Mets at Padres prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30
Clay Holmes is slated to take the mound for New York against Yu Darvish for San Diego.
Last night the Padres broke open a close game with as five-run seventh inning to win going away, 7-1. Manny Machado's three-run home run highlighted the barrage. New York's bullpen failed yet again allowing six runs over the final three innings.
Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game details & how to watch Mets at Padres
Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
Time: 4:10PM EST
Site: Petco Park
City: San Diego, CA
Network/Streaming: SNY, SDPA, MLBN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Mets at the Padres
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
Moneyline: Mets (-124), Padres (+104)
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Padres
Pitching matchup for July 30, 2025: Clay Holmes vs. Yu Darvish
Mets: Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.41 ERA)
Last outing: July 25 at San Francisco - 1.80 ERA, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 StrikeoutsPadres: Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA)
Last outing: July 24 at San Diego - 21.60 ERA, 8 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts
Mets: Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.41 ERA)
Last outing: July 25 at San Francisco - 1.80 ERA, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Padres: Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA)
Last outing: July 24 at San Diego - 21.60 ERA, 8 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Padres
Betting the Padres on the Money Line last season profited 0.71 units when Yu Darvish starts at home
Yu Darvish has an ERA of 9.44 and a WHIP of 1.66 when starting this season
Francisco Lindor is 8-23 on the Mets' current road trip
Manny Machado is enjoying a 7-game hitting streak (16-29)
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for today's game between the Mets and the Padres
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Mets and the Padres:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the San Diego Padres at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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