Stock market today: Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally in bounce back from Friday sell-off
The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 1.4%, while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 1.3% or more than 500 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the gains, rising about 1.7%.
The moves follow a sharp pullback on Wall Street on Friday. All three major indexes posted their worst weekly declines in months, ending a run of positive market moves.
The declines were exacerbated Friday after July's jobs report came in weaker than expected, and previous months' tallies were revised sharply lower, flipping the narrative on the labor market's strength. It led President Trump to lash out at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which publishes the monthly jobs report, and fire its commissioner. Trump suggested he would nominate a new head for the agency in the coming days.
Trump's battle with the Fed and Chair Jerome Powell has also remained in focus. Traders tempered expectations around interest rate policy following the bank's decision last week to leave rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting. But after the weak jobs data, almost 90% of bets are on a cut in September.
At the same time, investors are examining fallout from Trump's implementation of tariffs. The updated tariffs set to come into full effect this week range from 10% to 41% on a wide range of trading partners and raise concerns about rising costs amid broader inflationary pressures.
On Monday Trump said he would be "substantially raising" tariffs on India as he presses to stop purchasing Russian oil, effectively accusing the nation of subsidizing Russia's war in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Tesla (TSLA) stock edged higher after reports emerged that the company had granted CEO Elon Musk 96 million shares worth about $29 billion.
Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs
Earnings season continues to roll on with a busy week of corporate releases. Over 100 S&P 500 companies are set to report, with spotlights on Palantir (PLTR), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Disney (DIS).
American Eagle stock rises 16% after Trump weighs in on viral Sydney Sweeney ad
Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports:
Read more here.
Amazon's slowing cloud growth could continue to drag on its stock
Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:
Read more here.
Tariffs not expected to cause recession or end bull market, says UBS
As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market.
'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning.
"While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market."
In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods.
On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all partners.The US is set to implement duties this week.
Trump says he will 'substantially' raise tariffs on India
President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off.
"India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning.
"They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added.
President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil.
Tesla shares jump 3% as board approves $30 billion alternative pay deal for Musk
Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk.
As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports:
Read more here.
Stocks open higher following market sell-off
US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%.
Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway.
Trending tickers in premarket trading: Opendoor, Palantir, Tesla, Joby, Tyson
Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell:
Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums.
Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday.
Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing.
Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news.
Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits.
Check out more trending tickers here.
Wayfair stock surges after online furniture retailer swings to a profit
Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021.
Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion.
Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million.
"We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry."
Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here.
Good morning. Here's what's happening today.
Economic data: Factory orders (June)
Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W)
Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning:
Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on
Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk
US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there'
Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days
Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength
Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns
Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M
Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices
Oil slides as traders assess OPEC+ hike and Russian risks
Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength
Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns
Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Goldman with a sobering view on the consumer
Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day.
Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius:
"We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity.
We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year."
Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices
Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Gold steady with weak job data bolstering the precious metal
Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
American Eagle stock rises 16% after Trump weighs in on viral Sydney Sweeney ad
Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports:
Read more here.
Amazon's slowing cloud growth could continue to drag on its stock
Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:
Read more here.
Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:
Read more here.
Tariffs not expected to cause recession or end bull market, says UBS
As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market.
'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning.
"While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market."
In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods.
On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all partners.The US is set to implement duties this week.
As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market.
'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning.
"While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market."
In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods.
On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all partners.The US is set to implement duties this week.
Trump says he will 'substantially' raise tariffs on India
President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off.
"India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning.
"They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added.
President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil.
President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off.
"India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning.
"They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added.
President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil.
Tesla shares jump 3% as board approves $30 billion alternative pay deal for Musk
Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk.
As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports:
Read more here.
Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk.
As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports:
Read more here.
Stocks open higher following market sell-off
US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%.
Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway.
US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%.
Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway.
Trending tickers in premarket trading: Opendoor, Palantir, Tesla, Joby, Tyson
Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell:
Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums.
Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday.
Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing.
Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news.
Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits.
Check out more trending tickers here.
Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell:
Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums.
Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday.
Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing.
Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news.
Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits.
Check out more trending tickers here.
Wayfair stock surges after online furniture retailer swings to a profit
Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021.
Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion.
Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million.
"We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry."
Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here.
Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021.
Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion.
Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million.
"We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry."
Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here.
Good morning. Here's what's happening today.
Economic data: Factory orders (June)
Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W)
Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning:
Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on
Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk
US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there'
Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days
Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength
Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns
Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M
Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices
Economic data: Factory orders (June)
Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W)
Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning:
Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on
Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk
US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there'
Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days
Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength
Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns
Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M
Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices
Oil slides as traders assess OPEC+ hike and Russian risks
Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength
Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns
Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Goldman with a sobering view on the consumer
Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day.
Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius:
"We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity.
We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year."
Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day.
Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius:
"We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity.
We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year."
Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices
Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market.
Bloomberg News reports:
Read more here.
