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Number of UK job hunters rises at fastest rate since Covid pandemic

Number of UK job hunters rises at fastest rate since Covid pandemic

The Guardian14 hours ago
The number of people hunting for jobs in Britain surged in June at the fastest rate since the height of the Covid pandemic, industry figures show, amid growing business fears over tax rises and the economic outlook.
The snapshot from the Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) and the accountancy firm KPMG showed the number of new candidates looking for work rose at the sharpest rate since November 2020, when the UK entered the second nationwide lockdown.
The trade body representing Britain's recruitment industry blamed the 'scar tissue' left by tax rises introduced in April by the government, including a £25bn increase in employer national insurance contributions (NICs).
In a survey of 400 UK recruitment and employment consultancies, the REC found that permanent placements had dropped at the fastest pace in 22 months, alongside weaker levels of pay growth and reports of redundancies and reduced appetite for staff.
The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is under pressure to reboot Britain's economy after output unexpectedly shrank for a second consecutive month in May, fuelled by a downturn in construction and manufacturing.
Labour's growth plans are under the microscope amid mounting speculation over the need for large tax rises in the autumn budget, after Keir Starmer's high-stakes welfare U-turn on disability benefits earlier this month.
While ministers have warned of 'financial consequences' after the backtracking, company bosses say a fresh round of tax rises would add to the pressure on businesses already struggling with global uncertainty from Donald Trump's trade wars.
Jon Holt, group chief executive and UK senior partner at KPMG, said ongoing geopolitical turbulence and the threat of rising employment costs was resulting in a 'wait and see' approach among employers.
'As we head into the second half of the year, global headwinds will continue to impact the overall economic outlook, but clear priorities set out in the industrial and trade strategies and growth in the services sector should provide some of that confidence business leaders need to start planning future investments and to consider their hiring activities.'
The latest snapshot showed the retail sector had recorded the steepest reduction in demand for permanent staff across eight job categories monitored by the REC survey. The only sectors to record a rise in vacancies were construction and engineering.
The rise in the number of available candidates for jobs, tighter company budgets and weakness in hiring demand hit pay growth in June, with starting salaries and temp wages rising only modestly.
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Official jobs market figures show unemployment rose to 4.6% in the three months to April, up from 4.5% in the previous three-month period, to reach the highest level since July 2021. The latest snapshot covering the three months to May is due to be published on Thursday.
Separate HMRC figures show more than 250,000 jobs have been lost in the UK since Reeves's autumn budget.
Neil Carberry, chief executive of the REC, said: 'Much of that [hiring] hesitation stems from the scar tissue left by the spring tax hikes and fear of further business tax rises.
'But underlying this, there are some signs of improving demand. Temporary vacancies, especially in the private sector, are resilient. And we are seeing more sectors adding vacancies in construction, logistics, engineering and healthcare. There is potential out there – if businesses are given a clear run at doing what they do best.'
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Israel strikes tanks in southern Syria as forces clash with Druze militias
Israel strikes tanks in southern Syria as forces clash with Druze militias

Leader Live

time12 minutes ago

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Israel strikes tanks in southern Syria as forces clash with Druze militias

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Reeves says protections remain for ‘working people' amid wealth tax speculation
Reeves says protections remain for ‘working people' amid wealth tax speculation

The Independent

time16 minutes ago

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Reeves says protections remain for ‘working people' amid wealth tax speculation

Rachel Reeves has not ruled out the possibility of a new wealth tax but insisted commitments not to hike tax for 'working people' remained. The Chancellor said she was not going to comment on speculation around her next budget when a date for the statement had not even been set. But she said promises not to increase income tax, national insurance and value added tax (VAT) remained in place, along with her 'non-negotiable' fiscal rules. The Government's U-turns over welfare reform and winter fuel payments have left the Chancellor with a multi-billion black hole to fill, fuelling speculation she might target the assets of the wealthy. Asked to rule that out, Ms Reeves told reporters: 'We haven't even set the date for the budget yet, so please forgive me if I'm not going to speculate about what might happen at an event that we haven't even decided a date on yet. 'But we've been really clear in our manifesto about the taxes that we won't increase, and we're not going to increase the taxes that working people pay, their income tax, their national insurance and their VAT, because I do recognise the struggle that ordinary working people have faced these last few years with the cost of living.' She added that her fiscal rules were 'non-negotiable' as 'they are what give working people security, around interest rates for example'. The narrow margin by which the Chancellor is on course to meet her goal of funding day-to-day spending through revenues rather than borrowing means she is vulnerable to any increase in debt interest costs or reductions in planned savings, such as on welfare. Ms Reeves said: 'Interest rates have come down four times in the last year under this Labour Government because of the stability that we've managed to return to the economy, which is underpinned by those fiscal rules, which have enabled the Bank of England to cut interest rates.' The Bank's governor Andrew Bailey has suggested there could be larger cuts if the jobs market shows signs of weakness, pointing to the impact of Ms Reeves' decision to hike employers' national insurance contributions (NICs). Businesses are 'adjusting employment' as a result of the NICs increase and workers are 'also having pay rises that are possibly less than they would have been if the NICs change hadn't happened', he said. In an interview with The Times, the governor said the British economy was growing behind its potential. This could open up 'slack' to bring down inflation, he said, meaning prices on goods would rise less swiftly compared with earnings in future. Mr Bailey said he believes the base rate set by the Bank of England would be lowered in future, after it was held in June. The current Bank rate of 4.25%, which has a bearing on all lending in the UK – including mortgages – will be reviewed again on August 7 by the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee. 'I really do believe the path is downward,' Mr Bailey told The Times. He added: 'But we continue to use the words 'gradual and careful' because… some people say to me 'why are you cutting when inflation's above target?'' Treasury Chief Secretary Darren Jones said it was entirely normal for firms to adjust their business plans because of a tax hike. He told Times Radio: 'We've also seen the creation of hundreds of thousands of new jobs across the country, and it's normal for business to make adjustments to their plans, depending on the cost of business, in the normal way. 'But we're really focused as a Government in supporting business to create more jobs.'

