logo
Dollar hits new highs after levies raised for some countries

Dollar hits new highs after levies raised for some countries

Gulf Today3 days ago
The dollar headed for its strongest weekly performance in almost three years against other major currencies, maintaining momentum on Friday after US President Donald Trump imposed new tariff rates on dozens of trade partners.
Some of the currencies of the countries that were hit the hardest, such as Switzerland, which now faces a 39 per cent rate, fell sharply. The Swiss franc touched its weakest in six weeks, while the Canadian dollar headed for a seventh straight weekly loss.
The dollar also gained against other currencies due to drivers other than tariffs. The yen headed for its largest weekly loss this year after the Bank of Japan signalled it was in no hurry to resume interest rate hikes, prompting Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato to say on Friday that officials were 'alarmed' by currency moves.
Friday also brings the monthly US employment report, which is expected to show 110,000 workers were added to nonfarm payrolls in July.
A large part of the dollar's strength this month has come from the perception among investors that Trump's tariffs have not derailed the economy and, so far, have not drastically lifted inflation.
The Federal Reserve, despite pressure from Trump on Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates, has indicated it is in no rush to do so. Friday's payrolls report may not move the needle much on that assumption, even if a weaker reading elicits some selling of US assets like the dollar, according to IG strategist Chris Beauchamp.
Reuters
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

More than 10,000 European hotels seeking damages from Booking.com
More than 10,000 European hotels seeking damages from Booking.com

Al Etihad

time39 minutes ago

  • Al Etihad

More than 10,000 European hotels seeking damages from Booking.com

4 Aug 2025 09:55 ROME (dpa)More than 10,000 European hotels are joining collective legal action against Amsterdam-based to seek compensation for losses caused by the online travel agency's use of so-called "best price" clauses ban the hotels from offering rooms on their own websites at a lower rate and are seen by them as illegal. The aim is to prevent so-called "free-rider" bookings where customers find the hotel on and then go to the hotel's own website to make their hotels cite a ruling by the European Court of Justice dated September 19, 2024 that essentially states that the best-price clause is court found that platforms like could operate without rules of this kind. This made little difference to travellers. had abolished the clauses in Europe following the European Union's Digital Markets Act of 2024. 'European hoteliers have long suffered from unfair conditions and excessive costs. Now is the time to stand together and demand redress,' Alexandros Vassilikos, president of the HOTREC hospitality sector association, said.'This joint initiative sends a clear message: abusive practices in the digital market will not be tolerated by the hospitality industry in Europe,' he aim of the collective action, known as a class action lawsuit, is to secure compensation for damages incurred between 2004 and action, which is being supported by HOTREC and more than 30 national hotel alliances, will be heard by a Dutch court and coordinated by the Hotel Claims the criticism, is essential for many hotels, as it allows them to reach a large customer base. According to a study conducted by HOTREC and a Swiss hoteliers' college, Booking Holdings held a market share of 71% across Europe in 2023, while the share of direct bookings has declined significantly over recent years.

Crude oil prices decline to $69.4 as OPEC+ increases production levels
Crude oil prices decline to $69.4 as OPEC+ increases production levels

