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Stock market today: Trade setup for Nifty 50, global markets, to Q1 results today; Eight stocks to buy or sell on Friday

Stock market today: Trade setup for Nifty 50, global markets, to Q1 results today; Eight stocks to buy or sell on Friday

Mint3 days ago
Stock Market Today: The weakness in the market continues as the benchmark Nifty-50 index at 25,062.10 ended 0.63% lower on Thursday. The Bank Nifty at 57,066.05 was also down 0.25%, while the IT and Realty Index were key losers, and only a few, such as Pharma and Healthcare, stood among the gainers. The mid and small caps also ended 0.58-1.09% lower.
For the short term, immediate support for the Nifty is seen at 24,882. On the upside, unless 25255 is taken out decisively, traders should take a cautious stance, said Nandish Shah - Deputy Vice President, HDFC Securities.
For Bank Nifty, immediate support is seen in the 56,000–55,700 zone, as per Bajaj Broking.
In summary, Thursday's session painted a cautionary picture, and strong domestic earnings from banks couldn't offset widespread disappointment in IT and continued global trade concerns. With earnings and geopolitics in focus, investors will be watching for clarity on trade deals and recovery cues from tech fundamentals,' said Vikram Kasat, Head - Advisory, PL Capital.
Regarding stocks to buy today, market experts—Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director at Choice Broking; Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Anand Rathi; and Shiju Koothupalakkal, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher—recommended these eight intraday stocks for today: Eternal Ltd , Fortis Healthcare Ltd., Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Tata Chemicals Ltd., Zydus Wellness Ltd., Surya Roshni Ltd., and Welspun Living Ltd.
1. Eternal Ltd-Bagadia recommends buying ETERNAL at around ₹ 313.15, keeping Stop Loss at ₹ 302 for a target price of ₹ 336
ETERNAL is currently trading at ₹ 313.15 and has recently reached a new all-time high at 314.45, underscoring its strong bullish momentum. The stock continues to maintain an upward price structure marked by higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained buying interest. The breakout to a new high reflects a shift in sentiment and robust demand.
2. Fortis Healthcare Ltd—Bagadia recommends buying FORTIS at around ₹ 846.55, keeping Stop Loss at ₹ 817 for a target price at ₹ 906
FORTIS is currently trading at ₹ 846.55 and is exhibiting strong signs of recovery, backed by a consistent formation of higher highs and higher lows. The stock has posted bullish candlesticks for four consecutive sessions and recently touched a fresh all-time high of ₹ 849, reflecting sustained upward momentum and the potential emergence of a long-term trend continuation. Rising volumes further reinforce the bullish sentiment, indicating heightened investor participation.
3. Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd—Dongre recommends buying GLENMARK at around ₹ 2143, keeping the stop loss at ₹ 2100 for a target price of ₹ 2200
Stock has exhibited a strong, notable, continued bullish pattern, offering another promising opportunity for short-term traders. The stock is currently priced at ₹ 2143 and maintaining strong support at ₹ 2100. The technical setup indicates the potential for a price retracement towards the ₹ 2200 level. With the stock reversing from a support base and showing signs of renewed strength, entering at the current market price with a stop-loss at ₹ 2100 offers a prudent approach to capturing the anticipated upside.
4. TVS Motor Company Ltd—Dongre recommends buying TVSMOTOR at ₹ 2800, keeping the stop loss at ₹ 2760 for a target price of ₹ 2885.
Stock has exhibited a strong, notable, continued bullish pattern, offering another promising opportunity for short-term traders. The stock is currently priced at ₹ 2800 and maintaining strong support at ₹ 2760. The technical setup indicates the potential for a price retracement towards the ₹ 2885 level. With the stock reversing from a support base and showing signs of renewed strength, entering at the current market price with a stop-loss at ₹ 2760 offers a prudent approach to capturing the anticipated upside.
5. Tata Chemicals Ltd—Dongre recommends buying TATACHEM at ₹ 948, keeping stop loss at ₹ 930 for a target price of ₹ 985
In the latest short-term technical analysis, the stock has shown a strong and consistent bullish trend, indicating the potential for an extended upward move. The stock is currently trading at ₹ 948 and holding above a key support level at ₹ 930. This support zone serves as a critical point for risk management. Given the bullish momentum, traders are advised to consider a buying opportunity with a stop-loss placed strategically at ₹ 930 to manage downside risk. The target for this trade is set at ₹ 985, suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and a continuation of the prevailing upward trend.
6. Zydus Wellness Ltd—Koothupalakkal recommends buying ZYDUS WELLNESS at around ₹ 2138 for a target price of ₹ 2220, keeping the stop loss at ₹ 2100
The stock with a positive candle formation on the daily chart has been in a rising trend with bias getting better, and we can anticipate a further rise with volume participation visibly looking significant. The RSI is well positioned, indicating a buy signal, and with much upside potential visible, it can carry on with the positive move further ahead. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest buying the stock for an upside target of the 2220 level, keeping the stop loss of 2100 level.
7. Surya Roshni Ltd-Koothupalakkal recommends buying SURYA ROSHNI at around ₹ 347, keeping target price of ₹ 365, and keeping a stop loss of ₹ 338
The stock with a higher bottom formation has indicated a strong spurt in the last two sessions, taking support near the important 50EMA zone at ₹ 324 levels, and with gaining strength, we can anticipate a further rise. The RSI, after correcting from the overbought zone, is currently well placed, indicating a positive trend reversal to signal a buy, and can carry on with the positive move further ahead in the coming sessions. With the chart technically looking attractive, we suggest buying the stock.
8. Welspun Living Ltd-Koothupalakkal recommends buying WELSPUN LIVING at around ₹ 141 for a target price of ₹ 152, keeping Stop loss at Rs137
The stock has been in consolidation for quite some time, with the current indication of a bullish candle with rising volume participation. This has improved the bias, and we can expect a continuation of the positive move further ahead. The RSI has indicated strength, which is currently well poised for further upward movement with much upside potential visible. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest buying the stock.
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage companies and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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Vijay L Bhambwani's Ticker: It's time for bulls to make their presence felt
Vijay L Bhambwani's Ticker: It's time for bulls to make their presence felt

