National Hurricane Center watching 3 tropical waves. Heat index could hit 105 in Florida
Tropical conditions in the Atlantic remain quiet as we enter the third week of the 2025 hurricane season.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, including one in the western Caribbean.
The first named storm in the Atlantic basin will be Andrea.
➤ Track all active storms
➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location
In the eastern Pacific, former Tropical Storm Dalila has weakened into a post-tropical cyclone as it continues to move away from land but an area of low pressure off Central America is expected to become a tropical depression over the next couple of days.
Meanwhile, some showers and storms are expected in some locations across Florida as temperatures and the heat index continue to climb. Some areas could see a heat index as high as 105.
Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m., June 16.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin.
Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 02N to 16N with axis near 39W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph.
Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 02N to 15N with axis near 50W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph.
Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean south of 19N with axis near 80W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Numerous moderate to strong convection is ahead of the wave axis over the Nicaragua, Costa Rica and western Panama offshore waters.
"The average first named storm in the Atlantic is June 20, but development over the central and eastern basin looks unfavorable through June at this time," said AccuWeather lead hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva.
Former Tropical Storm Dalila is now a post-tropical cyclone as it moves west-northwest at 9 mph away from the western coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Dalila Sunday night.
An area of low pressure off Central America is expected to become a tropical depression over the next couple of days. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain are likely across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
The next named storm in the eastern Pacific will be Erick.
The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome.
The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high.
The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception.
"If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said.
Pensacola, western Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 4 p.m. Expect seasonably warm temperatures through the week, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s each afternoon. By the weekend, temps will approach the mid to upper 90s in some spots, with heat indices exceeding 100 degrees. There's a potential for heat advisories in some locations.
Tallahassee, central Panhandle: There's a good chance for showers and storms over the next several days, bringing dangerous lightning, heavy rain and strong winds. High near 89, with heat index values as high as 100.
Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92 and heat index values as high as 103.
Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon and evening, with greatest rain chances focused near to west of I-4 later in the day. It will remain hot and humid, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s at the coast and low to mid 90s inland. Heat index between 100 and 105.
West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida:Isolated chance for showers today along the east coast. About a 30% chance for showers and thunderstorm on the west coast, mainly after 2 p.m. High near 84 in West Palm Beach. High near 89 in Naples.
Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Drier air expected to arrive June 17 to reduce shower chances for the rest of the work week. High near 90 in Sarasota, with heat index as high as 101. High near 93 in Fort Myers, with heat index as high as 100.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.
The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories.
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Hurricane season starts June 1 in the Atlantic basin.
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin.
To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi.
Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated:
: for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific.
: for storms in the Northwest Pacific.
: for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean.
We will update our tropical weather coverage daily.
Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.
This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Hurricane season has NOAA tracking 3 tropical waves
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Eastern Pacific tropical rainstorm may rapidly strengthen, threaten Mexico
The eastern Pacific continues its tropical tear with already the fourth tropical storm of the season in the books and the fifth on the way. The latest tropical rainstorm has the potential to rapidly intensify and may threaten the coast of Mexico as a potent hurricane at landfall. Close on the heels of Dalila, a poorly organized tropical rainstorm just off the coast of Mexico is forecast by AccuWeather meteorologists to become the next tropical depression and tropical storm of the 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season. With four tropical storms and one hurricane already history for the basin, this season is well ahead of the historical average pace. Typically, the fourth tropical storm does not form until mid-July, and the average date for the first hurricane is not until June 26. Barbara briefly strengthened to a hurricane back on Sunday, June 8. "We expect the latest tropical rainstorm off the southern coast of Mexico and the western coast of Central America to slowly drift north-northwestward and gradually organize into midweek," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said, "Sometime on Tuesday or Wednesday, we should have a tropical depression or perhaps Tropical Storm Erick." That official call is made by the National Hurricane Center and will be based on wind and pressure data the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ "There is a chance that if this tropical rainstorm can organize quickly enough, it could then rapidly strengthen from a tropical storm to a powerful hurricane," DaSilva said, "That rapid intensification process could occur just hours prior to making landfall along the southwestern coast of Mexico sometime late Wednesday night to Thursday morning." Factoring in the possibilities of intensity, track, topography and population, the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes with the current rainstorm is a 1. Barbara peaked last week as an entry-level Category 1 hurricane while well offshore with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph. This new storm could easily eclipse that intensity as it approaches the coast and populated areas. How much rain and wind occur to the north and east of the center will depend on the amount of strengthening prior to landfall later this week. Both heavy rain and gusty winds will reach Mexico in advance of the center of the storm. Enough rain is likely to fall in parts of southern and southwestern Mexico along the coast and over the interior mountains to cause dangerous flash flooding and mudslides. Strong winds will buffet the coast generating large swells, big waves, overwash on the beaches and shoreline and dangerous rip currents in the surf zone. AccuWeather meteorologists expect 14-18 tropical storms for the eastern Pacific season with seven to 10 to become hurricanes. Of these, from three to six will bring direct impacts to Mexico and Central America. In the wake of the fifth tropical storm this week, there may be a brief lull in activity over the eastern Pacific. Tropical Atlantic continues to sleep Meanwhile, the tropical Atlantic basin continues to struggle with vast areas of dry air, dust and disruptive winds-all of which are not uncommon tropical development deterrents early in the season. "While the chances have become very small, we continue to watch the area close in to land in the southwestern Gulf and the western Caribbean for tropical development late in June," DaSilva said. There have been some showers and thunderstorms in this area in recent days, but no organization has occurred. "Any tropical rainstorm or depression that were to form in the area would likely not spend much time over warm water and, hence, its lifespan would be brief," DaSilva said. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center watching 3 tropical waves. Heat index could hit 105 in Florida
