
Canada's April inflation data set to show impact of carbon price removal
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Statistics Canada is set to release inflation data for April today.
Market data shows economists on average expect the annual rate of inflation cooled to 1.6 per cent last month, from 2.3 per cent in March.
The Liberal government eliminated the consumer carbon price at the start of April, offering motorists some relief at the pump.
2:04
Gas prices fall after consumer carbon tax ends in most of Canada
Last month also marked the first full month of tariffs between Canada and the United States, though both sides have offered some exemptions in the trade dispute.
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RSM economist Tu Nguyen says she doesn't expect tariffs to drive the headline inflation number higher yet even if Canadians ended up paying more for certain goods like autos last month.
The April inflation figures come a little more than two weeks before the Bank of Canada is set to make its next interest rate decision on June 4.

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Canada joined its NATO allies on Wednesday in agreeing to a new defence spending target of five per cent of GDP — but the details are more complicated. Members of the alliance will have until 2035 to reach the new spending goal, for one thing. And the five per cent is being split into two categories: 'core defence requirements' and broader defence-related infrastructure and industry. Speaking to reporters at The Hague at the NATO summit, Prime Minister Mark Carney expressed confidence that Canada will achieve its new objectives after lagging behind the alliance's spending goals for years. 'We've arrived at this summit looking forward with a plan to help lead with new investments to build our strength,' he said. 'The investments we're making in defence and security, broader security, given the new threats that Canada faces — we're not at a trade-off, we're not at sacrifices in order to do those. These will be net-additive.' 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Story continues below advertisement The pledge marks a substantial increase from the alliance's previous commitment to spend at least two per cent of GDP on defence, which was agreed to in 2014 and which Canada for years consistently failed to meet. The new target includes at least 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence expenditures, which NATO defines as funding primarily toward a country's armed forces. That includes everything from large-scale military equipment like fighter jets and submarines, to ammunition, to salaries and pensions for military members, to related defence forces like national police and coast guards. The second spending category is up to 1.5 per cent of GDP toward broadly-defined initiatives to 'protect our critical infrastructure, defend our networks, ensure our civil preparedness and resilience, unleash innovation, and strengthen our defence industrial base,' according to the summit declaration. NATO leaders agreed to review the new spending plan in 2029 to ensure it aligns with the global threat environment at that time. 'Our investments will ensure we have the forces, capabilities, resources, infrastructure, warfighting readiness, and resilience needed to deter and defend in line with our three core tasks of deterrence and defence, crisis prevention and management, and cooperative security,' the declaration says. How will Canada get there? Canada has long lagged behind the previous two per cent NATO target. According to NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte's annual report released in April, Canada's defence spending likely hit 1.45 per cent last year. Story continues below advertisement Carney previously announced Canada will reach two per cent by the end of the current fiscal year in March — half a decade earlier than previously estimated — with $9.3 billion in new funding. 2:07 How will Canada meet its defence spending targets? Much of that money will go toward pay increases for Canadian Armed Forces members and enhancing existing military bases and equipment, while also shoring up the domestic defence industrial base. Get daily National news Get the day's top news, political, economic, and current affairs headlines, delivered to your inbox once a day. Sign up for daily National newsletter Sign Up By providing your email address, you have read and agree to Global News' Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy 'At the core of our defence investment, of course, are the men and women of the Canadian Armed Forces,' Carney said Wednesday while framing the earlier announcement as 'working toward' the new 3.5 per cent core defence target. Carney noted those military members 'have not been paid to reflect what we are asking them to do' and have been stuck with outdated or non-working equipment. 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'This is going to be tens of billions dollars of spending — a huge amount of money, don't get me wrong, but it's not nearly as much on an annual basis as we did to combat the pandemic. 'So if the Government Canada wants to see this through, it can absolutely happen.' 2:06 Canada needs to spend $150B per year for new NATO target: Carney Carney said international defence partnerships like the one Canada signed this week with the European Union, as well as the one being negotiated with the United States, will help keep domestic costs down. Story continues below advertisement 'If you all of a sudden start spending a lot more money in one area, you can end up spending a lot more money on rising prices and choke points,' he said. 'That's part of the reason why we're co-operating more closely with the Europeans, part of the reason why we continue co-operation with the U.S. in the right areas, but also part of the reason why this increase will happen at a measured pace, or we'll try to do it at a measured pace.' Perry noted the wording of the agreement gives Canada and other allies 'a lot less rigor and fidelity around the additional 1.5 percent of non-core defence spending.' Kevin Page, the former parliamentary budget officer and president of the Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy at the University of Ottawa, told Global News the overall spending increase is 'feasible, but it will be challenging.' 'We're going to need to see the strategy and the plan that kind of goes with it,' he said, both in the upcoming budget in the fall and other detailed reports on defence spending. Where are other allies at? NATO says it expects all 32 alliance members to reach the earlier two per cent target this year, compared to just three allies in 2014. Story continues below advertisement According to Rutte's annual report, only Poland has met or surpassed the new 3.5 per cent target for core defence spending, having hit 4.07 per cent last year. The United States — whose president Donald Trump has pushed for the five per cent target, as well as Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, spent above three per cent of their GDP on defence in 2024. The annual report noted that the U.S. last year accounted for 64 per cent of defence expenditures among all NATO allies, with the other 31 members making up the rest. Rutte on Wednesday credited Trump, who has criticized the alliance and even threatened to not defend members that don't pay enough for defence, for shifting that dynamic. 'He was totally right that Europe and Canada were not basically providing to NATO what we should provide, and that the U.S. was spending so much more on defence than the Europeans and the Canadians,' he said. 'Now we are correcting that. We are equalizing.' —With files from Global's Nathaniel Dove