Libra Horoscope Today, 17th August 2025: Balance decisions to restore inner harmony
ET Online Libra Horoscope Today: Balance decisions to restore inner harmony
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Hindustan Times
11 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
Gamblers Now Bet on AI Models Like Racehorses
Now that AI developers are getting paid like pro athletes, it's fitting that fans are placing big bets on how well they're doing their jobs. Gamblers Now Bet on AI Models Like Racehorses On Kalshi, Polymarket and other sites where people wager 'predictions' on real-world events, gamblers lay down millions each month on their picks for AI's top model. The AI arms race is playing out in plain sight on social media, ranking sites and obscure corners of the internet where enthusiasts hunt for clues. The constant buzz makes the topic appealing for wagers, though not every scrap of information is meaningful. Foster McCoy made $10,000 in a few hours in early August by betting against the success of OpenAI's GPT-5 release. The 27-year-old day trader noticed people were misreading an online ranking site that appeared to hype GPT-5, so he put $4,500 on its competitor, Google's Gemini, to be 'Best AI This Month.' As more bettors fell in line with his call, he cashed out. That's just another day for McCoy, who has traded $3.2 million on Kalshi since the start of 2025—making $170,000. He's part of a growing contingent of bettors making hundreds of trades a week on AI markets, on a range of wagers such as 'Best AI at the end of 2025,' 'AI regulation becomes federal law this year,' and 'Will [Chief Executive] Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?' Trading volume across AI prediction markets has surged to around $20 million this month. Kalshi, the only platform currently available in the U.S., is seeing 10 times the volume on AI trades compared with the start of the year, a spokesman says. Each bet, or 'contract,' is priced in cents to reflect the odds: McCoy bought thousands of Gemini contracts at around 40 cents, meaning it had a 40% chance of winning. If the bet had settled and Gemini won, McCoy's 40 cents would become a dollar. If Gemini lost, McCoy would lose it all. But much of the action happens before the final outcome. As more people piled into the Gemini bet, the contract price rose. McCoy sold when it had reached 87 cents. It's like betting on a sports match, only with the option to cash out when the odds rise in favor of your bet. 'You're just betting against what the other guy knows,' says McCoy, who credits his success to 'being chronically online.' He trades from home on a triple-monitor setup tuned to the holy trinity of AI betting: X, Discord and LMArena, a leaderboard where people rate AI model performance in blind tests. Social-media beefs can be gold for gamblers. After GPT-5's debut, a flurry of Elon Musk posts claiming the superiority of his xAI Grok chatbot sent the 'Grok to Win' market up more than 500% within hours. Before long, it had fallen nearly all the way back down. Rishab Jain, a Harvard undergraduate, tracks back-end updates and obscure X posts to anticipate new AI model launches. Bettors end up down rabbit holes hunting for more obscure tidbits. Harvard undergraduate Rishab Jain often scans X accounts of lesser-known researchers. The day before GPT-5's release, OpenAI's Sam Altman posted an image of the Death Star from 'Star Wars.' When a researcher from Google's DeepMind replied with an image of the killer globe under attack, Jain read it as a sign of confidence from Gemini's makers. Jain also scrapes source files from Google's apps and monitors public GitHub repositories tied to its products, looking for back-end changes that might signal a soon-to-be-released Gemini model. 'I'm almost obsessively up-to-date with what's going on in this world,' Jain says. 'Google has so many products that need to integrate a new model before it officially launches, and you can see those changes happening in the back end if you know where to look.' Since starting in June, he has won $3,500. Strategies vary. Some bet on the big industry players, others buy low on less-known or soon-to-be-updated models. Some compare odds on Kalshi and Polymarket to find arbitrage opportunities in the odds. As volume for these AI trades continues to grow, the incentive for good information will only increase, and the squeeze on casual bettors will get tighter, says Robin Hanson, a professor of economics at George Mason University. 'When you have better information in these kinds of markets, you can make better decisions,' Hanson says. 'If you know a little more, you make more money.' For now, the markets still draw a mix of sharks like McCoy and Jain along with casual bettors. 'I'm just a dude that likes tech and has some time and money,' says James Cole, a 35-year-old who recently shut down a company he founded. 'I'm speculating with mostly instinct and 10 minutes of research.' He says he's up for the year…so far. Write to Ben Raab at Gamblers Now Bet on AI Models Like Racehorses
Time of India
36 minutes ago
- Time of India
Libra Daily Horoscope Today, August 18, 2025: This is not the day to let your guard down
