
Who are the most powerful NIMBYs in California? Realtors
You've no doubt heard many of the explanations for why it's so difficult to buy a home, including antiquated zoning restrictions and overzealous environmental regulations that have blocked new construction.
Yet the headlines often overlook another crucial impediment for prospective homebuyers: California real estate agents.
Without the help of creative real estate professionals, my wife and I might never have broken into the California housing market. From 2018 to the end of 2021, single-family home prices in our home city of Los Angeles increased by almost $300,000, or 47.7%. By 2021, a mere 15.5% of people ages 25 to 35 owned their own homes. If that were the only option available to us, we might have been forced to relocate like the 9.2 million California residents who moved to other U.S. states during the 2010s.
Thankfully, our real estate agent helped us explore an alternative arrangement, which led to us buying a duplex with a friend. Duplexes, along with townhomes and cottage courtyards, are all forms of ' missing middle housing ' that have historically served as a common starter home for families.
Our story should be more common — after all, no one should be more invested in expanding creative home sales opportunities than real estate agents, whose job is to help families realize their homeownership dreams.
Instead, the leadership of the California Association of Realtors has used its considerable political lobbying power to consistently oppose reforms that would make homeownership more accessible to families.
Zoning is one example.
One of the most impactful reforms to unlock homeownership is to make zoning more flexible, increasing the potential supply of homes in existing neighborhoods. My wife and I were only able to own a home because we bought in a neighborhood that had legalized duplexes decades ago.
When Auckland, New Zealand, adopted flexible zoning in 2016 to allow starter homes options, such as townhomes and triplexes, buyers of these new homes were most commonly first-time homeowners. Even better, the city has had a much-needed decade of home price stability since those reforms, even while prices rose in the rest of the country.
In California, only 7% of new homes in California are built under 1,400 square feet. Increasing the construction of smaller homes would do wonders for first-time homeowners. Yet two bills that would have done this by making it easier to create 2 to 8 unit buildings on all residential land in California — SB677 and AB647 — both failed this spring, in part due to loud opposition from the realtor lobby.
Last year, the California Association of Realtors also lined up against legislation to reform construction liability laws to make it more financially feasible to build condominiums. Liability fears have slashed condo construction in California to a fraction of its peak in the mid-2000s, with about 90% of multifamily construction now being built as rental housing. This trend is not driven by interest rates: other places are building multifamily housing. The percentage of new units built as condos is four times higher in Hawaii than in California. Yet, in 2024, when lawmakers considered reforming liability law, the realtors' association played an instrumental part in opposing the bill, which ultimately led to its demise in committee.
This opposition harms clients and undermines the association's members. As of March, there were 428,895 licensed real estate professionals in California, and only about 58,000 homes listed on the market — roughly eight professionals per listing. The math does not favor the average real estate professional's success — not due to a lack of effort, but rather because outdated zoning codes restrict supply. Housing reforms would be especially beneficial to younger real estate agents, who often achieve their first sales by helping friends buy a home. Effectively banning starter homes in California will permanently lock them out of the industry.
Supporting flexible zoning would allow real estate agents to live up to their commitment to righting historical wrongs. In 2022, the California Association of Realtors officially apologized for its role in the long history of denying access to neighborhoods based on race. Yet racial inequality in the real estate market is ongoing, worsened because of bad policies to restrict supply.
From 1980 to 2021, the homeownership rate among Black Californians ages 25 to 35 dropped from 10.8% to 1.4%. Opposing zoning reform, especially changes that would open up high-opportunity neighborhoods, is putting the association on the wrong side of its rhetorical commitments, cheapening any sense that it cares to atone for past wrongs.
California's aspiring homeowners and young real estate professionals deserve better.
The housing market and economic environment are too complex for such an important institution to take stances that make homeownership more difficult. If the leadership of the California Association of Realtors wants to uphold the group's stated ethics of 'protect and promote the interests of their client,' it should consider embracing housing reforms, not standing in their way. Otherwise, the agents and clients the association serves may start asking harder questions about whose interests are ultimately being prioritized.

