Red Sox at Twins Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 29
Minnesota walked it off against Boston via two-run single by Brooks Lee in the 9th inning, winning the series opener. 5-4. Both the Red Sox and Twins are 4-6 through 10 games post All-Star break.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Twins
Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
Time: 7:40PM EST
Site: Target Field
City: Minneapolis, MN
Network/Streaming: NESN, MNNT
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Red Sox at the Twins
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: Red Sox (-119), Twins (+100)
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Twins
Pitching matchup for July 29, 2025: Lucas Giolito vs. TBA
Red Sox: Lucas Giolito, Last outing: 11.25 ERA, 5 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Twins: TBA
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Red Sox and the Twins
Rotoworld Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the value on Boston to miss the postseason:
'Boston has the third-toughest remaining strength of schedule (.516 winning %). Let's look at the first 15 games of the second half for Boston:
3 road games at the Cubs (1-2 record)3 road games at the Phillies (1-2 record)3 home games vs the Dodgers (2-1 record)3 road games at the Twins (0-1 record)3 home games vs the Astros
That schedule alone could put them behind and make a +105 to -115 bet became -200 to -300 quickly (already -180). During the All-Star break, I played Boston at plus-money to miss the postseason and think it's still a good bet after losing three of four after the break.'
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Red Sox and the Twins:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Minnesota Twins at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Twins
The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against American League teams
The Under is 7-2-1 in the Red Sox's last 10 games
The Red Sox have covered in 4 of their last 5 games for a profit of 2.08 units
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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