Emmys 2025 nominations: Best prediction scores by Gold Derby experts, editors, and users
Almost 8,300 people worldwide predicted the Emmy nominations, with our top scorer correctly calling 117 of 140 nominee slots in the 25 categories, including such long shots as Colman Domingo of The Four Seasons, Natasha Rothwell of The White Lotus, and Rashida Jones of Black Mirror.
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'Awards Magnet': Our instant 2025 Emmy reactionsYou can see how your score compares to all others in our leaderboard rankings, including links to each participant's predictions. To see your scores, you need to be signed into the site. Then go to the User menu in the top right corner of every Gold Derby page. Use the drop-down menu to "view profile," then look for the links to your "award show scores."
For our nine Gold Derby editors predicting, Debra Birnbaum is in first place with 82.1 percent correct. In second place is Matt Noble with 80 percent correct. Denton Davidson is next with 79.3 percent and then Chris Beachum and Marcus James Dixon with 76.43 percent. Rob Licuria follows with 75.7 percent and then Kevin P. Sullivan with 73.6 percent. Ethan Alter is next with 71.4 percent. Mia McNiece did not complete all categories for 11.4 percent. See editors' scores.
Of the 27 experts who predicted, Birnbaum is tied at the top with Marcus Jones (Indiewire) with 82.1 percent. Scott Mantz (KTLA) is in second with 81.4 percent and then Tariq Khan (KSDK) with 80.7 percent. We have a three-way tie at 80 percent with Joyce Eng (Entertainment Weekly), Wilson Morales (BlackFilmandTV), and Matt Neglia (Next Best Picture). Tied at 79.3 percent are Pete Hammond (Deadline) and Christopher Rosen (The Ankler). We then have Clayton Davis (Variety) and Eric Deggans (NPR) at 77.9 percent. Ben Travers (Indiewire) is next with 77.1 percent and then Gregory Ellwood (The Playlist) and Matt Roush (TV Guide) with 76.4 percent. The next spot is held by Dave Nemetz (TV Line) with 75.7 percent, followed by Jazz Tangcay (Variety) with 75 percent.
No other experts completed all of the categories or nominee slots. Susan King (freelance) and Lynette Rice (Deadline) are at 73.6 percent. Shawn Edwards (WDAF) is at 69.3 percent and then Thelma Adams (freelance) and Anne Thompson (Indiewire) at 68.6 percent. Keith Simanton (IMDb) finishes with 63.6 percent and then Kate Erbland (Indiewire) with 62.9 percent. Kristen Baldwin (Entertainment Weekly) has 72.9 percent, and then Matt Brennan (Los Angeles Times) at 61.4 percent. The final two slots are held by Peter Travers (ABC) with 52.1 percent and then Mary Murphy (freelance) with 22.1 percent. See experts' scores.
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