh has over a decade of experience in finance and research and currently heads the growth and content vertical at Finsire. He holds an FRM Charter and an MBA in Finance from Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies.
Disclosure: The writer and his dependents do not hold the stocks discussed in this article.
The website managers, its employee(s), and contributors/writers/authors of articles have or may have an outstanding buy or sell position or holding in the securities, options on securities or other related investments of issuers and/or companies discussed therein. The content of the articles and the interpretation of data are solely the personal views of the contributors/ writers/authors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific objectives, resources and only after consulting such independent advisors as may be necessary.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Deccan Herald
6 minutes ago
- Deccan Herald
Bollywood actor Shilpa Shetty, husband Raj Kundra booked in fraud case
The couple, and an unknown person, have been accused of cheating Mumbai-based businessman Deepak Kothari of Rs 60.4 crore in a loan-cum-investment deal involving a now-closed company, Best Deal TV Private Limited.

The Wire
6 minutes ago
- The Wire
Indian Army's Close-Quarter Battle Carbine Procurement Saga Poised to End with KSSL and Adani Deals
Rahul Bedi The process has underscored a key reality – for the MoD and the Indian Army, quick reaction weapons arrive at a glacial pace, if at all. Representative image of an Indian Army soldier with a weapon. Photo: PTI. New Delhi: It has been one of the longest procurement sagas in the Indian Army's history – nearly a quarter-century of tenders floated. scrapped, 'fast-track' acquisition contracts announced and abandoned, and intermediate or 'stopgap' fixes standing in for real solutions. And, finally last month it appeared that the Indian Army's close-quarter battle (CQB) carbine requirement of 425,318 units, pending since the late 1990s is likely to be met, to replace its legacy 9mm 1A1/2A1 sub-machine guns (SMGs) – local versions of the L2A3 Sterling machine gun – developed in England in the mid-1940s, and entering British Army service in 1953. For decades, these two SMG variants were licence-built for decades by the erstwhile Small Arms Factory at Kanpur, part of the erstwhile state-run Ordnance Factory Board, but their manufacture had ceased altogether on grounds of obsolescence by the early 2000s. Thereafter, the Indian Army had largely been operating without a CQB carbine, which operationally was critical to providing troops, much like its description suggests, with a compact, lightweight weapon for rapid, accurate fire in confined or urban environments, mountainous terrain and jungle environments. Since then, every attempt to replace the carbine has marched through the Ministry of Defence's (MoD's) familiar parade – tenders announced, trials held, everything voided, before sinking into the familiar swamp of bureaucratic futility with no weapon system. But industry sources now say that this cycle of ineptness had seemingly ended with the recent shortlisting of Kalyani Strategic Systems Limited and Adani Aerospace & Defence to supply 425,213 5.56×45 mm carbines to the Army in a potential Rs 2,800-crore deal that is expected to be imminently signed. According to the putative arrangement, KSSL, which had emerged as L1, or the lowest bidder, following trials, would supply the Army 60% or 255,190 CQB carbines of the overall tender from either its small arms unit at Jejuri or at Khed, near Pune. Additionally, Adani Defence, which was L2 or the second lowest bidder, is likely to be awarded the deal to provide the remaining 170,023 carbines from its facility at Gwalior, which it had acquired in 2020 from Punj Lloyd Raksha. Industry sources said that, in all likelihood, Adani Defence would match KSSL's L1 bid for the carbines in keeping with MoD standing operating procedures in selling them to the Army. The CQB carbine delivery timelines are expected to stretch over the next few years, with initial batches likely to be employed by Indian Army counter-insurgency units in Kashmir and the Northeast, where the absence of such a compact weapon small arms system has been most acutely felt. For soldiers used to presently lugging full-length assault rifles into tight alleyways or boarding helicopters with unwieldy weapons, the arrival of lightweight, rapid-firing CQB carbines will be more than an operational boost; it will finally usher in a vast operational change in counter-insurgency (COIN) operations. Meanwhile, KSSL will series produce the Joint Venture Protective Carbine (JVPC) engineered by the Defence Research and Development Organisation's (DRDO) Armament Research & Development Establishment (ARDE) in Pune, as part of a public-private partnership (PPP), under the MoD's atmanirbharta or self-reliance rubric. This carbine will also incorporate over 60% of content sourced indigenously. Weighing around three kg, the gas-operated JVPC features an ergonomic, ambidextrous design with a retractable stock and Picatinny rails for optics and accessories. Capable of firing over 700 rounds per minute to an effective range of 200-300m, it reportedly exhibits low recoil and is believed to demonstrate high reliability across extreme temperatures and in varied environments and incorporates a 120mm bayonet for hand-to-hand combat. Its service life is engineered for a service life of 15 years or 15,000 rounds, whichever comes first. Adani Defence, on the other hand, will produce the Israel Weapon Industries (IWI) Galil ACE CQB carbines-locally named 'Jeet', meaning 'victory'. It features a 368 mm long barrel, a weight of 3.2 kg, and a rate of fire between 650-750 rounds per minute to a 300-500 m range. Jeet incorporates a rotating bolt with a short-stroke gas piston, a full-length Picatinny rail for optics, a folding/telescopic stock, ambidextrous controls for quick handling, and compatibility with standard NATO magazines. The ACE CQB has also been deployed for extended periods by the Israel Defence Forces in its numerous COIN operations and other conflicts against Palestinians and many of its neighbours where firefights often occur in confined spaces. The two carbines were shortlisted after technical evaluations and field trials involving other domestic vendors, partnering with overseas small arms makers. These included Jindal Defence and Aerospace – associating with