&w=3840&q=100)
IMD predicts above-normal rainfall in India for August-September 2025
Most parts of the country, except the Northeast and adjoining areas of eastern India, are expected to record normal rainfall in August, said IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra during an online press conference.
Rainfall in September is likely to be above normal, he said.
India received above-normal rainfall during the first half of the monsoon season (June and July), with some states, particularly Himachal Pradesh, experiencing flash floods.
"Overall, above-normal rainfall (106 percent of the Long Period Average of 422.8 mm) is most likely over the country during the second half of the southwest monsoon season," Mohapatra said.
"Geographically, normal to above-normal rainfall is most likely across most regions, except for many parts of the northeast and adjoining eastern India, isolated regions of central India and southwestern areas of the peninsular region, where below-normal rainfall is expected." Mohapatra said subdued rainfall is expected over the next two weeks; however, the conditions do not meet the criteria for a "break monsoon phase", which refers to a temporary lull in rainfall during the monsoon when the trough shifts toward the foothills of the Himalayas.
The country received 474.3 mm of rainfall against a normal of 445.8 mm from June 1 to July 31, a surplus of six per cent.
The country recorded 624 very heavy rainfall events and 76 extremely heavy rainfall events, the lowest figures in the last five years, the IMD chief said.
"In Northeast India, this is the fifth consecutive year of below-normal rainfall. Over the last 30 years, a declining trend in rainfall activity has been observed in the northeastern states," he added.
According to Mohapatra, good rainfall in July was due to favorable Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) conditions in the latter half of the month and the formation of six low-pressure systems spanning 28 days.
Of these, four systems intensified into depressions. Among them, three formed over land and moved from Gangetic West Bengal/Northern Bay of Bengal to Rajasthan, triggering frequent heavy to very heavy rainfall and even extremely heavy rainfall on some days, the IMD said.
ENSO-neutral conditions are currently prevailing and are expected to continue until October. Post-monsoon, weak La Nia conditions may develop, the IMD said.
In May, the IMD forecasted that India would receive 106 percent of the long-period average rainfall of 87 cm during the JuneSeptember monsoon season. Rainfall ranging between 96 and 104 percent of this 50-year average is considered "normal".
The monsoon plays a critical role in India's agriculture sector, which supports the livelihood of around 42 percent of the population and contributes 18.2 percent to the national GDP. It is also crucial for replenishing reservoirs used for drinking water and power generation.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Hindustan Times
11 hours ago
- Hindustan Times
GPR scanning helps identify 20 spots in Dharali where people could be trapped: Rescuers
Uttarkashi , Rescuers on Tuesday said they have identified 20 spots at a depth of 2.5-3 metres using Ground Penetrating Radars in the lower areas of the flood-ravaged Dharali where there is the possibility of people being trapped, officials said as search and rescue operations entered the seventh day. GPR scanning helps identify 20 spots in Dharali where people could be trapped: Rescuers Heavy equipment is being used with great caution as the soil is marshy and sinking, while machines are strictly not being used at places where there could be life, they said. A team of experts from the National Geophysical Research Institute is lending a helping hand in the search operation to trace the 66 people, including 24 Nepali labourers, reported missing since the tragedy. According to the India Meteorological Department , there is moderate to high flash flood risk in a few watersheds and neighbourhoods of 11 of Uttarakhand's 13 districts, including Uttarkashi, over the next 24 hours. The devastating flash flood on August 5 virtually left almost half of Dharali village buried under mud and badly damaged an army camp in nearby Harsil. "Through GPR scanning in the lower areas, 20 such spots have been found at a depth of two and a half to three metres, where buildings or other similar structures have been detected. "Light debris and then solid ground have been found below three metres which suggest there might be people trapped at that level," said an official of the National Disaster Response Force , who is on ground zero. Ground Penetrating Radars use radio waves to detect objects and structures up to a depth of 50 metres below the surface. However, the search operation with heavy equipment is being carried out very carefully as the soil here is marshy and sinking, he said. Machines are strictly not being used at places where there could be life. These points are marked, and digging there is being done with hand tools, the official said. Rescue radar, which works on radio frequency, is being used in the debris-filled areas of Dharali to speed up search operations, a technical officer of Erica Engineering, which uses the equipment, said. According to NDRF officials at the site, equipment like GPR and rescue radar will continue to be used until the entire debris-filled area is marked. The NGRI had used its GPRs to locate people trapped in the SLBC tunnel collapse in Telangana in February this year. These radars of NGRI can detect human life even in the presence of mud and water, the officials said, adding that the GPR surveys will also detect anomalies within the debris. According to officials, 42 people are missing, including nine army personnel, eight residents of Dharali village, five from nearby areas, one person from Tehri district, 13 from Bihar and six from Uttar Pradesh. Apart from these, 29 Nepali labourers were also reported missing initially, out of which five have been contacted after the restoration of mobile network in the area, he said. More details about the remaining 24 labourers, like their mobile numbers and places where they hailed from, have been sought from their contractors in the hope that they might also have escaped to safety like five others of their team, Garhwal Commissioner Vinay Shankar Pandey said. Meanwhile, air rescue of stranded people was delayed by bad weather on Tuesday, even as transportation of relief material to the affected people in Dharali and Harsil continued for the seventh day. Supply of relief materials, including food items by helicopters, could be resumed only in the afternoon after the weather cleared, with consignments of foodgrains, edibles and fuel flown from Matli and Chinyalisaur helipads for the affected people. Materials needed by the BRO to repair the damaged stretches of the Gangotri National Highway at Songad and Dabrani were also carried by the helicopters. Two pregnant women of Dharali village were airlifted to Matli helipad to be taken to the District Hospital, Uttarkashi. However, weather continues to be a major challenge with the IMD saying there is moderate to high flash flood risk likely over a few watersheds and neighbourhoods of 11 of Uttarakhand's 13 districts, including Uttarkashi, over the next 24 hours. The districts at risk include Almora, Bageshwar, Chamoli, Champawat, Dehradun, Nainital, Pauri, Pithoragarh, Rudraprayag, Tehri and Uttarkashi, it said. Surface runoff or inundation may occur at some fully saturated soils and low-lying areas during the period, it said. The yatra to Kedarnath in Rudraprayag district and Badrinath and Hemkund Sahib in Chamoli have been suspended from August 12-14 in view of the MeT department's alert of heavy rains during the period in almost all the districts of Uttarakhand. This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.
