
European Union resigned to a 15 percent US tariff
US President Donald Trump emerged from a high-stakes meeting with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at his golf resort in Scotland, describing the deal as the "biggest-ever".
The deal, which the leaders reached after an hour of talks, came as the clock ticked down on an August 1 deadline to avoid a 30 percent across-the-board US levy on European goods.
"We've reached a deal. It's a good deal for everybody. This is probably the biggest deal ever reached in any capacity," said Trump.
Trump said a baseline tariff of 15 percent would apply across the board, including for Europe's crucial automobile sector, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors.
As part of the deal, Trump said the 27-nation EU bloc had agreed to purchase "$750 billion worth of energy" from the United States, as well as make $600 billion in additional investments.
Von der Leyen said the "significant" purchases of US liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear fuels would come over three years, as part of the bloc's bid to diversify away from Russian sources.
Negotiating on behalf of the EU's 27 countries, von der Leyen had been pushing hard to salvage a trading relationship worth an annual $1.9 trillion in goods and services.
"It's a good deal," the EU chief told reporters.
"It will bring stability. It will bring predictability. That's very important for our businesses on both sides of the Atlantic," she said.
She added that bilateral tariff exemptions had been agreed on several "strategic products", notably aircraft, certain chemicals, some agricultural products, and critical raw materials.
Von der Leyen said the EU still hopes to secure further so-called "zero-for-zero" agreements, notably for alcohol, which she hopes will be "sorted out" in the coming days.
Trump also said EU countries -- which recently pledged to ramp up their defence spending within NATO -- would be purchasing "hundreds of billions of dollars worth of military equipment."
- 'Best we could get' -
The EU has been hit by multiple waves of tariffs since Trump reclaimed the White House.
It is currently subject to a 25-percent levy on cars, 50 percent on steel and aluminium, and an across-the-board tariff of 10 percent, which Washington threatened to hike to 30 percent in a no-deal scenario.
The bloc had been pushing hard for tariff carve-outs for critical industries from aircraft to spirits, and its auto industry, crucial for France and Germany, is already reeling from the levies imposed so far.
"Fifteen percent is not to be underestimated, but it is the best we could get," acknowledged von der Leyen.
Any deal will need to be approved by EU member states -- whose ambassadors, on a visit to Greenland, were updated by the commission Sunday morning. They were set to meet again after the deal struck in Scotland.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz rapidly hailed the deal, saying it avoided "needless escalation in transatlantic trade relations".
But German exporters were less enthusiastic. The powerful BDI federation of industrial groups said the accord would have "considerable negative repercussions," while the country's VCI chemical trade association said the accord left rates "too high".
Ireland, one of the EU's top exporters to the United States, said Sunday it welcomed the deal for bringing "a measure of much-needed certainty", but that it "regrets" the baseline tariff, in a statement by its Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
France's minister for Europe, Benjamin Haddad, wrote on X on Monday that the agreement would provide "temporary stability... but it is unbalanced".
The EU had pushed for a compromise on steel that could allow a certain quota into the United States before tariffs would apply.
Trump appeared to rule that out, saying steel was "staying the way it is", but the EU chief insisted later that "tariffs will be cut and a quota system will be put in place" for steel.
- 'The big one' -
While 15 percent is much higher than pre-existing US tariffs on European goods, which average around 4.8 percent, it mirrors the status quo, with companies currently facing an additional flat rate of 10 percent.
Had the talks failed, EU states had greenlit counter tariffs on $109 billion (93 billion euros) of US goods, including aircraft and cars, to take effect in stages from August 7.
Trump has embarked on a campaign to reshape US trade with the world, and has vowed to hit dozens of countries with punitive tariffs if they do not reach a pact with Washington by August 1.
Asked what the next deal would be, Trump replied: "This was the big one. This is the biggest of them all."
