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Yahoo
3 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Markets still expect Sept. Fed rate cut, despite hot PPI data
Even hotter-than-expected inflation data isn't rattling the market's expectation of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September. Yahoo Finance Senior Reporters Jennifer Schonberger and Allie Canal outline the latest. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. What's also interesting, Jen, is we're not seeing, uh, at least fed funds futures budge that much this morning. That is not the sum total of of inflation expect of, uh, interest rate expectations, but it is a snapshot. Yeah, it is interesting that we're holding at 90% plus and above. Um, but again, I think it's almost like the market's trying to force the Fed's hand, and we do know there's volatility in these reports. So we'll have to see. We're going to get another CPI. We're going to get another PPI before September. But I think also, I'm reading this morning that you didn't just see the good side of PPI pop up, you saw the services side as well. And, uh, we heard from Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee yesterday, and when he talked about the CPI number, he said what concerned him about that was that services increased. So if we are seeing inflation increase, not just on the goods side, but on the services side, that's going to be concerning for the Fed. They're going to need to see more reports, right, before they make any determination on that. But if it's clear that inflation is not staying in the goods lane, and it's spilling over to services, which is what the Fed was concerned about before, we saw inflation coming down before this recent rout popping back up, then that's something to look for. Um, and Ali, you know, of course, it's not just fed funds futures. We can look across the spectrum, and we definitely saw stocks react negatively to this. Yeah, stock futures falling across the board here. And it is interesting to see those fed fund futures, uh, still hovering around that 95% when it comes to expectations for rate cuts in September, cuz normally that's correlated to what we see in the stock market. I'm looking at bond yields right now, too. And the 10-year yield is still low, hovering around 4.2%. So we're not seeing this, uh, massive recalibration of rate cut expectations, but we do have a wide range of dispersion when it comes to what Wall Street thinks is going to happen, when it comes to what actual FOMC officials think could happen. And that's because, as Jed was Jen was alluding to, the Fed is really caught between its two dual mandates. And even though we did have a better than feared CPI print, let's not forget that core services did firm up. And that's what I've been hearing from my sources is the fact that we have services inflation that's now firmer. That can offset any increases we see on the good side due to tariffs. And like you were saying, Julie, we have heard from businesses throughout this earning season that they're absorbing a lot of these costs. But from the early commentary on Wall Street, that's only going to last so long, and eventually that has to get passed on to the consumer price index and to, uh, our actual wallets. So that's something to look out for in the fall, and even into 2026, because that's what economists have been telling us. We're not going to see this tariff pass through right away. It's going to take a longer time. And I think markets got a little too excited after that CPI report the other day that maybe we won't see that impact fully materialize. I just, I just think from this hotter PPI print that might not be a reality.
Yahoo
3 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq wobble after PPI inflation comes in much hotter than expected
US stocks were mixed on Thursday as Wall Street digested a much hotter-than-expected PPI inflation print, souring optimism around a large September rate cut. The major gauges pared initial losses Thursday morning, with Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) down 0.1% and the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) rising 0.1%. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose roughly 0.2%. July's Producer Price Index (PPI) came in much hotter than expected, with month-over-month prices rising 0.9% compared to expectations of 0.2%. On an annual basis, prices rose 3.3%, the most since February. "Core" producer prices, which strip out the cost of food and energy, saw the largest increase in three years. The inflation shock looked set to sap the enthusiasm of a roaring market this week. Stocks extended their rally Wednesday, pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to consecutive record highs. Bitcoin got a boost from mounting rate-cut bets, too, reaching a new record high Wednesday evening before scaling back on those gains. Euphoria over a possible September rate cut had swept Wall Street over the past two sessions after July's Consumer Price Index report showed inflation rose as expected, but not dramatically. Traders had fully priced in a rate cut at the Fed's next meeting, even as some Fed policymakers continue to urge patience. On Thursday morning, investors had once again shifted some bets to a rate hold next month. Friday's retail sales reading will serve as this week's final economic data point. In corporate news, cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose over 7% on Thursday, hovering around $75, more than double its IPO price of $37. stock continues freefall after 'brutal' preliminary financial results stock sank 3.5% Thursday, putting shares down more than 20% over the past five trading sessions. The AI software company's shares have suffered since releasing preliminary results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026, which ended July 31. The company estimated last Friday that it will see a quarterly loss of $57.7 million to $57.9 million on revenue in the range of $70.2 million to $70.4 million. C3 will report its full results on Sept. 3. Its preliminary results were "well below" consensus estimates on Wall Street and the company's previous guidance for a loss of $23.5 million to $33.5 million on revenue of $100 million to $109 million, JPMorgan analyst Brian Essex wrote in a note to clients Monday. C3 has been mired in controversy over the last several years. In 2022, investors sued the company and its founder and former CEO, Tom Siebel, for misrepresenting the size of a sales team related to its largest partnership with energy company Baker Hughes (BKR). In 2023, short-selling firm Spruce Point Management alleged the company showed "signs of problematic financial reporting and accounting." Then last month, Siebel stepped down from the role of CEO due to an autoimmune disease diagnosis. Since C3 released its preliminary results last Friday, four investment firms, including Oppenheimer and DA Davidson, have downgraded C3 stock to Market Perform and Sell ratings. Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on the stock but lowered its price target to $23 from $35. "This was a brutal quarter and if C3 cannot turn this around darker days could be ahead," Dan Ives wrote in a note to clients Monday. America's favorite office lunch spots are having a challenging summer Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports: Read more here. Stocks fall at the open after latest inflation data shows rising producer prices US stocks sank Thursday at the market open, after the latest Producer Price Index reading showed wholesale inflation climbing much more than expected — a negative sign for hopes of a Fed rate cut in September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) sank more than 0.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) lost 0.25%. Wholesale inflation rises more than expected in July The Producer Price Index — a measure of wholesale inflation that tracks changes in the selling prices of US producers of goods and services — rose 0.9% in July, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday, more than the 0.2% expected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. That was the biggest jump since June 2022. That's after the PPI was unchanged in June and advanced a more modest 0.4% in May. Driving the increase in July was a rise in prices for final demand services, or services sold by businesses, which climbed 1.1% — the largest jump since March 2022. Producers also saw higher prices of raw materials businesses use to make other products, which rose 1.8%, led by a jump in prices for food and animal feed (in particular, the price of raw milk soared 9.1%). Still, that was smaller than the 2.6% rise in June. Read more here. September rate hold? Investors say it's (sort of) back on the table Thursday's hot PPI reading has shifted bets on the Fed's next move a bit. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, a cut is no longer fully priced in. Yesterday's odds: Today's odds (as of 9 a.m. ET): So the bets on a jumbo cut have in effect switched places with holding steady. Trending tickers in premarket trading: Bullish, Deere, Cisco Here's a look at the top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance this morning: Bullish (BLSH): The cryptocurrency exchange operator's stock rose 5% in premarket trading after it posted an 83% gain in its first day of trading. The stock saw gains as high as 215% on Wednesday after it opened for trade at $90. You can read more about the Bullish IPO here. (JD): Shares were up 0.2% after the Chinese e-commerce company reported that net income fell by more than 50% year over year amid new investments into the competitive food delivery space in China. Revenue of 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion) beat estimates, however. Deere (DE): Shares of the farm equipment maker fell 5% as quarterly sales fell 9% from a year ago. Deere also narrowed its full-year profit forecast, and profits for the third quarter came in lighter than expected. Cisco (CSCO): The networking giant reported earnings that barely beat estimates and results that showed Cisco benefiting from a boom in AI demand. Still, the stock dropped 1.6% in premarket trading. Check out live coverage of corporate earnings here. Bitcoin, ethereum trade near record highs as Wall Street grows bullish on crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year's token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration's pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst. Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800. "We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years," Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday. Stocks may be at all-time highs, but speculative froth isn't Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports: Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July); Earnings: (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy 117-year high at busiest port in the US Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs 'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics Amazon grocery push stocks still in focus When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up. The latest example came on Wednesday Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall. I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time. Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning: I don't hate this Cisco quarter Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report. The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook. Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative. "We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted," KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said. I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further! Bullish stock rises to $75 after IPO debut Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut. Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion. Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade. Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading. The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut. Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion. Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration. Read more here Nvidia partner Foxconn profit jumps after AI spending rises Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., ( HNHPF, HNHAF) said on Thursday it expects higher third-quarter revenue due to robust demand for its artificial intelligence servers, which has helped the world's largest contract electronics maker beat forecasts and see a 27% increase in second-quarter profit. Reuters reports: Read more here. stock continues freefall after 'brutal' preliminary financial results stock sank 3.5% Thursday, putting shares down more than 20% over the past five trading sessions. The AI software company's shares have suffered since releasing preliminary results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026, which ended July 31. The company estimated last Friday that it will see a quarterly loss of $57.7 million to $57.9 million on revenue in the range of $70.2 million to $70.4 million. C3 will report its full results on Sept. 3. Its preliminary results were "well below" consensus estimates on Wall Street and the company's previous guidance for a loss of $23.5 million to $33.5 million on revenue of $100 million to $109 million, JPMorgan analyst Brian Essex wrote in a note to clients Monday. C3 has been mired in controversy over the last several years. In 2022, investors sued the company and its founder and former CEO, Tom Siebel, for misrepresenting the size of a sales team related to its largest partnership with energy company Baker Hughes (BKR). In 2023, short-selling firm Spruce Point Management alleged the company showed "signs of problematic financial reporting and accounting." Then last month, Siebel stepped down from the role of CEO due to an autoimmune disease diagnosis. Since C3 released its preliminary results last Friday, four investment firms, including Oppenheimer and DA Davidson, have downgraded C3 stock to Market Perform and Sell ratings. Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on the stock but lowered its price target to $23 from $35. "This was a brutal quarter and if C3 cannot turn this around darker days could be ahead," Dan Ives wrote in a note to clients Monday. stock sank 3.5% Thursday, putting shares down more than 20% over the past five trading sessions. The AI software company's shares have suffered since releasing preliminary results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026, which ended July 31. The company estimated last Friday that it will see a quarterly loss of $57.7 million to $57.9 million on revenue in the range of $70.2 million to $70.4 million. C3 will report its full results on Sept. 3. Its preliminary results were "well below" consensus estimates on Wall Street and the company's previous guidance for a loss of $23.5 million to $33.5 million on revenue of $100 million to $109 million, JPMorgan analyst Brian Essex wrote in a note to clients Monday. C3 has been mired in controversy over the last several years. In 2022, investors sued the company and its founder and former CEO, Tom Siebel, for misrepresenting the size of a sales team related to its largest partnership with energy company Baker Hughes (BKR). In 2023, short-selling firm Spruce Point Management alleged the company showed "signs of problematic financial reporting and accounting." Then last month, Siebel stepped down from the role of CEO due to an autoimmune disease diagnosis. Since C3 released its preliminary results last Friday, four investment firms, including Oppenheimer and DA Davidson, have downgraded C3 stock to Market Perform and Sell ratings. Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on the stock but lowered its price target to $23 from $35. "This was a brutal quarter and if C3 cannot turn this around darker days could be ahead," Dan Ives wrote in a note to clients Monday. America's favorite office lunch spots are having a challenging summer Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports: Read more here. Stocks fall at the open after latest inflation data shows rising producer prices US stocks sank Thursday at the market open, after the latest Producer Price Index reading showed wholesale inflation climbing much more than expected — a negative sign for hopes of a Fed rate cut in September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) sank more than 0.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) lost 0.25%. US stocks sank Thursday at the market open, after the latest Producer Price Index reading showed wholesale inflation climbing much more than expected — a negative sign for hopes of a Fed rate cut in September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) sank more than 0.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) lost 0.25%. Wholesale inflation rises more than expected in July The Producer Price Index — a measure of wholesale inflation that tracks changes in the selling prices of US producers of goods and services — rose 0.9% in July, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday, more than the 0.2% expected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. That was the biggest jump since June 2022. That's after the PPI was unchanged in June and advanced a more modest 0.4% in May. Driving the increase in July was a rise in prices for final demand services, or services sold by businesses, which climbed 1.1% — the largest jump since March 2022. Producers also saw higher prices of raw materials businesses use to make other products, which rose 1.8%, led by a jump in prices for food and animal feed (in particular, the price of raw milk soared 9.1%). Still, that was smaller than the 2.6% rise in June. Read more here. The Producer Price Index — a measure of wholesale inflation that tracks changes in the selling prices of US producers of goods and services — rose 0.9% in July, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday, more than the 0.2% expected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. That was the biggest jump since June 2022. That's after the PPI was unchanged in June and advanced a more modest 0.4% in May. Driving the increase in July was a rise in prices for final demand services, or services sold by businesses, which climbed 1.1% — the largest jump since March 2022. Producers also saw higher prices of raw materials businesses use to make other products, which rose 1.8%, led by a jump in prices for food and animal feed (in particular, the price of raw milk soared 9.1%). Still, that was smaller than the 2.6% rise in June. Read more here. September rate hold? Investors say it's (sort of) back on the table Thursday's hot PPI reading has shifted bets on the Fed's next move a bit. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, a cut is no longer fully priced in. Yesterday's odds: Today's odds (as of 9 a.m. ET): So the bets on a jumbo cut have in effect switched places with holding steady. Thursday's hot PPI reading has shifted bets on the Fed's next move a bit. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, a cut is no longer fully priced in. Yesterday's odds: Today's odds (as of 9 a.m. ET): So the bets on a jumbo cut have in effect switched places with holding steady. Trending tickers in premarket trading: Bullish, Deere, Cisco Here's a look at the top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance this morning: Bullish (BLSH): The cryptocurrency exchange operator's stock rose 5% in premarket trading after it posted an 83% gain in its first day of trading. The stock saw gains as high as 215% on Wednesday after it opened for trade at $90. You can read more about the Bullish IPO here. (JD): Shares were up 0.2% after the Chinese e-commerce company reported that net income fell by more than 50% year over year amid new investments into the competitive food delivery space in China. Revenue of 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion) beat estimates, however. Deere (DE): Shares of the farm equipment maker fell 5% as quarterly sales fell 9% from a year ago. Deere also narrowed its full-year profit forecast, and profits for the third quarter came in lighter than expected. Cisco (CSCO): The networking giant reported earnings that barely beat estimates and results that showed Cisco benefiting from a boom in AI demand. Still, the stock dropped 1.6% in premarket trading. Check out live coverage of corporate earnings here. Here's a look at the top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance this morning: Bullish (BLSH): The cryptocurrency exchange operator's stock rose 5% in premarket trading after it posted an 83% gain in its first day of trading. The stock saw gains as high as 215% on Wednesday after it opened for trade at $90. You can read more about the Bullish IPO here. (JD): Shares were up 0.2% after the Chinese e-commerce company reported that net income fell by more than 50% year over year amid new investments into the competitive food delivery space in China. Revenue of 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion) beat estimates, however. Deere (DE): Shares of the farm equipment maker fell 5% as quarterly sales fell 9% from a year ago. Deere also narrowed its full-year profit forecast, and profits for the third quarter came in lighter than expected. Cisco (CSCO): The networking giant reported earnings that barely beat estimates and results that showed Cisco benefiting from a boom in AI demand. Still, the stock dropped 1.6% in premarket trading. Check out live coverage of corporate earnings here. Bitcoin, ethereum trade near record highs as Wall Street grows bullish on crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year's token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration's pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst. Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800. "We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years," Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year's token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration's pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst. Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800. "We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years," Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday. Stocks may be at all-time highs, but speculative froth isn't Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports: Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July); Earnings: (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy 117-year high at busiest port in the US Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs 'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July); Earnings: (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy 117-year high at busiest port in the US Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs 'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics Amazon grocery push stocks still in focus When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up. The latest example came on Wednesday Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall. I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time. Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning: When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up. The latest example came on Wednesday Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall. I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time. Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning: I don't hate this Cisco quarter Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report. The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook. Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative. "We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted," KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said. I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further! Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report. The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook. Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative. "We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted," KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said. I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further! Bullish stock rises to $75 after IPO debut Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut. Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion. Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade. Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading. The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut. Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion. Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration. Read more here Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut. Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion. Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade. Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading. The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut. Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion. Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration. Read more here Nvidia partner Foxconn profit jumps after AI spending rises Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., ( HNHPF, HNHAF) said on Thursday it expects higher third-quarter revenue due to robust demand for its artificial intelligence servers, which has helped the world's largest contract electronics maker beat forecasts and see a 27% increase in second-quarter profit. Reuters reports: Read more here. Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., ( HNHPF, HNHAF) said on Thursday it expects higher third-quarter revenue due to robust demand for its artificial intelligence servers, which has helped the world's largest contract electronics maker beat forecasts and see a 27% increase in second-quarter profit. Reuters reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
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Wholesale inflation much hotter than expected in July — throwing possible wrench into rate cut hopes
Wholesale prices rose at a much hotter-than-expected pace in July — throwing a possible wrench into Wall Street's growing hopes for a rate cut next month. The Producer Price Index, which measures final demand goods and services prices, jumped 0.9% in July – its biggest monthly gain since June 2022, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Thursday. That came in far above expectations for a 0.2% rise. 4 Container ships piled high with cargo at the port in Qingdao in China's eastern Shandong province. AFP via Getty Images Over the past 12 months, the PPI increased 3.3% in July, coming in well above the Federal Reserve's 2% goal – just after a tame 2.7% consumer inflation reading earlier this week had seemingly teed up a rate cut in September. 'Given how benign the CPI numbers were on Tuesday, this is a most unwelcome surprise to the upside and is likely to unwind some of the optimism of a 'guaranteed' rate cut next month,' Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Northlight Asset Management, said in a note Thursday. 'The large spike in the Producer Price Index this morning shows inflation is coursing through the economy, even if it hasn't been felt by consumers yet.' Markets had priced in near-certain odds that the Fed would slash interest rates by a quarter point during its September meeting. Those odds dipped slightly on Thursday following the PPI report's release, according to CME FedWatch, which tracks 30-day Fed Funds futures prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 129 points, or 0.3%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 0.2% and less than 0.1%. 4 President Trump speaks at an event at the Kennedy Center on Wednesday. Getty Images Core PPI – which excludes volatile food and energy prices – rose 0.9%, above expectations of a 0.3% increase. Excluding food, energy and trade services, the index rose 0.6% for its largest gain since March 2022. Services inflation largely drove the reading, rising 1.1% in July. Trade services margins rose 2% in July as President Trump's trade war raged on. Start and end your day informed with our newsletters Morning Report and Evening Update: Your source for today's top stories Thanks for signing up! Enter your email address Please provide a valid email address. By clicking above you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Never miss a story. Check out more newsletters About 30% of the increase in services came from a 3.8% jump in machinery and equipment wholesaling. Portfolio management fees increased 5.8% and airline passenger services prices ticked up 1%. 'The fact that PPI was stronger-than-expected and CPI has been relatively soft suggests that businesses are eating much of the tariff costs instead of passing them onto the consumer,' Clark Geranen, chief market strategist at CalBay Investments, said in a note Thursday. 4 Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon speaks during a business summit in Australia in March. REUTERS 'Businesses may soon start to reverse course and start passing these costs to consumers.' That would fulfill projections published earlier this week in a report from Goldman Sachs economists, who argued that US consumers will end up bearing the brunt of Trump's tariffs. So far, consumers have absorbed just 22% of tariff costs, but this share will likely jump to 67% as businesses start to hike prices, the report said. Every morning, the NY POSTcast offers a deep dive into the headlines with the Post's signature mix of politics, business, pop culture, true crime and everything in between. Subscribe here! Trump fumed that Goldman Sachs boss David Solomon should go back to 'being a DJ' and 'get himself a new economist.' Thursday's producer price data puts Fed Chairman Jerome Powell – who Trump has pushed to slash rates – in a more complex spot. 'We had the hideous jobs report and that may be more of a worry than inflation at the given moment,' Ken Mahoney, CEO at Mahoney Asset Management, told The Post. 4 Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference in July. REUTERS 'This could be a one-off and there is no pattern here yet, but we will see how this plays out.' He added that the running joke online seems to be that 'whoever put the PPI out will lose their job today because the number was bad.' Earlier this month, Trump abruptly fired BLS chief Erika McEntarfer after a dismal economic report revealed the labor market has been weakening for months. The president said he plans to nominate E.J. Antoni, a harsh critic of the department and top economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, to lead the bureau.