Economy ME

time2 hours ago

  • Economy ME

Crude oil prices decline to $69.4 as OPEC+ increases production levels

Oil prices continued their downward trend on Monday following OPEC+ 's decision to implement another significant production increase in September. Concerns regarding a slowing economy in the U.S., the world's largest oil consumer, are compounding the pressure. Brent crude futures dipped by 40 cents, or 0.57 percent, settling at $69.27 a barrel by 01:15 GMT (currently trading above $69.4). In contrast, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude stood at $66.96 a barrel, down 37 cents, or 0.55 percent (currently trading above $67.15), after both contracts had closed around $2 a barrel lower on Friday. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, collectively known as OPEC+, reached an agreement on Sunday to raise oil production by 547,000 barrels per day for September. This decision is part of a series of accelerated output increases aimed at regaining market share, citing a robust economy and low stockpiles as the rationale behind this move. This action, which aligns with market predictions, represents a complete and early reversal of OPEC+'s largest set of output cuts, along with a separate increase in production for the United Arab Emirates, totaling about 2.5 million barrels per day, or approximately 2.4 percent of global demand. Investor caution amid sanctions Nevertheless, investors are cautious about potential further U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia, which could disrupt supplies. U.S. President Trump has threatened to impose 100 percent secondary tariffs on Russian crude buyers in an effort to pressure Russia into ceasing its military actions in Ukraine. At least two vessels loaded with Russian oil, destined for refiners in India, have diverted to alternative destinations in light of the new U.S. sanctions, according to trade sources reported on Friday, along with LSEG trade flow data. Concerns regarding U.S. tariffs affecting global economic growth and fuel consumption continue to loom over the market, especially following U.S. economic data indicating jobs growth on Friday fell short of expectations. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated on Sunday that the tariffs imposed last week on numerous countries are likely to remain in effect rather than be reduced amid ongoing negotiations. Read more: Crude oil prices rise above $71.8 amid new tariffs impacting Russian supply U.S. oil consumption projections According to the latest official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. oil consumption in 2025 is projected at 20.4 million barrels per day, up from 20.3 million barrels per day in 2024, while U.S. oil production is anticipated to reach 13.37 million barrels per day in 2025—slightly below previous estimates due to lower oil prices and ongoing economic unpredictability stemming from shifting U.S. tariff policies. Globally, oil demand is forecast to exceed 105 million barrels per day in 2025, according to Statista, marking a new high in global consumption. OPEC+'s announcement on Sunday, formalizes a full reversal of output cuts initially implemented in 2023, with the latest meeting attended by major producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman. The monthly production adjustments began in April 2025, and Brent crude prices have remained close to $70 a barrel, rebounding from lows in April. Decline in Russian oil exports Recent shifts in Russian oil exports, according to the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, show that Russia exported 24.8 million tonnes of oil by sea in June 2025, a 5 percent month-on-month decline, with over half of these volumes now transported on G7+ tankers (representing 56 percent of exports, up from 36 percent in January). The U.S. Department of the Treasury intensified sanctions in early 2025, targeting two major Russian oil producers, over 180 vessels, oil traders, and oilfield service providers, substantially increasing sanctions risks for the Russian oil trade. These actions are underpinned by determinations made under Executive Order 14024 and accompanied by parallel measures from the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, President Trump's new tariff schedule imposes duties ranging from 10 percent to 41 percent on goods from several countries including India and Indonesia, and he continues to threaten even higher tariffs on countries that import Russian oil. Experts warn that continued tariff uncertainty could constrain global economic growth and potentially curtail future oil demand. The Energy Information Administration recently lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 by 400,000 barrels per day, attributing the cut to economic uncertainty and trade tensions.

Never mind Wall Street records, investors rethink US market supremacy
Never mind Wall Street records, investors rethink US market supremacy

