logo
China happily and aggressively filling Trump's climate vacuum

China happily and aggressively filling Trump's climate vacuum

AllAfrica6 days ago
When President Donald Trump announced in early 2025 that he was withdrawing the US from the Paris climate agreement for the second time, it triggered fears that the move would undermine global efforts to slow climate change and diminish America's global influence.
A big question hung in the air: Who would step into the leadership vacuum? While it's still too early to fully assess the long-term impact of the United States' political shift when it comes to global cooperation on climate change, there are signs that a new set of leaders is rising to the occasion.
The US first committed to the Paris Agreement in a joint announcement by President Barack Obama and China's Xi Jinping in 2015. At the time, the US agreed to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions 26% to 28% below 2005 levels by 2025 and pledged financial support to help developing countries adapt to climate risks and embrace renewable energy.
Some people praised the US engagement, while others criticized the original commitment as too weak. Since then, the US has cut emissions by 17.2% below 2005 levels – missing the goal, in part because its efforts have been stymied along the way.
Just two years after the landmark Paris Agreement, Trump stood in the Rose Garden in 2017 and announced he was withdrawing the US from the treaty, citing concerns that jobs would be lost, that meeting the goals would be an economic burden, and that it wouldn't be fair because China, the world's largest emitter today, wasn't projected to start reducing its emissions for several years.
Scientists and some politicians and business leaders were quick to criticize the decision, calling it 'shortsighted' and 'reckless.' Some feared that the Paris Agreement, signed by almost every country, would fall apart.
But it did not. In the US, businesses such as Apple, Google, Microsoft and Tesla made their own pledges to meet the Paris Agreement goals.
Hawaii passed legislation to become the first state to align with the agreement. A coalition of US cities and states banded together to form the United States Climate Alliance to keep working to slow climate change.
Globally, leaders from Italy, Germany and France rebutted Trump's assertion that the Paris Agreement could be renegotiated. Others from Japan, Canada, Australia and New Zealand doubled down on their own support of the global climate accord. In 2020, President Joe Biden brought the US back into the agreement. Amazon partnered with Dominion Energy to build solar farms, like this one, in Virginia. They power the company's cloud-computing and other services. Photo: Drew Angerer / Getty Images via The Conversation
Now, with Trump pulling the US out again – and taking steps to eliminate US climate policies, boost fossil fuels and slow the growth of clean energy at home – other countries are stepping up.
On July 24, 2025, China and the European Union issued a joint statement vowing to strengthen their climate targets and meet them. They alluded to the US, referring to 'the fluid and turbulent international situation today' in saying that 'the major economies … must step up efforts to address climate change.'
In some respects, this is a strength of the Paris Agreement – it is a legally nonbinding agreement based on what each country decides to commit to. Its flexibility keeps it alive, as the withdrawal of a single member does not trigger immediate sanctions, nor does it render the actions of others obsolete.
The agreement survived the first US withdrawal, and so far, all signs point to it surviving the second one.
From what I've seen in international climate meetings and my team's research, it appears that most countries are moving forward. One bloc emerging as a powerful voice in negotiations is the Like-Minded Group of Developing Countries – a group of low- and middle-income countries that includes China, India, Bolivia and Venezuela.
Driven by economic development concerns, these countries are pressuring the developed world to meet its commitments to both cut emissions and provide financial aid to poorer countries. Diego Pacheco, a negotiator from Bolivia, spoke on behalf of the Like-Minded Developing Countries group during a climate meeting in Bonn, Germany, in June 2025. Photo: IISD / ENB via The Conversation | Kiara Worth
China, motivated by economic and political factors, seems to be happily filling the climate power vacuum created by the US exit.
In 2017, China voiced disappointment over the first US withdrawal. It maintained its climate commitments and pledged to contribute more in climate finance to other developing countries than the US had committed to – US$3.1 billion compared with $3 billion.
This time around, China is using its leadership on climate change in ways that fit its broader strategy of gaining influence and economic power by supporting economic growth and cooperation in developing countries.
Through its Belt and Road Initiative, China has scaled up renewable energy exports and development in other countries, such as investing in solar power in Egypt and wind energy development in Ethiopia.
While China is still the world's largest coal consumer, it has aggressively pursued investments in renewable energy at home, including solar, wind and electrification. In 2024, about half the renewable energy capacity built worldwide was in China. China's interest in South America's energy resources has been growing for years. In 2019, China's special representative for climate change, Xie Zhenhua, met with Chile's then-ministers of energy and environment, Juan Carlos Jobet and Carolina Schmidt, in Chile. Photo: Martin Bernetti / AFP via Getty Images / The Conversation
While it missed the deadline to submit its climate pledge due this year, China has a goal of peaking its emissions before 2030 and then dropping to net-zero emissions by 2060. It is continuing major investments in renewable energy, both for its own use and for export.
The US government, in contrast, is cutting its support for wind and solar power. China also just expanded its carbon market to encourage emissions cuts in the cement, steel and aluminum sectors.
The British government has also ratcheted up its climate commitments as it seeks to become a clean energy superpower. In 2025, it pledged to cut emissions 77% by 2035 compared with 1990 levels.
Its new pledge is also more transparent and specific than in the past, with details on how specific sectors, such as power, transportation, construction and agriculture, will cut emissions. And it contains stronger commitments to provide funding to help developing countries grow more sustainably.
In terms of corporate leadership, while many American businesses are being quieter about their efforts, in order to avoid sparking the ire of the Trump administration, most appear to be continuing on a green path – despite the lack of federal support and diminished rules.
USA Today and Statista's 'America's Climate Leader List' includes about 500 large companies that have reduced their carbon intensity – carbon emissions divided by revenue – by 3% from the previous year. The data shows that the list is growing, up from about 400 in 2023.
The Paris Agreement isn't going anywhere. Given the agreement's design, with each country voluntarily setting its own goals, the US never had the power to drive it into obsolescence.
The question is whether developed and developing country leaders alike can navigate two pressing needs – economic growth and ecological sustainability – without compromising their leadership on climate change.
This year's UN climate conference in Brazil, COP30, will show how countries intend to move forward and, importantly, who will lead the way.
Shannon Gibson is professor of environmental studies, political science and international relations, USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
Research assistant Emerson Damiano, a recent graduate in environmental studies at USC, contributed to this article.
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Wall Street rises as global stock markets take Trump's new tariffs in stride
Wall Street rises as global stock markets take Trump's new tariffs in stride

