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How Hurricane Erin Will Impact the U.S.

How Hurricane Erin Will Impact the U.S.

Yahoo5 hours ago
Hurricane Erin is ripping through the Atlantic Ocean, passing just east of the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas on Aug. 18 and 19, bringing coastal flooding to the islands.
While the category 4 storm is not expected to make landfall on the U.S. east coast, it will have an impact nonetheless. Dangerous high surf and rip currents are expected from Florida to New England throughout the week.
'It looks like it's going to stay offshore through its entire lifetime, but because it's so large in size, it is going to be bringing impacts,' says Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather's lead hurricane expert.
The hurricane saw an 'exceptionally rare' rapid intensification—growing from a tropical storm to a category 5 hurricane in 24 hours on Saturday. (The storm has since been downgraded to a category 4.) Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of hurricanes—and the number of extreme rapid intensification events have increased significantly in the past three decades.
As of Monday morning, evacuation orders are in place for the Outer Banks region of North Carolina, where DaSilva says they might see waves of up to 15 feet. 'That's just waves coming into the coast,' he says. 'There's going to be major beach erosion and major coastal flooding issues on the Outer Banks in the middle of the week.'
And though other regions might not face evacuations, the storm will create unsafe conditions at beaches across the East Coast as many beachgoers might be looking to squeeze in one last trip before school starts.
'Anybody on the East Coast from Miami all the way up to Maine needs to be aware that this week, the rip current risk is going to be extremely high and very dangerous,' says DaSilva. 'So even if you're in Long Island or Massachusetts or Maine—far away from the storm—when you're at the beaches it's going to be very dangerous.'
Keep an eye out for no swimming signs at the beach, and make sure to listen to any lifeguard instructions. Rip currents are expected to last into next week—at least until Saturday.
'It's going to be a very dangerous week for beach weather,' says DaSilva. 'We don't want people to venture out there thinking it doesn't look that bad and get hurt because rip currents are nothing to mess with.'
Write to Simmone Shah at simmone.shah@time.com.
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Latest track of Hurricane Erin, impacts on Jersey Shore waves, rip currents
Latest track of Hurricane Erin, impacts on Jersey Shore waves, rip currents

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time14 minutes ago

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Latest track of Hurricane Erin, impacts on Jersey Shore waves, rip currents

Hurricane Erin's winds weakened during the past 24 hours, but it still remains a strong category 2 storm and poses a serious danger to swimmers and boaters along the Jersey Shore. Many Shore towns have imposed strict bans on swimming and boogie boarding, and officials are urging people to stay out of the ocean during the next few days because of the rough surf and powerful rip currents. As of Tuesday afternoon, Hurricane Erin continued to spin in the open Atlantic — managing to stay away from land. The storm's center was about 630 miles southwest of Bermuda and 655 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Erin is packing sustained winds of 105 mph. Although that's weaker than it was on Monday, because the hurricane encountered dry air and wind shear, forecasters say Erin remains a dangerous storm and could regain some strength on Wednesday. The National Hurricane Center says Hurricane Erin will have wide-reaching impacts because its size is large, with its hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 80 miles from its center and tropical-storm-force winds reaching out up to 230 miles. Although Erin's rain bands are not expected to reach New Jersey, gusty winds up to 35 to 40 mph could be blowing along the Jersey Shore on Wednesday and Thursday, according to the National Weather Service. A stalled frontal system — unrelated to Hurricane Erin — will bring mostly cloudy skies and some light rain showers to parts of New Jersey, mainly in the southern region, Tuesday night. 'More widespread showers and maybe a rumble of thunder' are expected on Wednesday as an upper-level trough of low pressure approaches our region. Forecasters say the trough will gain extra moisture from Erin, so the rain could be heavy at times and cause sporadic flash flooding Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. The good news is the trough 'will eventually carry Hurricane Erin out to sea,' the weather service noted. Hurricane Erin is expected to make it closest pass to New Jersey on Thursday — a few hundred miles offshore. Erin's impacts on N.J. Because it will not be making landfall and is expected to remain very far from New Jersey, Hurricane Erin will not bring much rain or strong winds outside of coastal areas, forecasters said. However, the storm will be packing a big punch in terms of rough surf, huge crashing waves and very dangerous rip currents, along with some moderate tidal flooding and beach erosion, according to the National Weather Service and AccuWeather. A high surf advisory is in effect for the entire Jersey Shore from Tuesday afternoon through Friday morning, with forecasters calling for breaking waves of 6 to 9 feet on Wednesday and as high as 8 to 13 feet on Thursday in the surf zone in Monmouth and Ocean counties. In Atlantic and Cape May counties, breaking waves are expected to stretch up to 6 to 9 feet high on Wednesday and 7 to 11 feet on Thursday in the surf zone. Offshore waves out in the ocean could get as high as 12 to 15 feet at times, the weather service noted. The National Weather Service said this could turn out to be the roughest surf conditions in New Jersey since the remnants of Tropical Storm Isaias hit our region in early August 2020. Isaias produced 10-foot to 12-foot breakers at the Jersey Shore. The Shore also had a high surf advisory with 8-foot breaking waves in early August 2024 as the remnants of Tropical Storm Debby impacted our region, and 8-foot breaking waves in June 2023 caused by a non-tropical storm system circulating offshore, the weather service said. Swimming bans at Jersey Shore Erin is already stirring up the Atlantic enough to prompt at least 16 beaches in New Jersey to post red warning flags and ban swimming on Tuesday. Some beaches, including Cape May, are flying double red flags — indicating the serious threat posed by the crashing waves and powerful rip currents. In addition to swimmers, many beaches are also banning boogie boarders, while some are allowing experienced boarders only. Several beaches are planning to keep their swimming bans in place on Wednesday and Thursday, while others are making decisions on a day-by-day basis. Officials in Manasquan posted a stern warning on the borough website, urging swimmers to stay out of the ocean when rip currents are strong, when warning flags are posted, and whenever lifeguards are off duty. 'Persistent large waves, strong long-shore currents, and powerful rip currents are creating extremely hazardous conditions at our beaches,' they wrote. They noted that rip currents are 'powerful, channeled currents of water that flow away from the shoreline and can quickly pull even strong swimmers out to sea.' 'If caught in a rip current, remain calm, don't fight the current, and swim parallel to the shore until you are out of the current,' the Manasquan note says. Current weather radar Thank you for relying on us to provide the local weather news you can trust. Please consider supporting with a voluntary subscription. Len Melisurgo may be reached at LMelisurgo@ or on X at @LensReality.