Zawya

time2 hours ago

  • Zawya

Never mind Wall Street records, investors rethink US market supremacy

NEW YORK - A rebound on Wall Street and in the dollar has not allayed investor concerns about the ability of U.S. assets to outperform overseas markets, with a fresh tariff salvo once again denting market optimism after a string of trade deals struck by the Trump administration perked up sentiment for equities to set record highs. The sliding dollar, down about 8% this year against a basket of major currencies, and the ballooning fiscal deficit are shaking the conviction that U.S. financial markets will deliver world-beating returns. For more than a decade, the concept of "American exceptionalism" - the conviction that the United States' democratic system plus its huge and liquid capital markets offer unique rewards - has been little challenged by investors. But ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs is rattling confidence. While the deals struck by Donald Trump with the European Union, Japan and South Korea have delivered some relief, the U.S. president late on Thursday slapped dozens of trading partners with steep tariffs. A market shakeout earlier this year caused by Trump's first tariff announcements triggered a re-evaluation. The U.S. market's standing appears "a little bit bruised," said Lori Heinel, global chief investment officer at State Street Investment Management. "The overhang of the (government) debt makes it less attractive to have dollar-based assets," she added. In a survey conducted in late May and June, market research consultancy CoreData found that many institutional investors and consultants, collectively overseeing $4.9 trillion in assets, are scaling back exposure to the U.S. Among respondents, 47% are cutting their strategic, long-term allocations to U.S. markets. While investors have become more upbeat on the outlook for Europe, as well as for China and other emerging markets, bullishness toward U.S. markets now lags those regions. That, said Michael Morley, head of CoreData US, marks 'a massive reversal' from attitudes two years ago. The latest wave of tariffs on exports from dozens of trading partners, including Canada, Brazil, India and Taiwan, sent global markets tumbling on Friday. The announced duties were "somewhat worse than expected," analysts at Societe Generale said in a note. "Markets responded more negatively to the August 1 announcement than to other news in the past two months, but the reaction was far less severe than on April 2," they said. TARIFF IMPACT OVERDUE? Investors began reconsidering their allocations following Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement on April 2, reassessing the allure of "brand USA" and fretting about a new recession. The Trump administration then paused tariff rollouts and subsequently began announcing deals that cap tariffs at lower levels than initially proposed. Stocks rebounded, with the S&P 500 soaring 27.2% from its April 8 close to its July 31 close, setting a series of new records. CoreData, however, found that 49% of institutions believe that markets now are too complacent about the impact of U.S. tariffs. U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in five months in June, according to Consumer Price Index data, suggesting that tariffs are boosting inflation. Other data points to a moderation in economic activity, and second-quarter growth was mainly strong because imports were weak. Global asset manager Man Group, which manages roughly $193 billion, is wary of overweighting U.S. assets. 'This is an opportunity for investors to take some profits, rebalance and go to neutral on the U.S.," said Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man Group. BEYOND TARIFFS The dollar's status as the global reserve currency may be in question as the U.S. forfeits the role of free trade facilitator, said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group, adding the firm expects to sell the dollar on any rally. After suffering its worst first-half performance since 1973 this year, the dollar posted its first monthly gains for 2025 in July, as investors regained confidence in the wake of trade deals. Also contributing to the reassessment of U.S. market supremacy is the risk of monetary policy being politicized. Trump has repeatedly called for lower interest rates and threatened to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. A recently approved tax and spending bill, meanwhile, will add trillions to the government's debt, exacerbating longstanding deficit concerns. Investors are likely to respond by seeking higher compensation for the risk of owning long-dated Treasury securities "There's very, very real risk that yields go significantly higher because of the deficit," said Man Group's Hooper. U.S. INNOVATION For many, the buoyant U.S. stock market and optimism surrounding the U.S. tech sector have made it hard to turn bearish. "The bottom line is that the U.S. has some of the most innovative and profitable companies in the world, and the deepest capital markets," said Kelly Kowalski, head of investment strategy at MassMutual. Anxiety about the demise of U.S. pre-eminence is "overblown," she said. Concerns over weaker foreign demand for U.S. debt have eased in recent weeks. After selling a net $40.8 billion of Treasuries in April, foreigners resumed buying to the tune of $146 billion in May, the latest government data showed. Also, while European stocks handily beat their U.S. counterparts in March, that gap has narrowed with every new trade deal announced. As of the end of July, Europe's STOXX 600 was roughly neck and neck with the S&P 500. "The big factor in the room has nothing to do with policies, but technology," said Richard Lightburn, deputy chief investment officer at macro hedge fund MKP Capital Management. "It still feels like early innings for AI adoption and integration." Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, continues to recommend a slight overweight to U.S. stocks relative to other global markets. "Call it 'exceptionalism' or just 'clarity.' The macro environment in the U.S. is comparatively more stable." (Reporting by Carolina Mandl and Davide Barbuscia in New York and Suzanne McGee in Providence, Rhode Island; Additional reporting by Laura Matthews in New York; Editing by Alden Bentley and Matthew Lewis and Chizu Nomiyama)

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store