Emerging Assets Gain as Traders Watch for Fed Cues From US Data
The Indonesian rupiah is leading gains in Asian currencies, while the Romanian leu and Czech koruna outperform in broader emerging markets on upcoming talks between US and Russia. An MSCI gauge of emerging-market currencies edged up against the dollar, while an MSCI index of EM stocks rose 0.2%. Traders are also watching for confirmation of a US-China trade truce extension, with the preliminary deal set to expire on Tuesday.
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq waver as Trump reportedly extends China tariff deadline
Stocks wavered on Monday as President Trump reportedly granted another 90-day extension for steeper China tariffs and as traders eyed a key inflation reading this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.4%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell into negative territory to slip 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) slipped below the flat line after rising as much as 0.4%. Stocks reacted little to reports from CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post that indicated that Trump pushed back his China tariff deadline until Nov. 9 as the two sides continue to work on negotiating a firmer deal. Additional tariffs on China were previously scheduled to go into effect on Tuesday. Wall Street is coming off a week that saw the Nasdaq Composite notch two consecutive records at its end. The S&P 500, meanwhile, just missed a record close on Friday. Tech stocks overperformed as Apple (AAPL) posted its best week since 2020 on the heels of its White House spotlight with President Trump. Nvidia also closed Friday at a fresh record amid signals from Trump that Big Tech companies could avoid looming chip tariffs. But in another tariff-related twist, President Trump confirmed on Monday he made a deal with Nvidia —allowing the AI chip giant to sell its H20 chip to China for a revenue cut in exchange. "This [H20] is an old chip that China already has," Trump said on Monday, noting the agreement does not extend to Nvidia's next generation Blackwell. The Financial Times reported on Sunday that both Nvidia and AMD agreed to give the US government 15% of the money they make from selling certain computer chips to China. Nvidia and AMD shares reversed early losses on Monday. Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs Trump has claimed that his tariffs are having a "huge positive impact on the stock market," though Wall Street is still navigating the twists and turns of sweeping duties on dozens of trade partners which went into effect last week. Now, investors are turning their attention to his previewed sectoral duties on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, as well as a looming Tuesday deadline to extend a tariff pause with China. Wall Street will get another glimpse this week into how those tariffs are affecting price pressures in the US. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set for release on Tuesday, followed by the Producer Price Index on Thursday and retail sales data on Friday. Inflation reaccelerated in June, and economists have warned that the tariffs will likely continue to seep into price data in the coming months. On Monday Trump clarified gold (GC-F) will not be tariffed the precious metal futures market whipsawed last week amid confusion on whether Swiss bars would be subject to levies. Read more: Live coverage of earnings season July CPI report expected to show inflation accelerated amid tariff pressures Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports: Read more here. Gold at session lows as Trump says precious metal will be not be tariffed Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." stock falls 23% after lowering revenue guidance Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Bitcoin surges above $120,000, ethereum rises as investors pile into crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Intel stock jumps with CEO Lip-Bu Tan reportedly set to meet with President Trump Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Tesla stock rises as EV maker applies for electricity supply license in UK Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Micron jumps after memory chipmaker raises Q4 financial guidance Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Stocks steady at the open US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. Paramount seals $7.7 billion exclusive US rights deal with UFC Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). AMC tops revenue estimates as blockbuster titles boost theater attendance AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. Nvidia, AMD stocks decline after chipmakers agree to pay US 15% cut of China chip sales Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines stock tanks after the company reports earnings stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here US gold futures fall as traders await clarification on tariffs US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Target still in the bear camp Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Bitcoin near a fresh record Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. crashing Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg. July CPI report expected to show inflation accelerated amid tariff pressures Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports: Read more here. Gold at session lows as Trump says precious metal will be not be tariffed Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." stock falls 23% after lowering revenue guidance Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Bitcoin surges above $120,000, ethereum rises as investors pile into crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Intel stock jumps with CEO Lip-Bu Tan reportedly set to meet with President Trump Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Tesla stock rises as EV maker applies for electricity supply license in UK Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Micron jumps after memory chipmaker raises Q4 financial