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OPEC+ Just Flooded the Market--Now It Might Pull the Plug
OPEC+'s oil strategy just took a sharp turn and it might not be the last. Over the weekend, the group finalized the return of 2.2 million barrels per day to the global market, wrapping up its post-2023 unwind. But insiders say this might just be the setup for the next move. Delegates emphasized that everything is still on the table: more increases, a pause, or even a full reversal. The group's next meeting is scheduled for September 7 and it could mark the start of another major pivot. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 9 Warning Signs with GS. On paper, demand has held up. But beneath the surface, cracks are forming. The International Energy Agency projects a 2 million barrel-per-day surplus by Q4, driven by slowing Chinese growth and swelling supply from the Americas. Crude futures are already down 6.6% this year to under $70 per barrel, and Wall Street doesn't look optimistic with Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) warning prices could drift toward $60. That's well below what many OPEC+ members need to balance their budgets. Most traders Bloomberg surveyed expect the group to hold steady for now. But if U.S. supply slips or macro conditions turn, analysts like Eurasia Group's Greg Brew say more barrels could still come back online. Overlay that with rising geopolitical heat, and the picture gets even murkier. President Donald Trump is ramping up pressure on Russia over Ukraine, threatening secondary sanctions on buyers of Russian oil. Last week, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak made a high-profile visit to Riyadh, underscoring Moscow's ties with Saudi Arabia. But the tension is real and growing. Analysts say the alliance could face its toughest test yet: defend market share by bringing back the final 1.66 million barrels per day still offline, or maintain unity under increasing global pressure. Either way, September's meeting could be a turning point for global oil markets. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
12 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Analyst downgrades top S&P 500 stock after disappointing earnings
Analyst downgrades top S&P 500 stock after disappointing earnings originally appeared on TheStreet. Compass Point has lowered Coinbase's (Nasdaq: COIN) price target from $330 to $248 and downgraded the rating from "Neutral" to "Sell" after the crypto exchange reported disappointing financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The investment firm indicated receding retail interest, poor Q2 records, weak prospects for recurring revenue lines like subscriptions and custody services the next quarter, and more competition from stablecoin and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms as the reasons it downgraded the COIN stock's rating. Compass Point also warned of Coinbase's retail trading under pressure despite a bullish crypto market. Notably, retail trading is Coinbase's main profit are two other factors that the firm highlighted as possible risks for Coinbase. One is a potential delay in the CLARITY Act, which deals with classifying the financial status of crypto assets. Another is Coinbase trailing Robinhood (Nasdaq: HOOD) and Kraken in launching stock trading. 'We see limited support for COIN's valuation if crypto markets sell off further,' said Compass Point. Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the largest crypto exchange in the U.S. The company, which went public in April 2021, joined the S&P 500 list in May 2025 — the only crypto stock to be included in the hotly contested list so far. During Q2 2025, the exchange generated $1.5 billion in total revenue, $1.4 billion in net income, and earnings per share (EPS) of $5.14 in Q2. The exchange held 11,776 Bitcoin worth $1.3 billion by the end of the quarter. The COIN stock is trading at $319.55 at the time of writing, up 1.54% a day. Analyst downgrades top S&P 500 stock after disappointing earnings first appeared on TheStreet on Aug 4, 2025 This story was originally reported by TheStreet on Aug 4, 2025, where it first appeared. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
12 minutes ago
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Trump says to name new labor statistics chief this week
US President Donald Trump said Monday that he would pick an "exceptional replacement" for his labor statistics chief, days after ordering her dismissal after a report showed weakness in the jobs market. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump reiterated -- without providing evidence -- that Friday's employment report "was rigged." He alleged that commissioner of labor statistics Erika McEntarfer had manipulated data to diminish his administration's accomplishments, drawing sharp criticism from economists and a professional association. "We'll be announcing a new (labor) statistician some time over the next three-four days," Trump told reporters Sunday. He added Monday: "I will pick an exceptional replacement." US job growth missed expectations in July, figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed, and sharp revisions to hiring figures in recent months brought them to the weakest levels since the Covid-19 pandemic. Trump ordered the removal of McEntarfer hours after the figures were published. "We had no confidence. I mean the numbers were ridiculous," Trump told reporters Sunday. He charged that McEntarfer came up with "phenomenal" numbers on his predecessor Joe Biden's economy before the 2024 election. - Hiring slowdown - Even as he called for more reliable data Monday, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett conceded that the jobs market was indeed cooling. But Hassett maintained in a CNBC interview that this softening did not reflect the incoming effects of Trump's flagship tax and spending legislation -- signed into law early last month. US employment data point to challenges as companies took a cautious approach in hiring and investment while grappling with Trump's sweeping -- and rapidly changing -- tariffs this year. The United States added 73,000 jobs in July, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2 percent, the Department of Labor reported. Hiring numbers for May were revised down from 144,000 to 19,000. The figure for June was shifted from 147,000 to 14,000. These were notably lower than job creation levels in recent years. During the pandemic, the economy lost jobs. Over the weekend, Hassett defended McEntarfer's firing in an NBC News interview: "The president wants his own people there so that when we see the numbers they are more transparent and more reliable." Trump's decision has come under fire. William Beach, who previously held McEntarfer's post, said the move set a "dangerous precedent." The National Association for Business Economics condemned her dismissal, saying large revisions in jobs numbers "reflect not manipulation, but rather the dwindling resources afforded to statistical agencies." In addition to a successor to McEntarfer, Trump is also expected to name a replacement for Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler. Kugler's early resignation, effective Friday, allows Trump a vacancy to fill as he pushes the independent central bank to lower interest rates. German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil on Monday emphasized the importance of supporting "independent, neutral and proven institutions." He said: "It is right that independent institutions remain independent and that politics do not interfere with them." McEntarfer, a labor economist, was confirmed to the commissioner role in January 2024. abs-lob-bys/aha Sign in to access your portfolio