Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions
Season series: Tigers lead 5-4
The Tigers are coming off a 2-1 series win at the Chicago White Sox, wrapping up the set with a 1-0 victory Wednesday. Detroit cashed as a -142 favorite and the Under (8) hit. Rookie SP Troy Melton allowed just 1 hit and struck out 6 over 5 scoreless innings, while RF Wenceel Pérez drove in the game's lone run with a sacrifice fly in the sixth.
The Twins avoided a 3-game sweep at the New York Yankees with a 4-1 win Wednesday, cashing as +128 underdogs with the Under (8.5) hitting. SP Joe Ryan (win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K) improved to 12-5 on the season, helping Minnesota snap a 9-game skid against New York.
Tigers at Twins projected starters
LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Bailey Ober
Skubal (11-3, 2.35 ERA) makes his 24th start. He leads MLB with a 0.86 WHIP and 1.3 BB/9, and he also tops the AL with 11.6 K/9 through 145 1/3 innings.
Ober (4-7, 5.16 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 103 innings.
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Tigers at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.
Tigers at Twins picks and predictions
Tigers 5, Twins 3
Moneyline
The Tigers (-210) are 17-6 in Skubal's starts and will likely win again Thursday, but the straddle is too high in this market.
PASS on the moneyline.
Run line/Against the spread
The Tigers have won 7 of Skubal's last 11 starts by multiple runs, while the Twins have dropped 6 of Ober's last 7 by 2 runs or more.
Skubal fanned 13 over 7 scoreless innings against Minnesota June 29, and the day before, Ober was tagged for 7 ER on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings at Detroit. The Tigers won both matchups by at least 3 runs.
BET TIGERS -1.5 (-125).
Over/Under
Ober has given up 4 or more ER in 6 of his last 7 starts, with the Over hitting in 5 of those games. And while it might seem counterintuitive to expect a high-scoring game with Skubal on the mound, the Over is 4-1-1 in his last 6 outings.
BET OVER 7.5 (-105).
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