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San Francisco Chronicle
4 days ago
- San Francisco Chronicle
Who are the most powerful NIMBYs in California? Realtors
First-time homebuyers in California face a treacherous path: Inventory is scarce, and the few homes on the market in the state's major cities are likely to run well over $1 million. You've no doubt heard many of the explanations for why it's so difficult to buy a home, including antiquated zoning restrictions and overzealous environmental regulations that have blocked new construction. Yet the headlines often overlook another crucial impediment for prospective homebuyers: California real estate agents. Without the help of creative real estate professionals, my wife and I might never have broken into the California housing market. From 2018 to the end of 2021, single-family home prices in our home city of Los Angeles increased by almost $300,000, or 47.7%. By 2021, a mere 15.5% of people ages 25 to 35 owned their own homes. If that were the only option available to us, we might have been forced to relocate like the 9.2 million California residents who moved to other U.S. states during the 2010s. Thankfully, our real estate agent helped us explore an alternative arrangement, which led to us buying a duplex with a friend. Duplexes, along with townhomes and cottage courtyards, are all forms of ' missing middle housing ' that have historically served as a common starter home for families. Our story should be more common — after all, no one should be more invested in expanding creative home sales opportunities than real estate agents, whose job is to help families realize their homeownership dreams. Instead, the leadership of the California Association of Realtors has used its considerable political lobbying power to consistently oppose reforms that would make homeownership more accessible to families. Zoning is one example. One of the most impactful reforms to unlock homeownership is to make zoning more flexible, increasing the potential supply of homes in existing neighborhoods. My wife and I were only able to own a home because we bought in a neighborhood that had legalized duplexes decades ago. When Auckland, New Zealand, adopted flexible zoning in 2016 to allow starter homes options, such as townhomes and triplexes, buyers of these new homes were most commonly first-time homeowners. Even better, the city has had a much-needed decade of home price stability since those reforms, even while prices rose in the rest of the country. In California, only 7% of new homes in California are built under 1,400 square feet. Increasing the construction of smaller homes would do wonders for first-time homeowners. Yet two bills that would have done this by making it easier to create 2 to 8 unit buildings on all residential land in California — SB677 and AB647 — both failed this spring, in part due to loud opposition from the realtor lobby. Last year, the California Association of Realtors also lined up against legislation to reform construction liability laws to make it more financially feasible to build condominiums. Liability fears have slashed condo construction in California to a fraction of its peak in the mid-2000s, with about 90% of multifamily construction now being built as rental housing. This trend is not driven by interest rates: other places are building multifamily housing. The percentage of new units built as condos is four times higher in Hawaii than in California. Yet, in 2024, when lawmakers considered reforming liability law, the realtors' association played an instrumental part in opposing the bill, which ultimately led to its demise in committee. This opposition harms clients and undermines the association's members. As of March, there were 428,895 licensed real estate professionals in California, and only about 58,000 homes listed on the market — roughly eight professionals per listing. The math does not favor the average real estate professional's success — not due to a lack of effort, but rather because outdated zoning codes restrict supply. Housing reforms would be especially beneficial to younger real estate agents, who often achieve their first sales by helping friends buy a home. Effectively banning starter homes in California will permanently lock them out of the industry. Supporting flexible zoning would allow real estate agents to live up to their commitment to righting historical wrongs. In 2022, the California Association of Realtors officially apologized for its role in the long history of denying access to neighborhoods based on race. Yet racial inequality in the real estate market is ongoing, worsened because of bad policies to restrict supply. From 1980 to 2021, the homeownership rate among Black Californians ages 25 to 35 dropped from 10.8% to 1.4%. Opposing zoning reform, especially changes that would open up high-opportunity neighborhoods, is putting the association on the wrong side of its rhetorical commitments, cheapening any sense that it cares to atone for past wrongs. California's aspiring homeowners and young real estate professionals deserve better. The housing market and economic environment are too complex for such an important institution to take stances that make homeownership more difficult. If the leadership of the California Association of Realtors wants to uphold the group's stated ethics of 'protect and promote the interests of their client,' it should consider embracing housing reforms, not standing in their way. Otherwise, the agents and clients the association serves may start asking harder questions about whose interests are ultimately being prioritized.
