ITV Racing tips: Goodwood and Newmarket tips, Saturday August 2

Telegraph

4 days ago

Ron Wood's selections
NAP:
Mudbir (3.45, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 11/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Next best:
Silent Love (3.20, Newmarket) 1pt win @ 7/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Others:
Arabian Crown (1.20, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 4/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
French Duke (1.55, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 4/1 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Ruby's Angel (2.10, Newmarket) 1pt win @ 13/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Goodie Two Shoes (2.30, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 7/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐
Purosangue (3.05, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 15/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Hammer The Hammer (3.05, Goodwood) 1pt win @ 11/2 with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Odds provided by Betfred and correct at the time of writing. Stars denote strength of selection (maximum five).
If you already have a Betfred account and are looking for a new bookmaker to use on this week's racing, check out more free bets from the best betting sites, reviewed by our experts
1.20 Goodwood – Glorious Stakes (Group 3, 1m 4f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
This features last year's winner Al Aasy, but he's eight now and there have been signs that he is on the downgrade.
Getting back on slow ground should help ARABIAN CROWN and he may be able to adopt his favoured front-running tactics.
A smart two-year-old and early three-year-old, Charlie Appleby's runner has lost his way since resuming this term, but he has had some excuses, most recently finding the ground too fast at Newmarket when returning from a 76-day break, his first start since being gelded.
1.55 Goodwood – Class 2 Handicap (1m 6f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
FRENCH DUKE won a 1m 4f handicap at this meeting last year. He has had only one start this term, struggling to make an impression in a handicap over the same trip at Royal Ascot, but Roger Varian's runner could build on that.
His connections have been working on getting him settled and, if he switches off OK he could improve for this step up in trip. This course evidently suits, he handles slow ground and he has untapped potential.
Selection: French Duke 1pt win @ 4/1 with Betfred
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2.10 Newmarket – Nursery Handicap (Class 2, 6f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
RUBY'S ANGEL has been a beaten favourite on all three of her starts, but she has been running to a fair level and might prove ahead of her mark in her first handicap.
Hugo Palmer's filly most recently finished one place behind Awaafi at Haydock, only a neck behind that rival, but she had been off for two months before that outing.
2.30 Goodwood – Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2, 1m 6f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
This is a good, competitive staying event for fillies and mares that includes last year's winner Term Of Endearment, but the vote goes to the Joseph O'Brien-trained GOODIE TWO SHOES, who has won her last three starts in Ireland, most recently a Group 3 over 1m 6f at Fairyhouse.
3.05 Goodwood – Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap, 6f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
Get It made all in this race last year and again in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot in June, but the ground may be slower than he wants this time. There's also Commanche Falls, who won it in 2021 and 2022, however others make more appeal now.
It might not be that imaginative, but it seems like backing PUROSANGUE and HAMMER THE HAMMER would give one a fair chance of being on the winner. Both seem likely to go well.
Purosangue was well beaten as the 9/2 favourite for this race last year, but slower ground this time is in his favour and he was second in the 2023 Molecomb Stakes at this meeting, so the track isn't an issue. He comes into this off a nice run in the Wokingham, when ninth of 28 on ground faster than ideal.
Hammer The Hammer is a highly progressive three-year-old, most recently finishing second in the Palace of Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. This test should suit him and he holds Group 1 entries.
Selection: Purosangue 1pt win @ 15/2 with Betfred
3.20 Newmarket – Chalice Stakes (Listed, 1m 4f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
This fillies' event isn't strong for the class and maybe SILENT LOVE can progress enough to take it and emulate her dam, Haddith, a Listed winner at Newmarket's other course for the same connections.
Silent Love won a maiden at the third attempt, her success coming over 1m 3f at Kempton in the manner of an out-and-out galloper who will be suited by this added emphasis on stamina.
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a tremendous record (9-16 before Friday evening's racing) when teaming up with trainer Charlie Appleby .
3.45 Goodwood – Class 2 Handicap (7f; ITV1 & Racing TV)
There are a few nice types in this strong-looking three-year-old event, but MUDBIR is hard to ignore.
This John & Thady Gosden-trained runner has had only four starts, most recently taking his form to a new level in winning a useful 7f handicap at Sandown. The runner-up from that race ran creditably from a tricky draw here on Wednesday.
It's hard to fathom how the handicapper has nudged Mudbir up only 2lb for that, leaving him on a mark of 91. That's an underestimation of this close relation to the same connections' dual Group 1 winner Nazeef. He's also a half-brother to their dual top-level scorer Mostahdaf.
Free-to-view coverage
ITV4 – 9.30-10.30am: The Opening Show
ITV1 – 1.00-4.00pm: Live racing from Glorious Goodwood and Newmarket
Saturday's UK and Irish racing
Flat
Goodwood (1.20-4.55, Racing TV)
Thirsk (1.38-5.50, Racing TV)
Doncaster (1.45-5.20, Sky Sports Racing)
Newmarket (2.10-5.05, Racing TV)
Lingfield (5.10-8.15, Sky Sports Racing)
Hamilton (5.55-9.00, Racing TV)
Mixed (Flat and jumps)
Galway (2.02-6.05, Racing TV)
Are there any other horses of interest away from the ITV cameras?
Yes, Dubai Beach in the 4.05 at Thirsk. She was beaten at short odds at Kempton last time, but it may still be worth buying into the form of her Chelmsford win two starts back, when she fairly bolted up. The runner-up and fourth both won next time out.
What does NAP mean?
NAP is a word used in betting circles to describe a prediction that a tipster thinks has a particularly strong chance of winning.
Many horse racing tipsters pick out a 'NAP of the day', which is their favoured selection from all the races across the different meetings.
The term NAP derives from the French card game Napoleon. When players of this game thought they had a particularly strong hand that they would win with, they would shout 'Napoleon'.
Star ratings explained
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ - confident selection
⭐⭐⭐⭐ - strong fancy
⭐⭐⭐ - fair claims
⭐⭐ - tentative choice
⭐ - minimum confidence