Mint

time7 hours ago

  • Mint

Vijay L Bhambwani's Ticker: It's time for bulls to make their presence felt

Ticker is a weekly newsletter by Vijay L Bhambwani. Subscribe to Mint's newsletters to get them directly in your email inbox. Dear Reader, Last week, I wrote about the daunting prospect of overhead supply (selling by bulls trapped at higher levels) weighing on bulls. That hypothesis was validated by the markets as indices slipped in the latter half of the week. Triggers for the overhead supply remain unchanged. Proposed changes in the US and UK, which may reduce the flow of money to pension funds, are worrying bulls. It should be remembered that pension funds manage huge sums as long-term assets under management (AUM), which makes them the biggest institutional investors in equity markets. If AUMs fall in the pension fund industry, support to equity markets may be impacted as well. The delay in tying up trade deals and fears of slowing consumer spending worldwide are also weighing on sentiments. This is an expiry week, and therefore, traders are likely to be preoccupied with rolling over or squaring up (closing) their trades. Volatility is usually higher in expiry weeks. The positive trigger that emerged is that traded volumes perked up in the derivatives segment. This was partly due to Jane Street being allowed to resume operations in India. Aggressive follow-up buying will be crucial to revive sentiments. Do note the Nifty-50 has slipped for four weeks in a row, and bulls are running out of time. If they are to get a grip on sentiments, they must make their presence felt before the 24,800 support I have been mentioning for a fortnight is violated. In terms of sectoral action, public sector undertakings will continue to attract traders due to the emotional and financial stakes being relatively high in these stocks. Banking stocks within the PSU space will be particularly volatile. 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Being an expiry week makes it even more pressing to prioritize capital preservation over trading profits. A tutorial video on hacienda hedges is here - Rear View Mirror Let us assess what happened last week so we can guesstimate what to expect in the coming week. The fall was led by the broad-based Nifty, whereas the Bank Nifty logged gains. Being heavily weighted in the Nifty index, banking stocks cushioned the declines in the Nifty which, otherwise, may have slipped significantly. A weak dollar aided sentiments in emerging markets including India. Safe-haven buying eased in bullion, which otherwise remained firm. Oil and gas fell sharply as demand growth was feared to contract in the near future. The rupee eased versus a weakening dollar, which underscores the nervousness in the forex peg. Indian forex reserves slipped marginally, which weighed on sentiments. The Indian 10-year sovereign bond yields rose which dragged banking stocks since banks are the biggest investors in bonds. NSE market capitalization slipped 1.54%, which indicates broad-based selling. Market wide position limits (MWPL) rose routinely ahead of the expiry. US headline indices rose, providing tailwinds to our markets, which could have otherwise slipped deeper. Retail Risk Appetite – I use a simple yet highly accurate yardstick for measuring the conviction levels of retail traders – where are they deploying money. I measure what percentage of the turnover was contributed by the lower and higher risk instruments. If they trade more of futures which require sizable capital, their risk appetite is higher. Within the futures space, index futures are less volatile compared to stock futures. A higher footprint in stock futures shows higher aggression levels. Ditto for stock and index options. Last week, this is what their footprint looked like (the numbers are average of all trading days of the week) – Turnover contribution in the higher-risk, capital-intensive futures segment was marginally higher. Much of it can be attributed to the rollover of trades from the July to August series. This results in dual turnover being logged, which is routine. In the relatively safer options segment, turnover rose in the stock options segment which is marginally more riskier than index options. Some of it can be rollover trades from July to August series. Overall. risk appetite remained subdued. Matryoshka Analysis Let us peel layer after layer of statistical data to arrive at the core message of the first chart I share is the NSE advance-decline ratio. After the price itself, this indicator is the fastest (leading) indicator of which way the winds are blowing. This simple yet accurate indicator computes the