guidance Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Stocks steady at the open US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. Paramount seals $7.7 billion exclusive US rights deal with UFC Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). AMC tops revenue estimates as blockbuster titles boost theater attendance AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. Nvidia, AMD stocks decline after chipmakers agree to pay US 15% cut of China chip sales Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines stock tanks after the company reports earnings stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here US gold futures fall as traders await clarification on tariffs US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Target still in the bear camp Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Bitcoin near a fresh record Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. crashing Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg. Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
CNBC
19 minutes ago
- CNBC
The big opportunity in these tax-free bonds may be short lived — 'the ship is leaving the port,' says strategist
The opportunity to scoop up municipal bonds at attractive prices isn't going to last forever, according to strategist Tom Kozlik. The head of public policy and municipal strategy at Hilltop Securities has been warning investors that a " window of opportunity " may close fast once the idea that the Federal Reserve is destined to cut interest rates gains in popularity. Now, he's seeing signs that may have started. "The ship is leaving the port, and investors should stay alert to avoid missing this opportunity," Kozlik wrote in a note last week. Yields on municipal securities declined recently, reinforcing this view, the strategist noted. July's disappointing jobs report , showing signs of a potential slowdown , further strengthened the argument. Bond yields move inversely to prices. Plus, recent economic data, Traders now see a about an 86% chance of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve, according to the CME FedWatch tool , which uses 30-Day fed funds futures prices to determine the odds. "A combination of either the market and/or the Fed could cause yields to drop, further closing that window of opportunity," Kozlik said in an interview with CNBC. The average municipal bond yielded 3.9% late last week, down from 4% the week before, helped by a rally in the Treasury market, said Cooper Howard, fixed-income strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research. For instance, the Schwab Municipal Bond ETF recently had a 30-day SEC yield of 3.78% and a 0.03% expense ratio. SCMB YTD mountain Schwab Municipal Bond ETF year to date Those yields are before taxes are taken into consideration. Interest earned from muni bonds is free from federal tax and, if the bond holder lives in the state where the bond is issued, exempt from state and any local tax too. For investors in the top tax bracket, the tax-equivalent yield is around 6.5%, Howard said. In addition, municipal bond yields are even more attractive on a relative basis when compared to Treasury yields, especially at the longer end of the yield curve, he noted. The municipal-to-Treasury ratio for 10-year bonds is about 75%, meaning munis yield about 75% of what similar Treasury bonds yield. While Treasurys are free of state taxes, they are not exempt from federal taxes. "The longer portion of the yield curve, if you're an investor who can stomach a little bit of interest-rate risk, we think that that can make sense," Howard said. Yet that relative value can soon come down as well, Kozlik said. Over the last couple weeks, cross-over —or nontraditional — buyers have been investing in municipal bonds, he said. "Those non-traditional and non-regular buyers have been pretty active, and when those non-traditional buyers jump in, that's one of the things that oftentimes brings down that relative value," he explained. The municipal-to-Treasury ratio hasn't fallen quickly because there has been heavy primary issuance, he said. "So on the one hand, that means that the opportunity for municipal-to-Treasury ratios being very attractive could continue for a couple of days — but I'm saying days, I'm not saying weeks," Kozlik said. "So this is something that when individual investors see this, they can't wait." Where to find opportunity Kozlik largely recommends high-grade, well-rated state and local general obligation bonds and revenue-authority bonds. "Municipal credit is still very, very strong," he said. "It's stronger than it was before the Covid crisis." In addition, there can be some value found in beat-up higher-education bonds , he said. While some in the sector are suffering, bonds from a large state system or large organization that isn't having an enrollment problem look good, he said. Howard doesn't focus on general obligation bonds versus revenue bonds, or any specific sector over another. "It's important to look at what is backing that bond, and where are they driving their revenues from," he said. Creating a ladder of varying duration can also make sense, he said. He suggests an average duration of six years. "It really takes the guesswork out of trying to time interest rates," he said.
Bloomberg
19 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Breaking the World's Addiction to US Statistics Is Hard
One of Jimmy Carter's top aides was banned from talking about recessions or depressions. So the person in charge of the campaign against US inflation in the late 1970s came to describing downturns as ' bananas.' Bendy food is again fashionable in economic parlance. Banana-republic governance has been evoked to describe President Donald Trump's firing of the government's top labor statistician after a poor jobs report and threats against the head of the Federal Reserve for not lowering interest rates faster. The Oval Office's disdain for anything it might consider bad news, and the instinct to dispose of those who deliver it, is not only corrosive, but sets a terrible example.
