Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEF) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Production and Upgraded ...
Full-Year Production Guidance: Upgraded to 105,000 to 110,000 barrels per day.
Full-Year Group EBITDA: Expected to surpass EUR 2.7 billion, revised upwards from EUR 2.5 billion.
Operating Cash Flow: Expected to be over EUR 1.8 billion.
Release Date: July 21, 2025
Warning! GuruFocus has detected 1 Warning Sign with BOM:532505.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEF) reported a strong second quarter with higher-than-anticipated Upstream production and increased LNG trading flexibility.
The company upgraded its full-year production guidance to a range of 105,000 to 110,000 barrels per day.
Full-year group EBITDA is now expected to surpass EUR2.7 billion, an upward revision from EUR2.5 billion.
Operating cash flow is now expected to be over EUR1.8 billion, reflecting strong cash generation.
The company received non-binding offers from credible players for its Namibia partnership, indicating progress in securing a strong partnership.
Negative Points
The company faced headwinds from dollar depreciation, impacting financial performance.
CapEx is expected to be heavier in the second half of 2025, particularly in Industrial low-carbon projects.
There is uncertainty regarding the timeline for the Namibia farm-out process, with completion expected by year-end.
The company is not guiding on net debt levels by the end of the year, indicating potential financial uncertainty.
Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEF) faces challenges with the special energy tax in Portugal, with ongoing discussions and potential legal disputes.
Q & A Highlights
Q: Can you clarify the impact of Bacalhau on the upgraded production guidance and comment on CapEx expectations? A: Bacalhau is expected to contribute very little, around 3,000 barrels, to production this year. The guidance upgrade is based on strong performance from our existing fleet. CapEx for 2025 has been revised to below EUR1 billion, with a heavier second half expected due to increased investments in low-carbon projects and renewables. (Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
Q: Could you elaborate on the midstream performance and the timeline for the Namibia farm-out? A: The midstream strength is largely due to receiving three cargos from Venture Global, contributing significantly to earnings. We expect to receive 10 cargos in total this year. Regarding Namibia, we aim to finalize the farm-out by year-end, focusing on securing a strong partnership with an experienced operator. (Joao Diogo, Co-CEO & EVP Commercial; Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
Q: What is the hedging strategy for Venture Global volumes, and how does this affect shareholder returns? A: We have no material long-term hedges for Venture Global volumes. Our distribution policy remains steady, focusing on maintaining flexibility and optionality, with no immediate changes planned despite a strong balance sheet. (Joao Diogo, Co-CEO & EVP Commercial; Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
Q: Can you provide insights into the production profile for Bacalhau in 2026 and net debt expectations? A: Bacalhau's production ramp-up is expected to take over a year, with plateau production not anticipated in 2026. Net debt is not expected to fluctuate significantly, with some working capital effects expected to flow through by year-end. (Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
Q: What are the key drivers behind the strong midstream performance, excluding Venture Global? A: The strong performance is due to increased flexibility in gas trading and strong results across all commodities, including oil and power. Our positioning in Iberia and Brazil also contributes to this success. (Joao Diogo, Co-CEO & EVP Commercial)
Q: How do you view the development concept for Mopane in Namibia, and what are the next steps in the partnership process? A: The development concept for Mopane is not yet finalized and will be developed in partnership discussions. We are currently analyzing non-binding offers and will engage in bilateral conversations to assess alignment with potential partners. (Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
Q: What is the outlook for Refining margins in the second half of the year, and is there any update on the Spanish blackout impact? A: Refining margins are expected to remain strong, supported by diesel and jet fuel. We maintain our guidance due to planned maintenance in Q4. The Spanish blackout impact is still under review, with no clear resolution yet. (Joao Diogo, Co-CEO & EVP Commercial)
Q: Can you provide an update on the Mozambique capital gains assessment and contingent payments? A: We are in discussions with the Mozambican government regarding capital gains assessments, prioritizing a diplomatic solution. Contingent payments include EUR100 million for Coral and $400 million for onshore development, expected in the near future and by 2026, respectively. (Joao Diogo, Co-CEO & EVP Commercial; Maria Carioca, Co-CEO & CFO)
