
Buy Or Sell ZM Stock Ahead Of Earnings?
CANADA - 2025/01/30: In this photo illustration, the Zoom Communications logo is seen displayed on a ... More smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Zoom Communications (NASDAQ:ZM) is set to announce its earnings on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. Analysis from the past five years shows that Zoom's stock has recorded a negative one-day return after its earnings announcements in 68% of cases. These negative returns have a median of -8.1% and a maximum of -16.7%.
For event-driven traders, these historical trends can provide valuable insights, although the actual market reaction will ultimately depend on how the reported results align with consensus estimates and market expectations. There are two main strategies to exploit this historical data:
At present, consensus estimates anticipate Zoom to announce earnings per share of $1.31 on revenues of $1.17 billion for the upcoming quarter. This is a comparison to the same quarter last year, where Zoom reported earnings per share of $1.35 on revenues of $1.14 billion.
From a fundamental perspective, Zoom currently holds a market capitalization of $26 billion. Over the past twelve months, the company generated $4.7 billion in revenue, realizing an operating profit of $813 million and a net income of $1.0 billion. Additionally, see Buy or Sell Zoom Stock
That being said, if you are looking for potential upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and yielded returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
See earnings reaction history of all stocks
Here are some insights on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
Additional observations for the 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are compiled in the table below.
ZM 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return
A relatively less risky approach (though not effective if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, identify a pair that exhibits the highest correlation, and execute the relevant trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D exhibit the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves 'long' for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
ZM Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
Occasionally, the performance of peers can influence post-earnings reactions of stocks. Indeed, the pricing may start before the earnings are revealed. Here are some historical insights regarding the past post-earnings performance of Zoom Communications stock, compared with the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just before Zoom Communications. For accurate comparisons, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.
ZM Correlation With Peer Earnings
Learn more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all three: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), to generate strong returns for investors. Furthermore, if you're looking for upside with a more stable experience than owning an individual stock such as Zoom Communications, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and delivered >91% returns since its inception.
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