ratio of the number of rising stocks compared to falling stocks. As long as gaining stocks outnumber the losers, bulls are dominant. This metric is a gauge of the risk appetite of 'one marshmallow' traders. These are pure intra-day traders. The Nifty clocked smaller losses last week, but the advance-decline ratio slipped from 1.11 in the prior week to 0.67 last week. That means there were 67 gaining stocks for every 100 losing stocks. Intra-day buying conviction was lower. This ratio must stay above 1.0 sustainably all week for bulls to regain their lost initiative. A tutorial video on the marshmallow theory in trading is here - The second chart I share is the market wide position limits (MWPL). This measures the amount of exposure utilized by traders in the derivatives (F&O) space as a component of the total exposure allowed by the regulator. This metric is a gauge of the risk appetite of 'two marshmallow' traders. These are deep-pocketed, high-conviction traders who roll over their trades to the next session/s. The MWPL rose routinely ahead of the expiry week, but the peak was lower than the prior month's peak. This week being an expiry one, this reading can only fall this week. Swing traders are showing signs of hesitation. If markets rally strongly in the August derivatives series, bulls must ramp up their exposure levels to make their presence felt. Post-expiry routine decline should be watched keenly. If the low is higher than the 26.20 level of last month, it would imply some optimism.A dedicated tutorial video on how to interpret MWPL data in more ways than one is available here - The third chart I share is my in-house indicator 'impetus.' It measures the force in any price move. Last week, both indices fell with falling impetus readings. That tells us the fall was more of a gradual slide triggered by poor buying support rather than aggressive selling. Ideally, the price and impetus readings should rise in tandem to confirm a sustainable upthrust. The final chart I share is my in-house indicator 'LWTD.' It computes lift, weight, thrust and drag encountered by any security. These are four forces that any powered aircraft faces during flight; so, applying it to traded securities helps a trader estimate prevalent sentiments. Last week, the Nifty logged smaller declines, but the LWTD reading fell sharply to its lowest after the week ended 18 April, 2025. That implies lower fresh buying support for the Nifty this week. While short-covering can occur, it can cushion declines. For a fresh rally, aggressive follow-up buying will be required. A tutorial video on interpreting the LWTD indicator is here - Nifty's Verdict Last week, we saw a red candle on the weekly chart. This is the fourth bearish candle in a row. It was an inverted hammer candle. That indicates an abortive attempt by bulls as they tried to push prices higher but failed, and the index slid back into negative territory. The price remains above the 25-week average, which is a proxy for the six-month holding cost of an average retail investor. The medium-term outlook remains positive for now, as long as the price stays above this average. Last week, I advocated watching the 24,800 level, which bulls needed to defend in case of a decline. Note how the weekly low was 24,806. This threshold remains as the immediate support area to watch out for. The longer the index stays below this threshold, the more difficulty bulls may encounter on the upside. That is because overhead supply (selling from bulls trapped at higher levels) can limit rallies in the near term. On the flipside, the nearest resistance is at the 25,250 level, which must be overcome if the Nifty is to have a reasonable chance to rally. Your Call to Action – watch the 24,800 level as a near-term support. Only a break-out above the 25,250 level raises the possibility of a short-term rally. Last week, I estimated ranges between 57,500 – 55,050 and 25,525 – 24,400 on the Bank Nifty and Nifty respectively. Both indices traded within their specified resistance levels. This week, I estimate ranges between 57,725 – 55,325 and 25,375 – 24,300 on the Bank Nifty and Nifty respectively. Trade light with strict stop losses. Avoid trading counters with spreads wider than eight ticks. Have a profitable week. Vijay L. Bhambwani Vijay is the CEO a proprietary trading firm. He tweets at @vijaybhambwani

D-street ahead: What will drive the market this week? Here's all you need to know
D-street ahead: What will drive the market this week? Here's all you need to know

Time of India

time12 hours ago

  • Time of India

D-street ahead: What will drive the market this week? Here's all you need to know

