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Padres, losers of 4 straight, are entering dangerous territory

Padres, losers of 4 straight, are entering dangerous territory

New York Times26-07-2025
ST. LOUIS — A year ago, the San Diego Padres opened the second half with a three-city trip that would set the tone for the rest of the season. They went 7-2, reeling off all seven wins in a row. They scored seven runs in one victory, a dozen in another, nine in the third series-clincher. By the time they boarded their return flight to San Diego, they were firmly in playoff contention and newly in possession of setup man Jason Adam, having emboldened the front office to buy upgrades ahead of the trade deadline.
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A year later, the Padres find themselves in slightly better standing. They are 55-49, one game ahead of their 54-50 record last July 24.
They are also entering dangerous territory. The wins and losses tell a story of year-over-year improvement. The recent trend lines do not.
Amid another post-break odyssey, the Padres lost a fourth consecutive game in Friday's 3-0 shutout by the St. Louis Cardinals. Their offense, a night after producing a seven-run silver lining, fell back into the malaise that has dragged the team downward for more than two months. San Diego collected 11 hits but went 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position. A lack of power remained conspicuous; leadoff man Fernando Tatis Jr. doubled twice for the club's only extra-base hits.
That the front office intends to be an aggressive buyer could be viewed as reassuring. President of baseball operations A.J. Preller is seeking multiple bats, starting pitching and bullpen reinforcement. Even with limited financial flexibility, the Padres' lead executive is a good bet to make at least one splashy transaction.
But every additional defeat in late July complicates the calculus. Despite their record, the Padres' needs are more plentiful and more pronounced than they were this time last season. The lineup, over the past year, has gone from a relentless machine to a lurching clunker. Veteran starting pitcher Yu Darvish, a significant boost late last summer, surrendered eight runs Thursday as concerns about his elbow lingered. Michael King is scheduled to throw a simulated game Monday. It's an encouraging development, but the Opening Day starter still has not pitched in an actual game since May.
More immediately, the Padres are staring at the prospect of a 3-7 trip ahead of another trade deadline. How important is it to salvage the next two games and make it a 5-5 finish?
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'I mean, every game is important,' Padres manager Mike Shildt said. 'The trade deadline's the trade deadline. We in that clubhouse know where we're at. We've proven it. We know we're going to be a team that's going to push and make the playoffs. I don't want to be, like, overly confident about that, because we've got to go do it. But the point I'm getting at — we know what we have. You know, there's a lot of confidence in that.'
There appears to be almost no scenario in which the next handful of days transforms the Padres from a buyer to a full-on seller. The team is still clinging to at least a share of the National League's final wild-card spot. The Los Angeles Dodgers, slowed by injuries, lead the division by a mere five games. Amid the parity that has defined the sport, the Padres trail the NL-best Milwaukee Brewers by only 6 1/2 games.
Still, even before they returned from the All-Star break, the Padres were considering a more treacherous path than most. They might have to both buy and sell. Dylan Cease and Robert Suarez, with free agency looming, are among the candidates to be dealt. The Padres indeed know what they have in the pair: an inconsistent, sometimes-dominant starter and a two-time All-Star closer.
If they deal them — or, for that matter, anyone else — they cannot fully know what they would get in return. Last July's trades for Adam and fellow reliever Tanner Scott turned out to be hits. A year earlier, more modest acquisitions failed to save a spiraling season. In 2022, Preller landed a white whale; Juan Soto, in San Diego, turned out to be more above-average than extraordinary.
Friday, the Padres reinforced the narrow margins they have experienced all season. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas entered with a 5.20 ERA and proceeded to throw five scoreless innings. A hit batter and a fielding error led to a run in the bottom of the second. In the top of the fourth, shortstop Xander Bogaerts tagged up on a fly ball and was thrown out for a double play. The bottom of the inning saw Nick Pivetta uncharacteristically walk consecutive batters. Both of them came around to score.
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'I'm not gonna be too hard on myself,' said Pivetta, who yielded three runs, two earned, in 6 1/3 innings. 'It's two walks. I haven't really walked too many guys back-to-back.'
His stance was more than justified. Pivetta, this season, has thrown more than 120 innings and issued 32 walks. He also has a 2.81 ERA. The right-hander is among the biggest reasons the Padres find themselves in playoff contention.
How will they ensure they stay there? The trade deadline represents a once-a-season opportunity. It also comes with the risk the Padres pour even more capital into what might be a fatally flawed product.
No matter what the front office does, the players continue to hold the most power.
'We have to prove it,' Shildt said. 'I get that part. But I have complete confidence in this team. This team has complete confidence in themselves.'
(Photo of Masyn Winn turning a double play against Xander Bogaerts: Dilip Vishwanat / Getty Images)
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