
MLB's 2027 work stoppage? Baseball folks already are talking about it
Major League Baseball's all-star break is no longer a break, not for the people who run these clubs, anyway.
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The draft, which is just about all-consuming for team executives, runs Sunday and Monday of all-star week.
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The trade deadline looms at the end of the month. When to rest?
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'Circle Dec. 2, 2026, on your calendar,' one exec said this month. 'If you have one of these jobs and you ever wanted to go to New Zealand or something, that's the time to go.'
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It was a joke. But it's deadly serious for the sport.
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On Dec. 1, 2026, the collective bargaining agreement between MLB and the players association expires. The expectation throughout the sport: The owners will lock out the players then. That means general managers not only can't be in touch with members of their own teams, they can't be in touch with representatives of free agents. No calls. No texts. No deals. No trades. No business.
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New Zealand would be kind of a bucket-list trip, wouldn't it?
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This isn't to put a damper on Monday night's Home Run Derby or Tuesday night's All-Star Game, both held on the outskirts of Atlanta. It's to acknowledge that the threat of a work stoppage is very real and the people who run baseball operations departments already are considering how it will impact the way they do business. As in: Do I really want to commit three years to a player if one of those years could be all but wiped out?
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That's not a doomsday scenario. Those discussions are happening in front offices right now. The last lockout produced the CBA that covered the 2022-26 seasons. It delayed the start of the 2022 season but cost zero major league games. The next one?
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'Maybe I'm wrong,' one head of a baseball operations department said. 'But this one feels like it's going to be long.'
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Another exec said, 'The owners are loaded for bear this time.'
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What MLB wants without saying it directly: a salary cap. The Los Angeles Dodgers are spending $341 million on players this year, the New York Mets $332 million, according to Spotrac. The Vegas-bound Athletics are spending $77.1 million, the Miami Marlins $67.6 million. Not coincidentally, the Dodgers and Mets enter the all-star break in playoff position. The A's and the Marlins do not.
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'We do not have the kind of cost certainty, predictability and competitive balance mechanisms in our player comp system that the three other major professional sports have,' Commissioner Rob Manfred said at an investor event hosted last month by the Atlanta Braves, according to Sports Business Journal. 'That's just a fact.'
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Two words he doesn't use: 'salary' and 'cap.' But you don't have to read between the lines to understand what he's saying.
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