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
44 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Revealed: The true cost of Trump's tariffs on UK small businesses
A third of small UK businesses fear losing up to £20,000 this year amid the uncertainty caused by Donald Trump's new trade tariffs, a new report shows. Across April and May, the US President announced - and then called a pause for - levies being placed on all goods imported to the US from other nations, as part of a plan to readdress trade balances. While the UK has since arranged a trade deal with the nation, many other countries or blocs have not done so and there remains uncertainty within some industries. A new report looking at more than 500 small and medium enterprises (SMEs) across the UK has now revealed three in ten (30 per cent) estimate the cost of tariff knock-on effects to be between £10,000 and £20,000 this year, while two per cent believe it will cost them over £1m. Firms in the services sector are hardest hit, but across all sectors the average amount lost to tariff 'turbulence' is anticipated at £17,000 per business. One critical factor affecting those who import and export has been this year's volatile exchange rates, with £1 now equal to $1.358 - more than eight per cent higher than it was at the start of this year. Tariff business impact When the US President announced his tariffs, a stock market sell-off ensued - but it wasn't until bonds also sold off, sending yields (and therefore borrowing costs) higher, that he relented to a point. While those high-profile numbers were of course important, another key fluctuation came in the weakening of the dollar, which has lost ground all year. The US Dollar index measures the value of the currency against a mix of other global currencies, showcasing its faltering power in 2025. At the start of the year it stood at 108.49 on this index; it now stands at barely above 97, a deterioration of more than 10 per cent. If you are importing from the States, that is a positive - your pound buys more of US-based local goods, at least until sellers put prices up to account for the drop. For exporters, however, that is a big problem as it squeezes profit margins. A critical issue, particularly for smaller businesses, has been the rate of change and the lack of certainty about what is next. Responding to the survey undertaken by Critical Research, more than half (51 per cent) of businesses who export to the US said they expected a net decrease in volumes in future. Perhaps pointing to other geopolitical matters escalating, 47 per cent of all exporters - to the US or otherwise - said the same. New challenges Across all sectors, around 30 per cent of small and medium UK businesses export to the US. That figure is notably higher in retail and wholesale industries. They point to tariffs and customs regulations as the biggest issues facing them - as do importers, notably - ahead of such factors as inflation, global conflicts, costs of trading overseas and the impact of Brexit on their businesses. 'There's a lot of hidden activity - SME businesses are constantly dealing with change,' Jonathan Andrew, chief executive at Bibby Financial Services, told The Independent. 'Firms are making constant operational changes and even small businesses are having to assess how things impact on your own business. 'Doing nothing isn't an option - that's the reality of tariffs which is dawning now.' Many firms are opting to find new trade partners, the survey revealed, but they are now looking beyond the US in many cases - China was instead the most popular choice for both importers and exporters. Future As well as location, such global uncertainty means currency management is set to become a bigger factor for businesses too. 'SMEs are starting to pay more attention to foreign exchange. People have to think about revenue streams and where their income is from in currency terms, especially medium sized businesses,' Mr Andrew added. The UK's newly released industrial strategy said it is targeting 'long term stability' for businesses as a core focus. That will mean it will need to try and shield businesses working within those key industries from wider uncertainty, with recent trade deals - signed with the likes of India as well as the US - being one approach which can smooth the path for importers and exporters. But The Independent understands there are businesses now within the EU considering opening plants in the UK, as a potential easier route to exporting to the US. While that could yield an overall boost to potential economic growth, it could also heighten competition for those smaller domestic businesses already grappling with ever-changing conditions they are not always equipped to deal with. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Three-quarters of small businesses will raise prices - yet nearly half are seeing profits shrink