Today's energy supports your ability to adjust to new situations with ease. Life may present unexpected turns, but you have the strength to adapt gracefully. Avoid fear of change and instead welcome it as an opportunity for growth. Your flexibility will help you stay balanced in every situation. People may admire your calmness under pressure. Trust yourself, and do not resist what comes your way. Adapting with confidence today ensures that challenges become stepping stones toward a brighter tomorrow. Libra Love Horoscope Today In love, adapting to your partner's needs will bring harmony and closeness. If you are in a relationship, avoid rigid expectations and listen with care. Adjusting in small ways can make a big difference in building trust. For singles, staying open to new experiences may lead you to meet someone special. Avoid being stuck in old patterns and embrace change in love. Relationships become stronger when both hearts adapt to each other's rhythms with patience and understanding. Libra Career Horoscope Today Career success today depends on how well you adapt to workplace changes. A new task or approach may be required, so remain flexible. Avoid resisting suggestions and instead learn from them. Colleagues may appreciate your cooperative attitude, and seniors may notice your ability to handle pressure. Challenges today are chances to prove your resilience. Stay calm, think clearly, and adjust strategies where needed. This adaptable approach will not only help you succeed but also earn respect and recognition at work. Libra Money Horoscope Today Financial stability comes when you adapt your spending and saving habits wisely. If plans change, adjust calmly instead of panicking. Avoid unnecessary purchases and focus on financial security. New opportunities may appear in unexpected ways, so stay open to them. Investments should be made carefully after reviewing current conditions. Learning to shift with circumstances ensures stability. Adaptability in money matters today will help you maintain balance and prepare for future growth without stress or unnecessary risks. Libra Health Horoscope Today Health remains good when you adapt your routine to what your body needs. Avoid forcing habits that do not work for you anymore. Try new exercises, healthier food choices, or relaxation techniques to improve wellness. Stress may arise from sudden changes, so manage it with mindfulness. Rest when necessary and do not push beyond limits. Adapting to your body's requirements keeps you healthy and strong. When you stay flexible in both mind and body, energy flows smoothly, improving overall health. Discover everything about astrology at Times of India , including daily horoscopes for Aries , Taurus , Gemini , Cancer , Leo , Virgo , Libra , Scorpio , Sagittarius , Capricorn , Aquarius , and Pisces . Read your detailed Horoscope Today and Horoscope Tomorrow here.
Hindustan Times
41 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
Aquarius Horoscope Today for August 18, 2025: You may require taking up new responsibilities that are challenging
Aquarius (Jan 22-Feb 19) Daily Horoscope Prediction says, You are born to rule Meet a new person today to make the day romantic. Ensure that the office life is productive and financial prosperity also exists. You are also in good health. Aquarius Horoscope Today: Read our expert astrological predictions to find out what the stars have in store for you. (Freepik) There is no scope for ego clashes in love life. Professional challenges may keep you busy throughout the day. There will be both prosperity and good health today. Aquarius Love Horoscope Today Be creative in terms of romance, and also give surprise gifts today. You should also provide space to the partner and not impose your ideas, which may hamper the relationship. Consider spending more time with the lover, but avoid unpleasant discussions that may upset the partner. Some love affairs will require more communication, and this is vital in long-distance affairs. Those who have recently had a break-up will find a new love. Your relationship will also have the backing of your parents. Aquarius Career Horoscope Today Be cool even while having tense situations at the workplace. Avoid arguments, especially with seniors, and devote more time to accomplishing the tasks. You may require taking up new responsibilities that are also challenging. Be diplomatic in team meetings and present your ideas only when asked. You should also be careful about a coworker who may conspire against you today. Businessmen should also be careful about new partnerships today. Aquarius Money Horoscope Today No major financial issue will hurt you. There will be success in settling a monetary dispute with a friend or sibling. Consider buying shares, and you will also be successful in inheriting a part of the family property today. Though huge margins may be absent, entrepreneurs will be prosperous. Some females may purchase a home or a vehicle in the second half of the day. Aquarius Health Horoscope Today Make sure you cut down on eating unhealthy food, which could be one of the primary reasons for your deteriorating health. Instead, go for homemade food rich in nutrients, vitamins, and minerals. There will also be skin-related issues that may upset females today. Some seniors will require consulting a doctor in the second part of the day, as body aches will come up. Children will also complain about digestion or oral health issues. Aquarius Sign Attributes Strength: Tolerant, Ideal, Friendly, Charitable, Independent, Logical Weakness: Disobedient, Liberalistic, Rebel Symbol: Water carrier Element: Air Body Part: Ankles & Legs Sign Ruler: Uranus Lucky Day: Saturday Lucky Color: Navy Blue Lucky Number: 22 Lucky Stone: Blue Sapphire Aquarius Sign Compatibility Chart Natural affinity: Aries, Gemini, Libra, Sagittarius Good compatibility: Leo, Aquarius Fair compatibility: Cancer, Virgo, Capricorn, Pisces Less compatibility: Taurus, Scorpio By: Dr. J. N. Pandey Vedic Astrology & Vastu Expert Website: E-mail: djnpandey@ Phone: 91-9811107060 (WhatsApp Only)
