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RBI monetary policy: Room for more easing ahead amid geopolitical shifts
Siddhartha Sanyal
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During its June meeting, the monetary policy committee (MPC) surprised with an outsized 50 basis points repo rate cut, a large CRR reduction, and a pivot back to 'neutral' stance from 'accommodative'. After such a large and multi-pronged monetary easing, the likelihood of further rate cut soon appeared slim. However, more recent geopolitical developments and evolving growth-inflation dynamics seem to have enhanced the probability of more easing in the near future.
Since June, retail inflation sprang fresh downside surprises to reach a six-year low of 2.1 per cent y/y. Average CPI inflation in 2025-26 will likely undershoot the RBI's downwardly

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Time of India
6 hours ago
- Time of India
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Economic Times
6 hours ago
- Economic Times
147% return on Sovereign Gold Bonds: RBI announces premature redemption price of these SGBs
ET Online SGB premature redemption The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced the premature redemption price for Sovereign Gold Bonds SGB 2019-20 Series-IX and SGB 2020-21 Series-V. The option to prematurely redeem these SGBs will be available on August 11, 2025, The tenure of these gold bonds is eight years and premature redemption of SGBs is permitted only after the fifth year from the date of issue. The last tranche of SGBs - SGB 2023-24 Series IV was issued in February 2024. Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB) scheme details The Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB) Scheme, managed by the RBI on behalf of the Government of India, offers a secure, paper/demat alternative to holding physical gold, eliminating storage and purity concerns while paying 2.5% annual interest. Pre-mature redemption of SGBs is allowed, after 5 years from date of issue, on interest payout dates. The bonds are tradable, transferable and can be used as loan collateral. Also read: Has RBI directed banks to stop disbursing Rs 500 notes from ATMs by September 30, 2025? Here is what government said How is SGB redemption price calculated? According to an RBI press release dated August 8, 2025, 'The redemption price of SGB shall be based on the simple average of closing gold price of 999 purity of previous three business days from the date of redemption, as published by the India Bullion and Jewellers Association Ltd (IBJA) What is the redemption price of SGB 2019-20 Series-IX and SGB 2020-21 Series-V ? The redemption price for premature redemption due on August 11, , 2025, shall be Rs 10,070 per unit of SGB based on the simple average of closing gold price for the three business days i.e., August 06, August 07, and August 08, 2025, according to the press release. SGB 2019-20 Series-IX The SGB 2019-20 Series-IX, issued at Rs 4070 per gram in September 2019, will yield an absolute simple return of nearly 147% on pre-mature redemption at the above mentioned absolute return comes to Rs 10,070 -4070 = Rs 6000 (without factoring in the interest). In percentage terms, it comes to 147.4% SGB 2020-21 Series-V The SGB 2020-21 Series-V, issued at Rs 5,334 per gram in August 2020, will yield an absolute return of nearly 89% if redeemed prematurely on the date mentioned absolute return has been calculated as: Rs 10,070-5,334 = Rs 4736 (without factoring in the interest). In percentage terms, it comes to 88.8% Note that the above absolute return calculations exclude the annual 2.5% interest which is over and above the capital gain earned. Interest payment The bonds bear interest at the rate of 2.50% (fixed rate) per annum on the amount of initial investment. Interest is credited semi-annually to the bank account of the investor and the last interest instalment is payable on maturity along with the principal. What investors need to do for premature redemption Investors holding SGBs should review the redemption schedule carefully. Some of the key actions include:a) Identify the tranche to which your bonds belong by checking the issue date. b) Ensure that your request for premature redemption is submitted by the deadline mentioned in the schedule. N.R. Narayana Murthy Founder, Infosys Watch Now Harsh Mariwala Chairman & Founder, Marico Watch Now Adar Poonawalla CEO, Serum Institute of India Watch Now Ronnie Screwvala Chairperson & Co-founder, upGrad Watch Now Puneet Dalmia Managing Director, Dalmia Bharat group Watch Now Martin Schwenk Former President & CEO, Mercedes-Benz, Thailand Watch Now Nadir Godrej Managing Director, of Godrej Industries Watch Now Manu Jain Former- Global Vice President, Xiaomi Watch Now Nithin Kamath Founder, CEO, Zerodha Watch Now Anil Agarwal Executive Chairman, Vedanta Resources Watch Now Dr. Prathap C. Reddy Founder Chairman, Apollo Hospitals Watch Now Vikram Kirloskar Former Vice Chairman, Toyota Kirloskar Motor Watch Now Kiran Mazumdar Shaw Executive Chairperson, Biocon Limited Watch Now Shashi Kiran Shetty Chairman of Allcargo Logistics, ECU Worldwide and Gati Ltd Watch Now Samir K Modi Managing Director, Modi Enterprises Watch Now R Gopalakrishnan Former Director Tata Sons, Former Vice Chairman, HUL Watch Now Sanjiv Mehta Former Chairman / CEO, Hindustan Unilever Watch Now Dr Ajai Chowdhry Co-Founder, HCL, Chairman EPIC Foundation, Author, Just Aspire Watch Now Shiv Khera Author, Business Consultant, Motivational Speaker Watch Now Nakul Anand Executive Director, ITC Limited Watch Now RS Sodhi Former MD, Amul & President, Indian Dairy Association Watch Now Anil Rai Gupta Managing Director & Chairman, Havells Watch Now Zia Mody Co-Founder & Managing Partner, AZB & Partners Watch Now Arundhati Bhattacharya Chairperson & CEO, Salesforce India Watch Now


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