Yahoo
28-07-2025
- Yahoo
Homebuyers Can Save $200K by Building a New Home Instead of Buying an Existing One in This State
With affordability being a top concern for many prospective homebuyers, those worried about a steep price tag might consider investing in a new build. In California, homebuyers could save hundreds of thousands of dollars by building new rather than purchasing an existing property, according to a new LendingTree report. It revealed that, though, on average, new homes cost more than existing ones across the country, a select few states offer new construction that is significantly more affordable than existing properties. In California, newly constructed homes have a median price of $591,116, while existing homes cost $784,798—a difference of $193,682 more, according to LendingTree. Using data from the National Association of Home Builders and the U.S. Census Bureau 2023 American Community Survey, LendingTree was able to estimate the household income needed for existing homes. Then, it compared the household income required to buy new homes and existing homes by state. This trend is particularly relevant in today's market, where shifting economic sentiment is beginning to shape buyer behavior. 'Many buyers, first-time buyers, or entry-level buyers, instead of just looking at single-family homes or existing homes, are looking at new homes put out by developers and builders,' Oscar Wei, deputy chief economist at the California Association of Realtors, tells Overall, California's median home price dipped to $899,560 in June, marking a second consecutive monthly decline and falling below $900,000 for the first time in three months, as per the California Association of Realtors June Home Sales report. 'The market is a little bit more balanced because we do have a bit more supply in the last few months,' he explains. 'Buyers are thinking, 'OK, well, now we have a little bit more inventory available.' And even though mortgage rates have come down, we do still have some uncertainty.' But the discrepancy between new- and existing-home values in California is the largest gap in the country, according to LendingTree. The state has struggled to keep up with housing demands for decades due to a combination of factors, including rapid population growth, high construction costs, restrictive zoning regulations, and lengthy permitting processes. 'I almost see two different Californias in terms of development,' Victor Currie, real estate agent at Douglas Elliman Real Estate, tells 'The Central Valley and Inland Empire are growth areas with lots of developable land, so prices are more reasonable, and new-home developers can sometimes offer slightly lower interest rates and other incentives to buyers than standard mortgage numbers. 'But when people in other parts of the country think of California, they're usually talking about Los Angeles, Orange County, the Bay Area, or San Diego, and there is a limit to how much new development can be done in the large metro areas.' The L.A. County's destructive wildfires also directly contributed to the housing shortage, forcing residents into an already competitive market and driving up rental and purchase prices in unaffected areas. Rebuilding in fire-prone areas is tough because of strict new building codes and regulations—increasing costs and potentially delaying reconstruction efforts. However, the bump in inventory in other parts of the Golden State has balanced the market a bit, urging buyers to consider jumping back in, says Wei. 'There's a little bit more supply from builders and developers. Builders and developers are actually willing to lower their price or provide incentives for buyers,' Wei explains. Across the country, new homes cost a median of $537,791 while existing homes cost $391,210, according to the study. The average price difference is $146,581, with new homes being 37.5% more expensive than existing homes. In Connecticut and Pennsylvania, new homes are more than double the cost of existing ones, according to the study. Specifically, new homes in Connecticut cost 125.9% (or $555,660) more on average than existing homes, with Pennsylvania close at 121.4% (or $361,637). Potential pitfalls with new builds Still, the roadblocks to building new homes keep inventory low. Expensive land, permit delays, local fees, high material costs, and labor shortages have limited new construction and increased the competition for existing homes. 'Now, here's an issue that we might be seeing in the last couple of months, maybe even in the second half of the year. Builders and developers started realizing, 'Wow, OK, it looks like we are seeing more existing homes coming onto the market.' And now existing homes are competing with those newly constructed properties,' says Wei. That competition, however, isn't necessarily bad news for buyers—especially those looking to break into the market. 