Oklahoma Sooners among teams with a chance to win national title
Elliott has identified 18 teams that are capable of winning the national championship this season, and the Oklahoma Sooners were once again among the contenders. Elliott has a simple explanation for what his Blue-Chip Ratio is, and how it is used.
Teams that have a legitimate chance to contend are a majority of four- and five-star players than not. Elliott says, "This has held true for every modern national champion. And while recruiting rankings aren't perfect, they are extremely effective -- especially when taken in the aggregate."
Elliott also explains what the Blue-Chip Ratio is not, and outlines further how the metric has held up for every modern national title winner. Teams can make the College Football Playoff with a low blue-chip ratio, but they're going to have a hard time advancing and winning it all.
Elliott also emphasized that transfers are not part of the standard Blue Chip Ratio, and that no team has ever won the national title by building through the portal.
OU's Blue-Chip Ratio is 70% in 2025, good for ninth on Elliott's list. The SEC dominates the BCR, with nine of the top 18, and two teams that Elliott believes will make the list next year, in South Carolina and Ole Miss. That's 11 of the top 20 teams in BCR in the country this year. Oklahoma's mark of 70% puts them at sixth in the SEC. Alabama and Ohio State are tied for the top spot with an 89% BCR.
When transfers were included, Oklahoma's number drops to 56%, placing them 12th in Elliott's metric and seventh in the SEC. Ohio State leads the way in this category, with an 82% blue-chip ratio.
Though the Sooners have had a rough go at things over the past few years, there's still enough talent in the building, according to a metric that has held up for more than a decade, that Oklahoma has what it takes to compete for a title. OU has recruited well for the most part under fourth-year head coach Brent Venables, and they're one of the blue bloods of college football. It's not a surprise to see them on the BCR, as they've been regulars on this list.
The 2025 season will go a long way in deciding the future of this program. Venables and Co. can't afford another year like 2022 or 2024. The Sooners have been preparing since the winter to show everybody what they're all about this year. In theory, they've got the pieces to make a run in 2025.
Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on X, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions. You can also follow Aaron on X @Aaron_Gelvin.
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