Time of India
12 hours ago
- Time of India
Monsoon revival to drench Gujarat this festive weekend
Ahmedabad: After an extended dry period, Gujarat is expected to witness revival of monsoon activity this festive weekend with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting heavy rain in central and south Gujarat as also a few districts in Saurashtra. The IMD bulletin stated that heavy rain is very likely at isolated places Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar, Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad, and in Daman and Dadra and Nagar Haveli. In Saurashtra, similar weather is forecast in Amreli, Bhavnagar, Gir Somnath, and Diu. Rainfall is predicted for three days beginning Aug 16. The weather department said the monsoon system remains active, with the main rain-bearing line stretching from Punjab through Uttarakhand to Arunachal Pradesh along the Himalayan foothills. A weather disturbance over the central Bay of Bengal is expected to develop into a low-pressure area on Aug 13 over the west-central and adjoining northwest Bay. This system is likely to strengthen over the following two days, potentially bringing more rain. Meanwhile, light rainfall was recorded in 50 talukas of the state in 24 hours ending Tuesday 6am with Shinor in Vadodara getting the highest 23mm. Since June 1, Gujarat has received a total of 568.65 mm rainfall, which is 64.48% of the seasonal average. Among regions, South Gujarat recorded the highest cumulative rainfall at 1,027.20 mm (68.95%), followed by Central Gujarat with 536.17 mm. This monsoon, Devbhoomi Dwarka district has recorded the maximum rainfall of 2,079 mm, which is around 135% more than its decade average. Stay updated with the latest local news from your city on Times of India (TOI). Check upcoming bank holidays , public holidays , and current gold rates and silver prices in your area.
Time of India
14 hours ago
- Time of India
Over 23 roads, including four major ones, closed in Uttarakhand's Pithoragarh due to landslides
Advt Advt Due to rain-induced minor landslides, four major roads and more than 19 rural roads are closed in Uttarakhand's Pithoragarh district on Tuesday, said the district major roads closed include Thal - Munsiyari road, Tawaghat - Gunji road, Munsiyari - Milam road, and Dharchula - Tawaghat a holiday has been declared for all schools from classes 1 to 12, as well as all Anganwadi centres in the Dehradun district today, in view of the possibility of a heavy rainfall alert issued by the Meteorological Department."In view of the possibility of heavy rainfall issued by the Meteorological Department, Dehradun, a holiday has been declared for all schools from classes 1 to 12 as well as all Anganwadi centres in the Dehradun district for tomorrow, Tuesday, i.e., August 12. This order will apply not only to school students but also equally to school management and staff," an official release said on the Kedarnath Yatra in Uttarakhand has been temporarily halted for three days due to a red alert issued by the IMD predicting heavy rainfall in the district administration has been put on high alert, and security arrangements have been made to ensure the safety of pilgrims and per the predictions by the IMD, heavy rain is expected in Rudraprayag district and the entire state on August 12, 13 and 14."As per the predictions by the IMD, red and orange alerts have been predicted in Rudraprayag and other districts of the state. The administration has been put on alert, and security arrangements have also been made," District Magistrate Prateek Jain said in a self-made further appealed to all locals residing near water bodies to shift to safer places, further stating that the water level of the river was being constantly monitored and weather alerts would be issued from time to time."We are keeping a check on the rising water levels of the river here. We also appeal to residents to shift to safer places and be personnel, including the police, public work department and disaster management teams, have been asked to be on alert. We will be keeping a check on the weather, and will let the public know when the Kedarnath Yatra will resume," Jain further Kedarnath temple, dedicated to Lord Shiva, is located at an altitude of over 11,000 feet in the Himalayas and holds immense religious significance. The Kedarnath Yatra doors for the year 2025 were opened for devotees on May 2.