South China Morning Post

timean hour ago

  • South China Morning Post

Wall Street rises as global stock markets take Trump's new tariffs in stride

Stocks are rising on Wall Street on Thursday, even as US President Donald Trump's latest tariffs kicked into effect on dozens of countries. The S&P 500 was 0.5 per cent higher in early trading and sitting just a bit below its record, which was set late last month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 254 points, as of 9.31am Eastern, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.8 per cent higher. Worries are still high that Trump's tariffs are damaging the economy, particularly after last week's worse-than-expected report on the job market. But hopes for coming cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve and a torrent of stronger-than-expected profit reports have been overshadowing the concerns on Wall Street, at least for now. Lower interest rates can give the economy and investment prices a boost, though the downside is that they can also push inflation higher. The Bank of England cut its main interest rate on Thursday in hopes of bolstering the sluggish UK economy. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Apple again helped lead the market on Thursday amid hopes that its massive size can help it navigate the new economy Trump is trying to fashion. Photo: AFP The US tariffs that took effect on Thursday morning were also already well known, as well as lower than what Trump had initially threatened. Some countries are still trying to negotiate down the tax rates on their exports, and continued uncertainty seems to be the only certainty on Wall Street. All the while, the US stock market faces criticism that it has climbed too far, too fast since hitting a bottom in April and left prices looking too expensive.

China-Russia trade hits 2025 high as Trump hints at 25% tariff over Russian oil imports
China-Russia trade hits 2025 high as Trump hints at 25% tariff over Russian oil imports

South China Morning Post

timean hour ago

  • South China Morning Post

China-Russia trade hits 2025 high as Trump hints at 25% tariff over Russian oil imports

Bilateral trade between China and Russia reached its highest level of the year in July, with the latest customs data coming as US President Donald Trump has hinted that China could be next to join India in facing a 25 per cent punitive tariff over continued purchases of Russian oil. Total trade between China and Russia stood at US$19.14 billion in July, up 8.7 per cent from June, according to figures from China's General Administration of Customs released on Thursday. But that marked a 2.8 per cent decrease from a year earlier. In the first seven months of 2025, total trade between China and Russia also fell 8 per cent, year on year, to US$125.8 billion. China's imports from Russia in July totalled US$10.1 billion, up 4.02 per cent from a year earlier. But in the same month, Chinese exports to the country dropped by 8.91 per cent, year on year, to US$9.1 billion. Russia was one of China's leading crude suppliers last year, shipping a record 108.5 million tonnes, or 19.6 per cent of its total oil imports, Chinese customs data showed. However, oil deliveries in July fell compared with June – amounting to less than 4 million tonnes, according to figures from Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service. Chinese customs authorities are expected to release detailed oil-trade data from Russia on August 20. For the first seven months of 2025, Russian tankers shipped 32 million tonnes to China – 4 million less than during the same period in 2024, according to the Ukrainian agency.

Bank of England cuts interest rate to boost economy
Bank of England cuts interest rate to boost economy

RTHK

timean hour ago

  • RTHK

Bank of England cuts interest rate to boost economy

Bank of England cuts interest rate to boost economy BoE Governor Andrew Bailey (centre) said Britain's inflation rate jumped unexpectedly in June as motor fuel and food prices remain high. Photo: Reuters The Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday cut its key interest rate by a quarter point to four percent, the lowest level in 2.5 years, as it bids to boost a UK economy still threatened by US tariffs. Alongside the expected decision, the BoE forecast British economic growth to hit 1.25 percent this year, slightly better than the central bank's previous estimate of one percent. "The direct impact of US tariffs is milder than feared but more general tariff-related uncertainty still weighs on sentiment," the BoE said in a statement. London and Washington reached an agreement in May to cut levies of more than 10 percent imposed by US President Donald Trump on certain UK-made items imported by the United States, notably vehicles. The quarter-point cut on Thursday was the BoE's fifth such reduction since starting a trimming cycle in August 2024. "Interest rates are still on a downward path, but any future rate cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully," said Governor Andrew Bailey following Thursday's decision. The BoE's main task is to keep Britain's annual inflation rate at 2.0 percent but the latest official data showed it had jumped unexpectedly to an 18-month high in June. The Consumer Prices Index increased to 3.6 percent as motor fuel and food prices stayed high. (AFP)

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store