'Choosing a new build helps people achieve homeownership because it often helps clear the biggest obstacle most home buyers can't get around: affordability,' Marco Smith, a real estate agent with The Maryland & Delaware Group, tells 'Many builders are offering seller concessions to help cover the buyer's closing costs and, in some cases, will pay down the buyer's rate, making monthly payments more affordable. So, whether you're looking to spend less upfront or spend less per month, builders can typically get that taken care of when you're buying their new homes,' says Smith. 'As interest rates are higher than they were a few years ago and prices remain strong, many homebuyers are steering away from older homes that may need high-ticket items replaced in the near future. New construction offers the peace of mind that you won't have a roof or HVAC replacement a few years after moving in. These homes also come with warranties,' he adds. Prospective buyers who are considering a new build have a couple of solid options. California, Vermont, and Delaware are leading the list of states where new-home values are lowest. Households in Vermont can expect to pay a median price of $352,739 for a new home, but would have to come up with $386,757 for an existing property—8.8%, or $34,018, more. Delaware follows with the third-highest discrepancy between new- and existing-home values: $373,666 versus $406,266, an 8%, or $32,600, difference. Virginia, Maryland, and Utah households also pay more for existing homes than new-construction properties. 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Newsweek
13-06-2025
- Newsweek
California Faces Housing Crisis: 'No One Is Buying Homes'
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. After four consecutive months of year-over-year inventory increases, California is now solidly a buyer's market, which means the supply of homes is greater than the demand for properties in the state. That is happening in part because, as real estate analyst Nick Gerli put it, "no one is buying homes in California." Home sales in the Golden State are hovering just below the lows of the Great Recession, according to a recent report by as sky-high prices and elevated mortgage rates keep buyers on the sidelines of the market. Why It Matters The California housing market experienced great changes during the pandemic, when the rise of remote work allowed many homeowners to relocate from metropolises—such as San Francisco and Los Angeles—to smaller nearby towns or leave the state entirely. While the state saw a slight dip in home prices in early to mid-2020 compared to a year earlier, home prices quickly rebounded and have continued rising steadily until now. Historically high home prices are now playing a crucial role in keeping demand low in the state, together with mortgage rates still hovering just below the 7 percent mark and growing economic uncertainty linked to the effects of President Donald Trump's tariffs. A general view of a home for sale in a residential neighborhood in San Jose, California, on August 15, 2024. A general view of a home for sale in a residential neighborhood in San Jose, California, on August 15, To Know According to data from there were 73,160 active listings in California in May, the highest number since October 2019—before the pandemic homebuying frenzy further shrunk supply in the state. "The rate that housing inventory has been rising for the state is on par with that of the nation. At the national level, inventory of homes for sale rose more than 30 percent year over year in May, which is in line with the double-digit increase for the state of California," Oscar Wei, the deputy chief economist at the California Association of Realtors, told Newsweek. "Active listings typically increase during this time of the year as the period from April to August is considered the spring homebuying season. Homes are being bought during this time frame as many buyers want to settle down before schools start. As such, active listings usually increase month over month from March to April and from April to May," he said. "The growth pace in active listings is slowing down, however, and the level of supply could reach a plateau sometime in June." Several California cities were also among the 50 most populous metropolitan areas in the U.S. with the biggest imbalances between sellers and buyers in April, according to a recent Redfin study. These included Riverside (61.3 percent difference), Sacramento (44.9 percent), Los Angeles (44.8 percent), Anaheim (38.7 percent) and Oakland (36.2 percent). This should be great news for prospective homebuyers in the state who, as in the rest of the country, have been struggling with limited inventory for the past few years. But according to the data, buyers aren't showing up for