‘Hold Your Horses Ahead of Earnings,' Says Christopher Rolland About Intel Stock
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That's why all eyes will be on the fallen chip giant next Thursday (July 24), when it reports Q2 earnings, a key moment that could offer clues about whether Intel's turnaround efforts are starting to gain traction.
But for those hoping to see early signs of real progress, disappointment may be in store. Assessing Intel's situation, Susquehanna's Christopher Rolland, an analyst ranked amongst the top 2% of Wall Street stock experts, thinks that 'tariff-related PC pull-ins' likely extended into early Q2, before tapering off later in the quarter.
Still, there are some incremental positives. Average selling prices (ASPs) seem to be rising modestly quarter-over-quarter, helped by early gains in AI PC adoption. Lunar Lake laptops climbed 1.5% to around 2.2% share, Arrow Lake desktops also rose 1.5% to roughly 2.3%, and Meteor Lake laptops increased 1% to reach 12% share. Even so, demand remains skewed toward older process nodes – Intel 7 still accounts for about 55% of both laptop and desktop shipments. According to Rolland, this points to 'ongoing problem for capacity shortages at older nodes that may limit revenue upside.'
Meanwhile, competitive pressures continue to mount, especially in the PC market. Intel is losing ground in the notebook space, where AMD is gaining momentum at OEMs like Dell. Rolland expects Intel's Client Computing Group (CCG) to post a 5% quarter-over-quarter decline, in line with consensus. However, he cautions that demand pull-forward and persistent market share erosion could dampen performance in the second half, potentially leading to a softer-than-usual seasonal outlook.
Feedback from the server channel was somewhat more encouraging, but here, too, Intel is feeling the squeeze. AMD is taking share in critical segments, including China, enterprise customers like Dell, and U.S. hyperscalers. While Intel CPUs are still widely used in AI systems such as Nvidia's DGX, Rolland remains cautious about the shift toward Nvidia's Grace architecture and the upcoming GB200 platform.
In Foundry, CEO Lip-Bu Tan might be redirecting efforts from the 18A node toward 14A, amid reports that 18A could be dropped for external customers. For Q2, the Foundry guide was lowered due to reduced wafer volume and ongoing 7nm capacity constraints.
Rolland expects Q2 gross margins to be roughly in line with the lowered guide (down 270 basis points sequentially) as Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake ramp up, both relying on costly TSMC tiles. Looking ahead, the road to margin recovery remains bumpy. Server-side pressures, soft AI PC adoption, high production costs, and the fact that Panther Lake isn't expected to scale meaningfully until 2026 all pose ongoing challenges.
Finally, Rolland continues to hear of layoffs at Intel, which could point to operating expense reductions beyond the $17 billion already targeted for the year – a 'favorable sign.'
'In short,' Rolland summed up, 'we expect Intel to post generally in-line results, but weaker guidance for 3Q/2H as tariff-related PC pull-ins in 1Q begin to fade, GB200/Grace ramps, and AMD continues to win PC/Server share.'
Bottom line, ahead of the print, Rolland rates INTC shares a Neutral, while his $22 price target suggests the stock will stay range-bound for the foreseeable future. (To watch Rolland's track record, click here)
According to TipRanks database, the INTC fence indeed appears the place to be right now; the stock claims a Hold (i.e., Neutral) consensus view, based on a mix of 26 Holds, 4 Sells and just a single Buy. Going by the $21.60 average price target, the shares will see a downside of ~5% over the coming months. (See INTC stock forecast)
To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks' Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks' equity insights.
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All information provided in this press release is as of the date of this press release, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law. For investor and media inquiries, please contact: OMS Energy Technologies RelationsEmail: ir@ Piacente Financial CommunicationsBrandi PiacenteTel: +1-212-481-2050Email: oms@ Hui FanTel: +86-10-6508-0677Email: oms@ Unaudited Summary of Financial ResultsConsolidated Statements of Financial Positions For theyear endedMarch 31, 2025 For theyear endedMarch 31, 2024 US$'000 US$'000 Assets Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents 72,950 43,470 Restricted cash, current 1,692 1,593 Trade receivables 13,467 31,948 Contract assets 983 1,730 Inventories 32,546 30,689 Prepayment and other current assets 1,646 3,067 Amount due from a related party 1,584 1,585 Total Current Assets 124,868 114,082 Non-current assets: Restricted cash, non-current 1,189 367 Right-of-use assets 8,086 3,549 Property, plant and equipment 32,055 32,040 Intangible assets 42 126 Deferred tax assets 2,938 2,574 Prepayment and other non-current assets 1,327 694 Total Non-Current Assets 45,637 39,350 Total Assets 170,505 153,432 Liabilities Current Liabilities: Trade and other payables 15,070 47,535 Loans and borrowings — 6,504 Tax payable 8,200 6,669 Lease liabilities, current 1,187 741 Total Current Liabilities 24,457 61,449 Non-current Liabilities: Employee benefits obligation 827 751 Lease liabilities, non-current 6,096 1,843 