Prince Harry and Trump both in UK in September in big month for King Charles
Prince Harry and Trump both in UK in September in big month for King Charles

ITV News

time19 minutes ago

  • ITV News

Prince Harry and Trump both in UK in September in big month for King Charles

The month of September is shaping up to be a very significant one for King Charles now that he has a f ixed date in the diary with Donald Trump and a visit to the UK by his younger son, Prince Harry. While Harry has made it clear he wants to reconcile with his father, the King has been advised not to see him for fear his son will share any private family conversations on TV or in a new book. Father and son have not met face-to-face since shortly after the King's cancer announcement in February 2024. Harry's visit in two months' time is likely to take place a week before Donald Trump's big arrival here, so it's hard to see how King Charles's office wouldn't be able to make space in his diary to see his son. The King could decide to make time or he could, as the Sussex team claimed on a previous occasion, decide to be 'too busy' to meet in person. The Duke of Sussex is planning to return to the UK in early September for a series of British-based charity engagements. The revelation that senior staff from both sides met in London last week does suggest there is movement in a positive direction. The King's most senior communications official, Tobyn Andreae, met with Harry and Meghan's newly-appointed head of communications, Meredith Maines, on her first visit to the UK in her role. Harry's UK-based PR man, Liam Maguire was also present at the meeting last Wednesday afternoon in one of London's private members' clubs in St James. Sources in the Sussex camp said they were 'frustrated' that the meeting was leaked but both sides deny they tipped off the Mail on Sunday, which first ran the story. Harry's most recent TV interview triggered a massive setback in the relationship with the King, as Harry spoke publicly about his father's cancer ('I don't know how long he has left'), which was viewed in Buckingham Palace as a gross invasion of the King's privacy. But the meeting between the senior courtier from the palace and two staff from Harry and Meghan's office would only have happened with the express knowledge and authorisation of their bosses. But King Charles' advisers will only allow him to meet his son if Harry pledges not to share details of private conversations about family or his own security arrangements when he's in the UK. Harry should be back in California by the time President Trump lands in the UK for a visit, which has had the adjective 'unprecedented' written next to it more times than I care to count. No US leader has been on a State Visit to the UK twice, but this is Donald Trump 2.0, and he was previously hosted by Queen Elizabeth II at Buckingham Palace in 2019. We now have the confirmed dates for the visit, 17-19 September, which means the logistics can start to be put in place. As we saw with the French State Visit last week, these events are heavy on the detail; Anglo-French chefs, menus which reflect both countries, Kate wearing items by French designers, carriages, and speeches, even before the royals hand over to the politicians. State Visits are arranged at the request of the government of the day, and the royals know they must put on a good show for the visitors, no matter what personal views they might have on their politics. For example, King Charles and Donald Trump have vastly diverging views on climate change, so they will not discuss anything like that in public. But the King knows his prime minister wants the best possible relationship with Mr Trump for economic reasons, and part of his constitutional duty is to host visiting heads of state. Just as for the French visit, the American one will happen in Windsor as Buckingham Palace will still be out of action in September due to its major decade-long renovation project. The Berkshire town will be braced for the consequences. Not just the crowds of tourists they've grown used to every day, but there are likely to be big protests during Mr Trump's stay at Windsor Castle. The president however will greatly enjoy being guests of the Royal Family and the photographs which will accompany that moment. Like his mother before him, Mr Trump is a big fan of the British Monarchy. He had huge respect for the late Queen and he likes King Charles on a personal level. So, it'll be wise for all concerned to make the most of the summer break, as September is shaping up to be a significant month, for both UK-US relations – and Royal Family relations - for many years to come.

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