Nifty 50, Sensex today: What to expect from Indian stock market in trade on July 23 after Nikkei, Hang Seng rally

Mint

6 days ago

The Indian stock market benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to open higher on Wednesday, tracking a rally in global markets.
The trends on Gift Nifty also indicate a positive start for the Indian benchmark index. The Gift Nifty was trading around 25,158 level, a premium of nearly 65 points from the Nifty futures' previous close.
On Tuesday, the domestic equity market ended flat with negative bias amid high volatility, with the benchmark Nifty 50 holding above 25,000 level.
The Sensex eased 13.53 points, or 0.02%, to close at 82,186.81, while the Nifty 50 settled 29.80 points, or 0.12%, lower at 25,060.90.
Here's what to expect from Sensex, Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty today:
Sensex is still holding a lower top formation on daily charts and has also formed a bearish candle, which indicates temporary weakness.
'We believe that the current market texture is non-directional; hence, level-based trading would be the ideal strategy for day traders. For traders, the 82,200 mark or the 50-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) would be the key support zone. As long as Sensex trades above this level, a pullback formation is likely to continue. On the higher side, 82,800 and the 20-day SMA or 83,100 would be the key resistance areas for the bulls,' said Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Securities.
On the flip side, a breach of 82,200 could push Sensex towards 81,900, and further downside may also continue, which could drag the index down to 81,500.
On the derivatives front, the highest Call Open Interest (OI) for Nifty is seen at the 25,100 strike, followed by 25,200, indicating potential resistance at these levels. On the Put side, the highest OI is placed at 25,000, followed by 24,900, highlighting strong support zones.
This OI setup indicates that the 25,000 – 25,200 range will be crucial for Nifty's near-term directional move, with traders closely watching for a breakout or breakdown from this zone, said Hardik Matalia, Derivative Analyst - Research at Choice Equity Broking.
Nifty 50 formed a bearish candle on the daily chart, with a large body and minor wicks on the higher and lower sides, reflecting a lack of follow-through strength.
'A reasonable negative candle was formed on the daily chart at the highs which indicates lack of strength in the market to sustain the highs. Nifty 50 reversing down after one day of bounce back is not a good sign. Smaller degree bearish pattern like lower highs and lows continued on the daily chart and the Nifty 50 seems to have reversed down after a small lower high at 25,182 on Tuesday,' said Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities.
According to him, the underlying trend of Nifty 50 continues to be weak amidst choppy movement.
'Having rejected the hurdle of 25,200, the chances of Nifty 50 sliding below 24,900 is likely in the coming session. On such an event, the downside target could open around 24,500 for the coming weeks. Immediate resistance is placed at 25,200,' said Shetti.
Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical and Derivatives Research, SBI Securities noted that in the last six trading sessions, the Nifty 50 has failed to sustain above its 20-day EMA on four occasions, highlighting strong overhead supply at crucial moving average.
'For any meaningful upside to unfold, a decisive and sustained move above the 20-day EMA will be crucial. The momentum indicators and oscillators are suggesting sideways action. Going ahead, the 20-day EMA zone of 25,170 - 25,200 will act as an immediate hurdle for the index. Any sustainable move above the level of 25,200 will lead to a sharp upside rally upto the 25,350 level. While on the downside, the zone of 24,980 - 24,950 will act as crucial support for the index,' Shah said.
VLA Ambala, Co-Founder of Stock Market Today said that the Nifty 50 index formed a bearish marubozu candlestick pattern on the daily time frame, suggesting strong selling pressure and a potential downward trend.
'We can expect Nifty 50 to find support between 24,950 and 24,800, and meet resistance near 25,150 and 25,270 in today's trading session,' Ambala said.
Bank Nifty index declined 196.75 points, or 0.35%, to close at 56,756.00 on Tuesday, forming a dark cloud cover pattern on the daily chart.
'Bank Nifty index closed below the 20-day EMA, signalling short-term weakness, however still holding above the 50-day SMA, which offers interim support near 56,200. The RSI stands at 51.48 and has started to diverge negatively from recent highs, indicating that strength is fading. The MACD skewed on the lower side, suggesting the slowing momentum. The daily Super trend support is placed around 55,800, and any breakdown below this zone could add further weakness to the ongoing consolidation,' said Om Mehra, Technical Research Analyst, SAMCO Securities.
According to him, until Bank Nifty reclaims 57,300 on a closing basis, upside moves may remain limited. The bullish momentum seems to be waning; a cautious stance would be preferred in the short term.
Going ahead, Sudeep Shah believes the zone of 57,200 - 57,300 will act as an important hurdle for the Bank Nifty index, while on the downside, the zone of 56,400 - 56,300 will act as crucial support.
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