Deferred tax liabilities 4,217 3,684 Other payables, non-current — 5,000 Provisions 321 351 Total Non-Current Liabilities 11,461 11,629 Total Liabilities 35,918 73,078 Equity Share capital 4 4 Share premium 72,648 67,648 Retained earnings 58,634 13,818 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (2,397 ) (4,441 ) Equity attributable to Shareholders of the Company 128,889 77,029 Non-controlling interests 5,698 3,325 Total equity 134,587 80,354 Total liabilities and equity 170,505 153,432 Consolidated Statements of Profit or Loss and Other Comprehensive Income Successor Successor Predecessor For theyear endedMarch 31, 2025 For the periodJune 16, 2023throughMarch 31, 2024 For the periodApril 1throughJune 15, 2023 US$'000 US$'000 US$'000 Revenue – third parties 203,607 163,267 16,967 Revenue – related parties — — 1,215 Total revenue 203,607 163,267 18,182 Cost of revenue – third parties (134,620 ) (114,525 ) (13,080 ) Cost of revenue – related parties — — (75 ) Total cost of revenue (134,620 ) (114,525 ) (13,155 ) Gross profit 68,987 48,742 5,027 Selling, general and administrative expenses (9,122 ) (8,574 ) (1,790 ) Operating profit 59,865 40,168 3,237 Bargain purchase gain — 49,429 — Other income/(expenses), net – third parties 246 775 (108 ) Other income, net – related parties — — 29 Total other income/(expenses), net 246 50,204 (79 ) Finance income – third parties 339 55 9 Finance income – related parties — — 65 Total finance income 339 55 74 Finance cost – third parties (284 ) (915 ) (38 ) Finance cost – related parties — — (162 ) Total finance cost (284 ) (915 ) (200 ) Profit before tax 60,166 89,512 3,032 Income tax expense (13,189 ) (7,424 ) (657 ) Net profit 46,977 82,088 2,375 Other comprehensive income/(loss): Items that will not be reclassified to profit or loss Foreign currency translation differences 2,258 (1,701 ) (610 ) Changes resulting from actuarial remeasurement of employee benefits obligation (2 ) (33 ) (9 ) Other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax 2,256 (1,734 ) (619 ) Total comprehensive income 49,233 80,354 1,756 Net profit attributable to: Shareholders of the Company 44,816 80,880 1,867 Non-controlling interests 2,161 1,208 508 Net profit 46,977 82,088 2,375 Total comprehensive income attributable to: Shareholders of the Company 46,860 79,184 1,310 Non-controlling interests 2,373 1,170 446 Total comprehensive income 49,233 80,354 1,756 Basic and diluted weighted-average shares outstanding 37,822,500 36,900,000 Basic and diluted earnings per share (as adjusted) (US$) 1.18 2.19 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows Successor Successor Predecessor For theyear endedMarch 31, 2025 For the periodJune 16, 2023throughMarch 31,2024 For the periodApril 1throughJune 15,2023 US$'000 US$'000 US$'000 Operating activities Net profit 46,977 82,088 2,375 Adjustments for: Income tax expenses 13,189 7,424 657 Depreciation of property, plant and equipment 2,711 3,800 251 Amortization of intangible assets 84 97 6 Depreciation of right-of-use assets 1,412 1,030 140 Loss/(gain) on disposal of property, plant and equipment 111 (357 ) — Allowance for/(reversal of) inventories obsolescence 571 (335 ) (6 ) Allowance for/(reversal of) expected credit losses 121 (3 ) — Finance costs 284 915 200 Finance income (339 ) (55 ) (74 ) Loss/(gain) on unrealized foreign exchange 493 (793 ) 134 Gain on bargain purchase — (49,429 ) — Changes in operating assets and liabilities: Trade receivables 18,975 (17,961 ) (2,727 ) Contract assets 764 (1,505 ) 1,139 Inventories (2,329 ) (20,817 ) (360 ) Prepayment and other assets 809 418 (1,219 ) Trade receivables due from related parties — 284 (428 ) Trade and other payables (32,239 ) 26,157 (2,224 ) Employee benefits obligation 59 11 24 51,653 30,969 (2,112 ) Cash provided by operations: Interest received 339 55 74 Income taxes paid (11,490 ) (6,979 ) (852 ) Net cash provided by/(used in) operating activities 40,502 24,045 (2,890 ) Investing activities Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment — 698 — Cash payment for management buyout — (2,000 ) — Acquisition of property, plant and equipment (2,863 ) (3,238 ) (1,200 ) Acquisition of intangible asset — (11 ) — Repayment from/(loan to) related parties — — 20,981 Amount due from a related party 1 (1,585 ) — Net cash (used in)/provided by investing activities (2,862 ) (6,136 ) 19,781 Financing activities Advances from potential investors — 5,000 — Proceeds from loans and borrowings — — 874 Proceeds from loans from related parties — — 8,845 Repayment of loans from related parties — — (28,038 ) Repayment of loans and borrowings (6,504 ) (3,874 ) — Interest paid (253 ) (211 ) (200 ) Payment of lease liabilities (1,302 ) (824 ) (197 ) Net cash (used in)/provided by financing activities (8,059 ) 91 (18,716 ) Effect of foreign exchange on cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash 820 (2,473 ) (75 ) Net increase/(decrease) in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash 30,401 15,527 (1,900 ) Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at beginning of year/period 45,430 29,903 31,803 Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at end of year/period 75,831 45,430 29,903 Less: Restricted cash, non-current 1,189 367 1,150 Less: Restricted cash, current 1,692 1,593 1,087 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year/period 72,950 43,470 27,666
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