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Observer
2 hours ago
- Observer
Asean+3 in an age of global uncertainty
In times of geopolitical uncertainty, regional unity is the surest path forward. In July, the Asean+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) released its updated outlook for the ten members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, plus China, Japan and South Korea. AMRO revised down its growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 3.8 per cent and 3.6 per cent, respectively, and highlighted the urgent need for greater regional integration. Amid rising global turmoil, particularly surrounding US President Donald Trump's tariff measures, Asean+3 countries have demonstrated remarkable resilience. In the first half of 2025, growth was buoyed by front-loaded exports, as businesses rushed to ship goods ahead of anticipated US tariff hikes. But this boost is expected to be short-lived, and its positive impact is already beginning to fade. The unpredictability of Trump's trade and economic policies has made planning increasingly difficult for businesses. Moreover, bilateral negotiations with the US administration have been marked by volatility and confusion, with tariff rates changing abruptly and without warning. Despite these headwinds, domestic demand remains robust across most Asean economies, bolstered by favourable labour-market conditions and price stability. Financial markets have also held up well, with several Asean+3 currencies appreciating against the dollar amid mounting worries over US policy uncertainty. Since April, policymakers have taken pre-emptive steps: half of the region's central banks have eased monetary policy, while several governments have implemented targeted fiscal measures to cushion the impact of potential trade shocks. Still, several threats are clouding the near-term outlook for Asean+3, the most immediate of which is rising protectionism. AMRO's scenario analysis suggests that regional growth could fall below 3 per cent if US tariffs are extended to previously exempt sectors. Such a slowdown would mark the region's weakest non-pandemic performance since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, underscoring its vulnerability to trade disruptions. Adding to these challenges are tightening global financial conditions, driven by diverging monetary policies, commodity-price volatility linked to the Middle East crisis and a trading system that is becoming increasingly fragmented. The result is a fragile economic landscape that will place Asean+3 economies and their policy frameworks under growing pressure in the months ahead. As Asean+3 governments respond to this confluence of near-term challenges, they must also confront deeper structural shifts that will shape the region's long-term growth trajectory. Chief among them is a demographic transition of historic proportions. By 2050, one in four people in Asean+3 will be 65 or older. Population ageing is projected to strain public finances, with fiscal costs ranging from 0.9 per cent of GDP in Indonesia to 9.3 per cent in South Korea, while also limiting governments' ability to invest in productivity-enhancing infrastructure and human capital. Amid rising global turmoil, Asean 3 countries have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Climate change poses an equally urgent threat, as Myanmar, the Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand rank among the world's ten most climate-vulnerable economies. To mitigate the worst effects of the climate crisis, Asean+3 economies must complete the Net-Zero transition. Doing so will require not only massive infrastructure investments but also costly adaptation measures and careful management of transition risks, such as stranded assets in carbon-intensive industries – all without undermining long-term growth. Perhaps the most troubling trend is the secular decline in the region's growth potential. AMRO's analysis finds that the potential growth rate of Asean+3 has declined from 6 per cent to around 4 per cent since the early 2000s, and could fall to 3 per cent by 2050. This slowdown is primarily driven by weaker capital accumulation and sluggish productivity gains, indicating that the traditional growth model – heavily reliant on expanding labour and capital inputs – is running out of steam. In the face of these intensifying pressures, regional integration is more vital than ever. As the global economic order continues to fragment, Asean+3 governments must foster cooperation and develop effective policy-coordination mechanisms. They have already demonstrated the power of collective action. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which entered into force in January 2022, now covers the world's largest free-trade area and serves as a critical buffer against economic fragmentation. At the same time, regional financial cooperation has evolved from mere crisis management to resilience-building, with cross-border payment connectivity and local-currency settlement frameworks reducing reliance on third-country currencies. The Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralisation is a prime example. But these efforts must go further. Asean+3 must position itself as a pillar of stability and principled engagement by reaffirming its commitment to an open, transparent and rules-based multilateral trading system, even as others turn away from it. The region must show that cooperation can deliver prosperity without compromising national sovereignty. In an interconnected world, resilience depends on the willingness to work together. The next few years will test policymakers' resolve. But with sound macroeconomic management, forward-looking structural reforms, and a firm commitment to multilateralism, Asean+3 countries can weather unfavourable conditions and lay the foundation for sustained, inclusive growth. @Project Syndicate, 2025


Observer
2 hours ago
- Observer
Substantial cut in tariffs in UK-India trade dea