Representative image (ANI) Indian equities ended the week on a weak footing, with sharp selling pressure dragging the Nifty below key technical levels, raising concerns about the short-term market trend. The index dropped 225.10 points, or 0.9%, on Friday to close at 24,837, extending its weekly loss to 0.5 percent. In the coming week, several key domestic and global events are likely to shape investor sentiment as markets reopen on Monday. These include the highly anticipated federal reserve policy meeting, the expiry of the US tariff pause deadline, and a host of corporate earnings from major Indian and global cues. Rupak De, senior technical analyst at LKP Securities, while talking about the last session told ET, Nifty faced consistent selling pressure through the day, leading the index to fall below the important support level of 24,900, a price point where the market usually finds buyers. 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American markets Wall Street's performance will serve as a key indicator for global markets, including India. In addition to the fed policy meeting and developments on tariffs, investors will also be tracking second-quarter earnings from major US companies like Meta, slated to be announced next week, according to the news outlet.. On Friday, US markets ended in green. The Dow Jones industrial average rose by 208.01 points, or 0.47 percent, to finish at 44,901.90. The S&P 500 gained 25.29 points, or 0.40 percent, to close at 6,388.64, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 50.36 points, or 0.24 percent, ending the day at 21,108.30. 4. Crude Oil Crude oil prices continue to play a crucial role in influencing stock markets, given their significant impact on a country's inflation outlook. On Friday, oil prices dropped to a three-week low amid concerns over weak economic signals from the US and China, along with indications of rising supply. 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Market watch: Global economic events, US trade talks outcome to drive market sentiment
Market watch: Global economic events, US trade talks outcome to drive market sentiment

Mint

time13 hours ago

  • Mint

Market watch: Global economic events, US trade talks outcome to drive market sentiment

Mumbai [India], : The upcoming week is set to be crucial for stock markets, with a flurry of key economic events scheduled across the United States, India, and China. Market experts suggest that investor sentiment could be significantly influenced by economic indicators, particularly the outcome of ongoing trade deal discussions between India and the US, which are being closely monitored for signs of progress. "The week from 28 July to 01 August 2025 is packed with key economic events across the United States, India, and China, which could significantly influence global market sentiment," the Bajaj Broking Research team said in its weekly market note. Meanwhile, experts say that positive surprises from the first-quarter financial season could positively shape sentiment. "At this stage, any positive development on the global front, particularly around trade negotiations involving the US, could act as a much-needed catalyst for the market. A constructive outcome or even signs of progress in trade talks would help ease investor concerns. Also, from the remainder of Quarterly Results, any positive surprise could also lead to providing support at lower levels," said Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical and Derivatives Research, SBI Securities. In India, the economic week begins with the release of the Industrial Production YoY data on 28 July, which will help assess the strength of the country's industrial sector. This will be followed by the HSBC India Manufacturing PMI on August 1, which will offer insights into factory output and business conditions in the manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, China will release its Manufacturing PMI data on 31 July, an important indicator of industrial activity and business confidence in the region. In the United States, attention will be firmly on the Federal Reserve's FOMC rate decision, scheduled for July 30, a critical event that could shape expectations around interest rate policy amid persistent inflation concerns. Alongside this, the GDP Annualised QoQ and ADP Employment Change data will also be released on the same day, offering a glimpse into the economic growth trajectory and private sector hiring trends. On 31 July, the Initial Jobless Claims report will provide further clarity on the health of the labour market. The benchmark Nifty index has continued its downward trajectory, extending its losing streak for the fourth consecutive week. The analysts stated that the persistent weakness in the market can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the absence of strong positive triggers, Q1 earnings from key corporates coming in below expectations, and lingering uncertainty on the global trade deal front, all of which have dampened investor sentiment. During the week, the index made a feeble attempt to rebound from the crucial support zone; however, the recovery lacked conviction and fizzled out quickly. On Wednesday, Nifty managed to close above its 20-day EMA, briefly reviving hopes of a turnaround. But the optimism was short-lived, as renewed selling pressure dragged the index back into negative territory. The earnings season so far has largely fallen short of expectations, with several major companies reporting weaker-than-anticipated results. This underperformance has dampened investor sentiment, particularly at a time when markets were expecting strong earnings to serve as a key catalyst for upward momentum. Beyond earnings, the absence of any significant positive domestic triggers and the continued uncertainty surrounding global trade negotiations have added to the cautious mood. These combined factors are contributing to the downward pressure on the market, according to the market analysts. While weak earnings alone may not be the sole reason for the market correction, when coupled with global headwinds and a lack of fresh buying triggers, they certainly add weight to the bearish undertone prevailing in the current environment. This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.

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