Gold steady with weak job data bolstering the precious metal
Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
11 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Why the market is shrugging off Trump's firing of the BLS chief
Trump fired the head of the BLS on Friday, but so far, markets have looked past the shock decision. Sources say there are a variety of other sources investors can use to assess the employment picture. Strong earnings and higher rate-cut odds are powering stocks higher on Monday. August kicked off with a shocker, with Donald Trump firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics after a less-than-rosy July employment report. The move sparked prognostications about untrustworthy government data going forward and comparisons to China, which some believe is uninvestable due to issues with data quality. Then why is the market unfazed as trading kicks off on Monday? Stocks rallied to start the week, with the Dow up almost 500 points at midday and the Nasdaq Composite jumping as much as 2%. For now, markets are focused on other things, like the higher odds of a September rate cut after the employment picture suddenly soured. "Obviously, the firing was unconventional. That's pretty much everything with this administration compared to previous administrations, but at this point, there is so much private data that the market can look at other sources," Paul Hickey, cofounder of Bespoke Investment Group, told Business Insider. Apart from the BLS statistics that investors already parse, there's a patchwork of private and public data, including ADP data, hiring and firing data from a range of consulting firms, and labor market sentiment indicators from sources like the Conference Board. "There are private sources of data, and if they are moving in the opposite direction from the government data, then it becomes an indicator that something is off with the statistics,"Aleksandar Tomic, Associate Dean, Strategy, Innovation, & Technology at Boston College, told Business Insider. Trump said Erika McEntarfer's firing was justified and that the July data had been manipulated to make the administration look bad. He did not offer evidence for this claim, though White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said the revisions in the data are "hard evidence." The July revisions were substantial, showing that the US added nearly 260,000 fewer jobs in May and June than had been initially reported. Trump and Republicans have also criticized earlier revisions, including last year's that showed over 800,000 fewer jobs added in the 12 months leading up to March 2024. The irony of Trump's anger over the July jobs numbers is that the weak report has pushed up the odds of the September rate cut to nearly 90%, getting the president closer to seeing the Fed loosen monetary policy as he's been demanding all year. But for investors, things like the robust GDP report for the second quarter and solid corporate earnings, particularly among mega-cap tech giants, are boosting the outlook for the market even as Trump's move stirs some uncertainty. For Sergio Altomare, a former senior enterprise architect at the Fed, the next big question is who will replace McEntarfer at the helm of the BLS. "I think the ultimate impact is going to take time to sort itself out, but I think really the immediate thing is, who gets appointed? What is their background? What does the data show? Is it dramatically different from what we're seeing?" Altomare said that it will be difficult to properly assess the impact of Trump's decision on financial markets until these questions have clear answers. Luckily for markets, some answers could come soon. Trump has said that in the coming days, he'll nominate a new BLS chief, as well as a replacement for Fed Gov. Adriana Kugler, who resigned on Friday. Both positions require confirmation by the Senate. It is also worth noting that some agree with the president's decision. For his part, investing legend Ray Dalio said on Monday that he, too, would probably fire the BLS chief. In a post on X, he described the agency's process for making key economic estimates as "obsolete and error-prone," with no plan to fix it. "The revisions brought the numbers toward private estimates that were in fact much better," Dalio said. Read the original article on Business Insider
Yahoo
11 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Agilon (AGL) Q2 Earnings
Agilon Health (AGL) reported $1.39 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a year-over-year decline of 5.9%. EPS of -$0.25 for the same period compares to -$0.07 a year ago. The reported revenue represents a surprise of -4.98% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.47 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.11, the EPS surprise was -127.27%. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how Agilon performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Avg. Medicare Advantage Members: 498,000 compared to the 493,100 average estimate based on two analysts. Revenues- Other operating: $2.94 million versus $3.16 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -7.4% change. Revenues- Medical services: $1.39 billion compared to the $1.46 billion average estimate based on five analysts. The reported number represents a change of -5.9% year over year. View all Key Company Metrics for Agilon here>>> Shares of Agilon have returned -30% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
11 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Japan trade negotiator to visit US to press for swift implementation of auto tariff deal
TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan's top tariff negotiator Ryosei Akazawa said he planned to visit Washington from Tuesday to press the United States to have President Donald Trump sign an executive order to bring an agreed 15% tariff rate on automobiles into effect. The U.S. last month agreed in a trade deal with Japan to lower existing tariffs on Japanese automobile imports to 15% from levies totaling 27.5% previously. Duties that were due to come into effect on other Japanese goods will also be cut to 15% from 25%. "We will push the United States to make sure that an executive order be signed on the agreed tariff on automobiles and automotive components as soon as possible," Akazawa told parliament. Referring to the problem of "stacking" where goods can be affected by multiple tariffs, Akazawa also said Japan wants to make sure that goods that are already levied at more than 15% would be exempt from the additional 15% rate.