Tropical conditions in the Atlantic remain quiet as we enter the third week of the 2025 hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, including one in the western Caribbean. The first named storm in the Atlantic basin will be Andrea. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location In the eastern Pacific, former Tropical Storm Dalila has weakened into a post-tropical cyclone as it continues to move away from land but an area of low pressure off Central America is expected to become a tropical depression over the next couple of days. Meanwhile, some showers and storms are expected in some locations across Florida as temperatures and the heat index continue to climb. Some areas could see a heat index as high as 105. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m., June 16. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin. Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 02N to 16N with axis near 39W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 02N to 15N with axis near 50W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean south of 19N with axis near 80W, moving westward at 11 to 17 mph. Numerous moderate to strong convection is ahead of the wave axis over the Nicaragua, Costa Rica and western Panama offshore waters. "The average first named storm in the Atlantic is June 20, but development over the central and eastern basin looks unfavorable through June at this time," said AccuWeather lead hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva. Former Tropical Storm Dalila is now a post-tropical cyclone as it moves west-northwest at 9 mph away from the western coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Dalila Sunday night. An area of low pressure off Central America is expected to become a tropical depression over the next couple of days. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain are likely across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. The next named storm in the eastern Pacific will be Erick. The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. Pensacola, western Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 4 p.m. Expect seasonably warm temperatures through the week, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s each afternoon. By the weekend, temps will approach the mid to upper 90s in some spots, with heat indices exceeding 100 degrees. There's a potential for heat advisories in some locations. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: There's a good chance for showers and storms over the next several days, bringing dangerous lightning, heavy rain and strong winds. High near 89, with heat index values as high as 100. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92 and heat index values as high as 103. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon and evening, with greatest rain chances focused near to west of I-4 later in the day. It will remain hot and humid, with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s at the coast and low to mid 90s inland. Heat index between 100 and 105. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida:Isolated chance for showers today along the east coast. About a 30% chance for showers and thunderstorm on the west coast, mainly after 2 p.m. High near 84 in West Palm Beach. High near 89 in Naples. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Drier air expected to arrive June 17 to reduce shower chances for the rest of the work week. High near 90 in Sarasota, with heat index as high as 101. High near 93 in Fort Myers, with heat index as high as 100. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Hurricane season starts June 1 in the Atlantic basin. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Hurricane season has NOAA tracking 3 tropical waves
USA Today
8 hours ago
- USA Today
Tropical depression could form in Pacific in next few days: See tracker, spaghetti models
Tropical depression could form in Pacific in next few days: See tracker, spaghetti models Show Caption Hide Caption How to prepare for a hurricane It's important to take these steps before hurricane season. Another tropical storm could soon form in the Pacific Ocean. The National Hurricane Center said early Monday morning a broad area of low pressure "continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms" over and offshore of Central America. Hurricane center forecasters said environmental conditions appear conducive for "gradual development" of this system, currently labeled as EP94, and that a tropical depression is likely to form "in the next day or two" as the system moves west-northwestward near the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico. The NHC said interests in these locations should monitor the progress of this system and that, regardless of development, areas of heavy rain are likely across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. The hurricane center gives the system a 80% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and an 90% chance of formation through the next seven days. Pacific storm tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. EP94 spaghetti models Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. How do hurricanes form? Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees Fahrenheit. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reaches 39 miles per hour. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," NOAA recommends. Prepare now for hurricanes: Here's what you should do to stay safe before a storm arrives Develop an evacuation plan : If you are at risk from hurricanes, you need an evacuation plan. Now is the time to begin planning where you would go and how you would get there. : If you are at risk from hurricanes, you need an evacuation plan. Now is the time to begin planning where you would go and how you would get there. Assemble disaster supplies : Whether you're evacuating or sheltering-in-place, you're going to need supplies not just to get through the storm but for the potentially lengthy aftermath, NOAA said. : Whether you're evacuating or sheltering-in-place, you're going to need supplies not just to get through the storm but for the potentially lengthy aftermath, NOAA said. Get an insurance checkup and document your possessions : Contact your insurance company or agent now and ask for an insurance check-up to make sure you have enough insurance to repair or even replace your home and/or belongings. Remember, home and renters insurance doesn't cover flooding, so you'll need a separate policy for it. Flood insurance is available through your company, agent, or the National Flood Insurance Program. Act now, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period. : Contact your insurance company or agent now and ask for an insurance check-up to make sure you have enough insurance to repair or even replace your home and/or belongings. Remember, home and renters insurance doesn't cover flooding, so you'll need a separate policy for it. Flood insurance is available through your company, agent, or the National Flood Insurance Program. Act now, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period. Create a family communication plan : NOAA said to take the time now to write down your hurricane plan, and share it with your family. Determine family meeting places, and make sure to include an out-of-town location in case of evacuation. : NOAA said to take the time now to write down your hurricane plan, and share it with your family. Determine family meeting places, and make sure to include an out-of-town location in case of evacuation. Strengthen your home: Now is the time to improve your home's ability to withstand hurricane impacts. Trim trees; install storm shutters, accordion shutters, and/or impact glass; seal outside wall openings. Gabe Hauari is a national trending news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at Gdhauari@
