Oregon at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions
The Oregon Ducks (16-7, 5-7 Big Ten) visit the No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (18-4, 9-2) Saturday at Breslin Center in East Lansing. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's college basketball odds around the Oregon vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Ducks lost 80-76 at Michigan to open the 2-game Great Lake States road trip, but Oregon was able to cover as a 7.5-point underdog to halt a 6-game non-cover skid. The Over (152) cashed, and the total has now gone high in 4 of the past 5 outings.
The Spartans had a rough ride in Southern California, losing to USC and UCLA Feb. 1-4, although the average margin of defeat was just 4.0 points per game (PPG). After an 8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) run from Nov. 27-Jan. 12, Sparty is just 2-3-1 ATS in the past 6 games. The Under has cashed in 3 in a row and 8 of the past 11 outings.
These teams met in a non-conference game at Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Portland, Ore., on Nov. 26, 2022. Sparty won 74-70 while cashing as a 3.5-point favorite while the Over (134) hit.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men's Basketball Coaches Poll
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Oregon at Michigan State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Oregon +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Michigan State -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
: Oregon +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Michigan State -375 (bet $375 to win $100) Against the spread : Oregon +8.5 (-110) | Michigan State -8.5 (-110)
: Oregon +8.5 (-110) | Michigan State -8.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Oregon at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan State 76, Oregon 67
Michigan State (-375) costs more than 3½ times the potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
For the Spartans, they are risky because they've suffered losses in the past 2 games, too.
However, Oregon (+290) has dropped 4 in a row, and it cannot be trusted, too.
AVOID.
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BACK MICHIGAN STATE -8.5 (-110) lightly.
Oregon +8.5 (-115) is just 1-6 ATS in the past 7 games, while going 4-10 ATS in the previous 14 outings.
For Michigan State, it is just 2-3-1 ATS in the previous 6 contests, so neither of these teams is killing it from a cover perspective.
UNDER 146.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The Under has cashed in 3 consecutive outings for Michigan State, while going 4-1 in the previous 5 contests. In addition, Sparty has cashed low on the total in each of the past 2 games at home, while going 7-1 in the past 8 outings at Breslin Center.
For Oregon, though, the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games, so proceed with caution. The Under is 3-3 in 6 road conference games to date.
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