A new survey among small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) has found that a huge majority expect to be raising prices over the next year, with optimism split on whether they will survive or thrive amid challenging economic conditions. Business owners have been hit this year by raised National Insurance Contributions and a higher minimum wage, while a new pensions review could ultimately see them have to contribute more in the future as well. Meanwhile inflation from raw materials and higher energy costs have meant that their own prices have been on the increase, contributing to overall UK inflation levels. In addition, tariff uncertainty impacted those exporting to the US in the earlier part of the year before a trade deal was agreed. It all amounts to a difficult backdrop for companies this year, with SMEs typically harder-hit than larger businesses when consumer spending drops. Unsurprisingly, that means shoppers can expect to see another price hike coming in many places across the rest of 2025 and beyond, as detailed in a report by Simply Business, an insurance firm representing close to a million SMEs across the UK. A massive three-quarters (74 per cent) of more than 2,300 business owners surveyed said they'll need to raise prices in the coming year, an increase from the two-thirds who said so in 2024. More than three in five (63 per cent) businesses anticipate raising prices up to 20 per cent, but only 2 per cent expect prices to decrease in the coming 12 months. Despite those price increases, the businesses are not making more money. Nearly half (44 per cent) see profits decreasing in 2025, with fewer than two in five (17 per cent) expecting to see a rise in profits. Almost as many (16 per cent) say their profits will go down by more than a quarter. High street at stake An ongoing trend has been concerns about the long term future of the UK high street. Smaller businesses are increasingly despondent about its future, with a huge 82 per cent of SMEs saying their local high street has declined, 74 per cent saying shopper numbers are down and nearly two-thirds - 63 per cent - believing the notion of the national high street will be obsolete within ten years. As a result of this, more than a third of small business owners (37 per cent) are considering selling up or closing their doors this year for good. Government support is needed, the majority feel, to ensure a turnaround. Fewer 'chains' and more independent shops are seen as the best way to aid a reversal of fortunes, with free or cheap parking and more events of wider options of things to do also high on the list. The survey further revealed a quarter of small business owners expected to have to use their savings to prop up their business - yet despite these apparent hardships, more than half, 57 per cent, still feel optimism about their business' future. That is backed up by figures showing the number of new businesses registered in the first three months of this year was up almost 3 per cent compared to the same time last year. Small businesses contribute more than £2.8tn in turnover to the economy and account for more than half of the UK's private sector employment. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Genworth (GNW) Surges 9% as Firm Expects $750-Million Additional Cash
We recently published . Genworth Financial, Inc. (NYSE:GNW) is one of the best-performing stocks on Friday. Genworth Financial saw its share prices rally by 8.99 percent on Friday to end at $8 apiece as investors cheered a UK court's favorable ruling to insurance giant AXA that could help the former recoup $750 million in cash payments. The case stemmed from the mis-selling of payment protection insurance (PPI) before 2005 by GE Capital Bank, which was acquired by Santander in 2009, that resulted in AXA's losses related to more than 650,000 individual customer complaints about PPI policies. AXA, which inherited the liabilities for its acquisition of two subsidiaries of Genworth Financial, Inc. (NYSE:GNW), paid almost 5700 million pounds worth of redress to consumers and compensated complaints. The UK judge eventually ruled that AXA 'has a valid claim for an indemnity' against Santander in relation to the redress payments and ombudsman fees. For its part, Genworth Financial, Inc. (NYSE:GNW) is entitled to receive $750 million as part of its agreement with AXA as soon as the latter recovers losses. 'Genworth plans to deploy any recoveries in line with our stated capital allocation priorities: investing in growth through CareScout, returning cash to shareholders through our buyback program, and opportunistically paying down debt,' the company said. While we acknowledge the potential of GNW as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an extremely cheap AI stock that is also a major beneficiary of Trump tariffs and onshoring, see our free report on the . Sign in to access your portfolio