Brazil's Taurus Armas, BSS Material in New Delhi, linking up with Indo-Russian Rifles Private Limited and Bharat Electronics, which had tied up with Italy's Beretta. Over the years, the CQB carbine procurement process has been compelling and concerning, exposing both the Army's and MoD's procurement systems at their most ineffective, bogged down by delays, indecision, and missed opportunities. After acknowledging the operational shortcomings of the aging 9mm Sterling submachine gun in the late 1990s – particularly its limited range, stopping power, and accuracy – the Indian Army adopted a stopgap solution. It employed a shortened variant of the locally developed 5.56x45mm Indian Small Arms System (INSAS) assault rifle as part of its customary jugaad, or innovative fix, which only ended up highlighting its significant limitations and rendering it relatively ineffective for such specialised roles. Senior infantry officers said the INSAS rifle was not optimised for CQB scenarios, as its relatively longer barrel and overall dimensions made manoeuvring in confined spaces cumbersome. The absence of features like a folding stock or compact design further hindered its suitability for rapid movement and handling in close and restrained urban situations. Soldiers found it challenging to quickly reposition and engage enemy targets, simply due to the rifle's size and weight. But despite these obvious limitations, these shortened INSAS alternates remained in widespread use for years and continue even today. However, in 2002-3, the first global tender was floated for 44,618 5.56x45mm CQB carbines, with under-barrel grenade launcher compatibility. Several trials took place, involving major overseas small arms makers like the US's Colt, Italy's Beretta and IWI. But in 2007-2008, after extended trials at the Infantry School at Mhow, in Madhya Pradesh, in the Rajasthan desert, Punjab's plains and high altitude regions in Sikkim and Himachal, the contract was terminated due to the Indian Army's 'overreach' in determining the carbines specifications or Qualitative Requirements (QRs) about their add-ons, like thermal-designated laser sights. A follow-on RfP was issued in December 2010 for an equal number of weapons. Then again, in 2013, after a protracted three-year trial process, the carbine procurement was once again thwarted, not by performance issues, but over a minor safety feature. One of the shortlisted carbines included a small, screw-like safety component designed to render the sights "eye safe" during low-intensity engagements, thereby preventing potential retina damage. Yet, this feature was not specified in the original tender's technical requirements, and a three-member, senior Army committee failed in resolving the 'discrepancy', leading again to the contract's cancellation, despite escalating insurgent activities in Kashmir and increasing Army casualties in COIN encounters. Industry sources noted that this time round, the tender was scrapped solely because the "safety screw" had not been included in the original specifications, irrespective of the protection it offered. Subsequently, in March 2018 the MoD issued yet one more RfP – its third in a decade, for 93,895 CQB carbines this time, in which the United Arab Emirates Caracal International's CAR 816 carbine was shortlisted, seven months later for procurement via the MoD's Fast Track Procedure (FTP), having bested its rival F60 model fielded by Thales of Australia in trials. Under the FTP route, through which the CAR 816s were to be procured, the $110 million tender was to have been completed within the mandated 12-14 months or by August 2019. But 13 months later, in September 2020, the MoD opted to arbitrarily ditch the deal for undeclared reasons. 'Processing the carbine purchase via the FTP indicated the operational urgency of the buy, but that too was bafflingly blocked,' said a senior army officer associated with the deal. The entire endeavour was simply incomprehensible and mystifying, he added, declining to be named, as he was not authorised to speak to the media. Conversely, in the ensuing years, the ARDE developed the JVPC in collaboration with KSSL, and Adani Defence partnered successfully with IWI to produce the 'Jeet', ostensibly clinching the CQB carbine buy as things presently stand. But it also underscored the reality that for the MoD and the Indian Army, quick reaction weapons arrive at a glacial pace, if at all. The Wire is now on WhatsApp. Follow our channel for sharp analysis and opinions on the latest developments. Advertisement


New Indian Express
6 minutes ago
- New Indian Express
588 defunct excise licences to be auctioned
BENGALURU: The state government is shortly going to auction around 588 defunct excise licences to scale up revenue collection and mobilise resources, informed sources told TNIE. Of the 588 odd licences that will go under the hammer 'soon', 288 are 11-C (government-owned Mysore Sales International Limited retail outlet) licences followed by 204 CL-2 (retail liquor shops) and 96 CL-9 (bars & restaurants), said sources on condition of anonymity. 'These licences have not been renewed for whatever reason, and have been lying defunct. The reason behind the auction is to bring them back into the market and generate revenue for the government. The auction is likely to fetch between Rs 500 crore and Rs 600 crore,' said sources. The Excise department is presently working out the modalities; from prospective allocation of these licences to the 40 excise districts in Karnataka to suggesting reserve or base price (minimum price of the bids) etc. The draft will soon be shared with the government to finetune it; address legal hurdles and set the base price of the bids. 'The base price may be pegged at 10 to 15 times higher than the Excise licence fee. No decision has been taken so far on this. The government will take the final decision. Majority of licences, especially CL-9, are likely to be allocated to Bengaluru,' added the sources. 'Out of the 288 MSIL licences under consideration for auction, 64 have not been renewed, rest were not utilised and are being considered to be brought back to the main pool,' said sources. Meanwhile, the liquor industry has responded to the proposed auction with caution. 'Our concern is that multinational companies may end up having an upper hand in these auctions with higher bids. They have the money power to incentivise sales of their brands, which no Indian company or brand will be able to match.