these listings. The state reported about 25,100 home sales in April—up 1.6 percent from a year earlier but "down 20 percent from the long-term average and 40 percent below the pandemic peak," according to Gerli, the CEO and founder of the real estate platform Reventure App. "Economic uncertainty and elevated mortgage rates, which make costs of borrowing high, are primary factors that keep housing demand/home sales at low levels in recent months," Wei said, adding, "Insurance availability and affordability are also having a negative effect on home sales." Gerli wrote on X, "This crisis in homebuyer demand is now causing home prices to drop." Last month, according to data from Reventure App, home values in California fell by 0.42 percent from March, the fourth biggest decline in the U.S. "It was the fourth straight month where values declined," Gerli said. "The reason prices are now dropping is because the low demand is being combined with a rise in listings," the real estate analyst added. "Inventory had been low in California for much of the last couple years, but now it's spiking." Despite the recent downward pressure on prices in California, the cost of buying a home remains high—much more than many can afford. Home values might be dropping on a monthly basis, but they are still rising year over year. In April, the average home value of a typical California home was $796,255, according to up 1.3 percent from a year earlier. The median sale price of a California home was $854,700 in the same month, up 0.2 percent from a year earlier, according to Redfin. Five years earlier, in April 2020, a typical California home could still be bought for $571,000. The numbers of homes sold with a price cut—at 34.8 percent of all sales—are on the rise, up 10.2 from a year earlier. However, the numbers of homes sold above list price, at 40.3 percent, is decreasing and was down by 9.7 percent in April year over year. What People Are Saying Oscar Wei, the deputy chief economist at the California Association of Realtors, told Newsweek: "Buyers are waiting for the costs of homeownership to come down. That could mean lower mortgage rates or lower home prices. Mortgage rates should slowly decline and will likely moderate slightly by the end of the year." He added: "The market may have already seen the peak price for the year and could soften in the next few months. Buyers could also be waiting for some clarity on the market direction, as consumers remain concerned about how tariffs and the ongoing trade tensions could affect the economy and their personal finances." Hannah Jones, a senior economic research analyst at said in a recent report: "Home price growth accelerated in California during the early days of the [COVID-19] pandemic, driving the state's median listing price to new heights. High home prices and rising mortgage rates put homeownership out of reach for many would-be buyers." Real estate analyst Wolf Richter wrote in a recent report: "The problem is demand in California. It has essentially collapsed. New listings aren't that high. But because the inventory of homes for sale doesn't sell, and new listings are added to it, the total piled up." Real estate analyst Lance Lambert wrote in a recent report: "More California housing markets are climbing out of that inventory deficit. And if the current trajectory holds, California could soon be out of its Pandemic Housing Boom era inventory hole." Redfin Senior Economist Asad Khan said in a recent news release: "The balance of power in the U.S. housing market has shifted toward buyers, but a lot of sellers have yet to see or accept the writing on the wall. Many are still holding out hope that their home is the exception and will fetch top dollar. "But as sellers see their homes sit longer on the market and notice fewer buyers coming through on tour, more of them will realize that the market has adjusted and reset their expectations accordingly." What Happens Next Experts now expect home prices to dip slightly across the country by the end of the year, including in parts of California. Zillow expects prices to fall in 31 cities in the state, including San Francisco (projected -5.2 percent), San Jose (-3.8 percent), Sacramento (-3 percent), Los Angeles (-1.2 percent) and San Diego (-0.7 percent). According to Wei, home prices should begin to come down from the record high set in April as we enter the second half of the year. "Seasonality will play a role in the price moderation, and an increase in housing supply will also relieve some upward price pressure," he said. "We expect price crops across the state to be mild but the changes between months could appear volatile in some areas because of their low number of observations. In general, we still expect a mild single-digit year-over-year increase for the year as a whole for the state and most regions."