The leading feature in the recent free trade agreement signed by the United Kingdom and India, during the visit by India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the UK, is the reduction of tariffs on a variety of goods from textiles to cars and furthermore, the deal allows market access for businesses. Talks on the trade agreement had already taken place in early May after three years of stop-start negotiations and both sides have been keen to seal the deal amid a turmoil of tariffs created over the months, by US President Donald Trump. This agreement between the world's fifth and sixth largest economies aims to increase bilateral trade by a further £25.5bn ($34bn) by 2040. It is the UK's biggest trade deal since it left the European Union in 2020. It is also India's biggest strategic partnership with an advanced economy and it could provide a template for a long-desired deal with the EU as well as for talks with other regions. Both sides hailed as historic a deal which will take effect following a ratification process, likely within a year after which firms such as drinks-maker Diageo and car companies such as BMW, Nissan, Aston Martin and Indian (Tata)-owned Jaguar Land Rover could benefit from lower duties. Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India speak during a press conference after signing a free trade agreement at Chequers near Aylesbury, England. — Reuters UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said there would be huge benefits for both countries, making trade cheaper, quicker and easier. 'We've entered a new global era, and that is one that requires us to step up, not to stand aside, by building deeper partnerships and alliances,' Starmer said in a statement. Modi called the agreement 'a blueprint for shared prosperity', highlighting how Indian goods from textiles to jewellery and seafood would secure better market access. The countries also agreed on a partnership covering areas such as defence and climate, and aim to strengthen co-operation on tackling crime. After spending three hours in talks with Starmer, Modi went to meet King Charles at his Sandringham estate. Under the trade agreement, tariffs on Scotch beverage will drop to 75 per cent from 150 per cent immediately, and slide to 40 per cent over the next decade. Tariffs on drinks such as brandy and rum will be cut to 110 per cent initially and end up at 75 per cent. On cars, India will cut duties to 10 per cent within five years from current level of up to 110 per cent under a quota system that will be gradually liberalised. In return, Indian manufacturers will gain access to the UK market for electric and hybrid vehicles, also under a quota system. Under the deal, 99 per cent of Indian exports to the UK will benefit from zero duties, including textiles, and Britain will have reductions on 90 per cent of its tariff lines, with the average tariff UK firms face dropping to 3 per cent from 15 per cent. But the projected boost to the UK economic output, of 4.8bn a year by 2040, is small compared to Britain's gross domestic product of 2.6bn in 2024. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has forecast that UK exports and imports will be about 15 per cent lower in the long run if Britain had stayed in the EU. The UK's Labour government, having been in power now for a year, has launched a reset of ties with the EU to smooth trade friction and won some tariff relief from the United States. The Confederation of Indian Industry called it a 'strong foundation for deeper market access.'


Times of Oman
9 hours ago
- Times of Oman
Rupee slips and hits lowest in 5 months. Will this trend continue?
Muscat: Indian Rupee has fallen sharply against US dollar during the last couple of days. The Rupee slipped to 87.51 intra day, 60 paisa lower on Wednesday and closed at 87.42. The Exchange houses in Oman are offering Rs226.25 against one Omani Rial. As a result high volumes were witnessed on Tuesday and and Wednesday, sources said. Speaking to Times of Oman, R. Madhusoodanan, a financial expert based in Muscat said that the fall in Rupee since the beginning of this month, particularly the sharp fall on Monday on account of domestic and international reasons including geo-political reasons. Recently, Donald Trump had cautioned Russia to stop the war against Ukraine in a short span of 10 to 15 days as against his previous request of 50 days. Failing the ceasefire, he cautioned that additional sanctions including secondary sanctions may be imposed on Russia and nations buying oil from Russia may be exposed to these secondary sanctions. This statement has created some kind of panic in the crude market which pushed the price of oil from $70 to $72 per barrel. India and China are the main buyers of Russian oil as it is relatively cheaper. Also, there is no clarity on the import tariffs on Indian goods to US since the Indo-US trade treaty is still under negotiation and the deadline given by the Trump administration for deferment of the tariffs is 31st July. Domestic reasons include the lower India's Index of Industrial Production (IIP) of 1.5% in June 2025 which is the lowest in the last 10 months, out flow from Indian stocks and shoring up of dollar by banks due to month end demand from importers. The market is going to take cues from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Experts see no surprise announcements. The dollar index (DXY) is hovering around 98-99 levels, he further said. The forex reserve of India dropped by $1.18 billion to $695.49 billion as on 19/7/2025, a third week straight decline. "Credit off take not taking place the way the policy makers wanted despite 100 bps cut in the repo rates, The sluggish GDP growth, the negative impact of tariffs by US(currently India is trade surplus with US), stress on oil import. repayment obligations etc. due to INR Depreciation against USD are not positives for the Indian economy," he said. "The above domestic and international reasons have impacted the Rupee movement. The weakness continues and even if it crosses the highest level of 88.10 recorded in February this year, I am of the view that there is nothing to worry much. Let the Exchange rate be market driven," Madhusoodanan said.