Hurricane Erin path tracker: See where the Category 4 storm is headed
Hurricane Erin path tracker: See where the Category 4 storm is headed

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Hurricane Erin path tracker: See where the Category 4 storm is headed

Editor's note: Follow USA TODAY's updates about Hurricane Erin for Tuesday, Aug. 19. Hurricane Erin is continuing to spin in the Atlantic Ocean, bringing with it life-threatening surf and rip currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of the United States, Bermuda and Atlantic Canada. According to a 5 a.m. ET advisory from the National Hurricane Center on Aug. 18, Erin is located about 915 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, with maximum sustained winds near 130 mph with higher gusts, making it a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The hurricane center said some additional strengthening is expected throughout the day and even with weakening forecast beginning Monday night, Aug. 18, Erin will remain a "large and dangerous major hurricane" through the middle of this week. On the forecast track, the NHC said the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern Bahamas Aug. 18 and move between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of the week. Federal forecasters warned those with interests in the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda to monitor the storm as those areas could soon face winds associated with Erin's outer rainbands. State of emergency issued in Dare County, NC Officials in Dare County, North Carolina, declared a state of emergency effective as of 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 17, and issued a mandatory evacuation for Hatteras Island. "While Hurricane Erin is expected to stay well off our coast, the system will continue to increase in size and is forecast to bring life-threatening impacts to the Dare County coastline," officials said in an Aug. 17 news release. "Coastal flooding and ocean overwash are expected to begin as early as Tuesday, Aug. 19 and continue through Thursday, Aug. 21," officials said, noting that portions of N.C. Highway 12 on Hatteras Island will likely be "impassable" for several days. Live updates: Hurricane Erin strengthens to Cat 4, threatens US with rip currents Hurricane Erin path tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Hurricane Erin spaghetti models Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. National Hurricane Center keeping tabs on another tropical wave in the Atlantic In addition to Erin, the hurricane center said it is also keeping an eye on a tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Forecasters said in an Aug. 18 advisory that environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of this week. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands toward the end of the week, with the NHC giving it a 50% chance of formation through the next seven days. How do hurricanes form? Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reach 39 mph. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially lifesaving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recommends. Develop an evacuation plan. If you are at risk from hurricanes, you need an evacuation plan. Now is the time to begin planning where you would go and how you would get there. Assemble disaster supplies. Whether you're evacuating or sheltering in place, you're going to need supplies not just to get through the storm but for a possibly lengthy aftermath, NOAA said. Get an insurance checkup and document your possessions. 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You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at Gdhauari@ This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Where is Hurricane Erin headed? See path tracker, spaghetti models

National Hurricane Center watching next potential storm: What to expect
National Hurricane Center watching next potential storm: What to expect

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National Hurricane Center watching next potential storm: What to expect

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