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July 6 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

July 6 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper05-07-2025
Race 1 (1,400m)
(3) EIGHT HATS did not go unnoticed in a Grade 1 over 1,200m last time, staying on well after early interference to be beaten a little over five lengths. On the evidence of that performance, she could have more to offer stretching out to this distance.
(9) OPEN SESAME would have come on from her debut third in a 2YO fillies race over 1,160m at Turffontein, and should have a strong say in this.
(1) ALTA CAPITANA was outrun late by (7) PRINCESS KEIRA over course and distance last time but should turn the tables on 2kg better terms. The latter is a Reserve Runner in a 2yo Grade 2 on HWB Durban July day.
Race 2 (1,400m)
This extended distance will likely favour (4) SHADOWFAX who is good value to confirm his superiority over (2) JAN VAN GOYEN whom he beat late by three parts of a length over 1,160m at Turffontein last time even if the latter is weighted to avenge that defeat on 3kg better terms.
(1) BLIZZARD QUEST justified market support when stepped up in trip on his reappearance as a gelding at Greyville over 1,600m, and should have more to offer, even with the step back in trip.
Mike and Adam Azzie's maiden (7) RADIO STAR, second in both starts over this course and distance, is not taken lightly in receipt of 3kg. Gavin Lerena sticking with him is a solid pointer.
Race 3 (1,600m)
(4) RADICCHIO had excuses for finishing behind that rival last time and deserves a reward for his consistency.
(2) FIRE 'N FLAMES was outclassed in a KZN Grade 1 last month but will be more competitive at this level under these conditions.
(6) SILENT WAR has a bit to find at the weights but is dangerous to discount under 50kg.
(3) GIMMEANOTHERCHANCE has found form recently and another three-point drop in the ratings should stand him in good stead.
Race 4 (1,000m)
Promising 2yo (4) CONSTELLATION was not winning out of turn last time when fitted with a tongue-tie. With further headway, he could be leniently treated, so it could pay to follow his progress.
Older rivals (2) IT'S PERSONAL and (3) HEMISPHERE are closely matched. Both have form and experience to test the youngster.
Returning (1) SEA WOLF completes the shortlist.
Race 5 (1,100m)
(1) CHASING HAPPINESS and (8) WHISTLE THE TUNE acquitted themselves very well in a 1,200m Grade 1 five weeks ago. The latter finished a close-up fourth and 1.10 lengths ahead of her familiar foe who is 2.5kg better off. Both will play leading roles if reproducing those performances.
Consistent (7) QUANTUM THEORY deserves to get his head in front after three consecutive runner-up finishes, while course-and-distance winner (6) DREAMLAND also has legitimate each-way credentials.
Race 6 (1,800m)
(2) WAR REPORTER sparked signs of improvement last time when finishing fourth having dropped slightly in the ratings. So another forward showing is expected off a slightly reduced mark.
(6) ROSY LEMON should not be written off, especially over a distance she enjoys. She has been a real model of consistency.
(3) FUTUREWOLFF and (5) FLAG BEARER are also consistent and versatile hard-knockers with the form and experience over this trip to trouble the selection.
Race 7 (1,800m)
(1) FIRE ATTACK ran second in a course-and-distance Grade 1 before beating older rivals en route to Grade 1 glory in March. Grade 3 Sea Cottage Stakes is up his alley.
(3) CHOISAANADA is bidding to complete the Highveld's 3yo Winter Series clean sweep. On the evidence of his first and second leg victories over HWB Durban July runners Immediate Edge and Confederate, he could be better suited to this extended distance.
(4) KAMENSKY is a mile specialist who has always held his own in this type of company. There is no reason why he cannot handle the rise in distance by another 200m.
(6) PUMPKIN PIE is another progressive sort who is not without a say in this.
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July 6 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
July 6 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

time05-07-2025

  • New Paper

July 6 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

Race 1 (1,400m) (3) EIGHT HATS did not go unnoticed in a Grade 1 over 1,200m last time, staying on well after early interference to be beaten a little over five lengths. On the evidence of that performance, she could have more to offer stretching out to this distance. (9) OPEN SESAME would have come on from her debut third in a 2YO fillies race over 1,160m at Turffontein, and should have a strong say in this. (1) ALTA CAPITANA was outrun late by (7) PRINCESS KEIRA over course and distance last time but should turn the tables on 2kg better terms. The latter is a Reserve Runner in a 2yo Grade 2 on HWB Durban July day. Race 2 (1,400m) This extended distance will likely favour (4) SHADOWFAX who is good value to confirm his superiority over (2) JAN VAN GOYEN whom he beat late by three parts of a length over 1,160m at Turffontein last time even if the latter is weighted to avenge that defeat on 3kg better terms. (1) BLIZZARD QUEST justified market support when stepped up in trip on his reappearance as a gelding at Greyville over 1,600m, and should have more to offer, even with the step back in trip. Mike and Adam Azzie's maiden (7) RADIO STAR, second in both starts over this course and distance, is not taken lightly in receipt of 3kg. Gavin Lerena sticking with him is a solid pointer. Race 3 (1,600m) (4) RADICCHIO had excuses for finishing behind that rival last time and deserves a reward for his consistency. (2) FIRE 'N FLAMES was outclassed in a KZN Grade 1 last month but will be more competitive at this level under these conditions. (6) SILENT WAR has a bit to find at the weights but is dangerous to discount under 50kg. (3) GIMMEANOTHERCHANCE has found form recently and another three-point drop in the ratings should stand him in good stead. Race 4 (1,000m) Promising 2yo (4) CONSTELLATION was not winning out of turn last time when fitted with a tongue-tie. With further headway, he could be leniently treated, so it could pay to follow his progress. Older rivals (2) IT'S PERSONAL and (3) HEMISPHERE are closely matched. Both have form and experience to test the youngster. Returning (1) SEA WOLF completes the shortlist. Race 5 (1,100m) (1) CHASING HAPPINESS and (8) WHISTLE THE TUNE acquitted themselves very well in a 1,200m Grade 1 five weeks ago. The latter finished a close-up fourth and 1.10 lengths ahead of her familiar foe who is 2.5kg better off. Both will play leading roles if reproducing those performances. Consistent (7) QUANTUM THEORY deserves to get his head in front after three consecutive runner-up finishes, while course-and-distance winner (6) DREAMLAND also has legitimate each-way credentials. Race 6 (1,800m) (2) WAR REPORTER sparked signs of improvement last time when finishing fourth having dropped slightly in the ratings. So another forward showing is expected off a slightly reduced mark. (6) ROSY LEMON should not be written off, especially over a distance she enjoys. She has been a real model of consistency. (3) FUTUREWOLFF and (5) FLAG BEARER are also consistent and versatile hard-knockers with the form and experience over this trip to trouble the selection. Race 7 (1,800m) (1) FIRE ATTACK ran second in a course-and-distance Grade 1 before beating older rivals en route to Grade 1 glory in March. Grade 3 Sea Cottage Stakes is up his alley. (3) CHOISAANADA is bidding to complete the Highveld's 3yo Winter Series clean sweep. On the evidence of his first and second leg victories over HWB Durban July runners Immediate Edge and Confederate, he could be better suited to this extended distance. (4) KAMENSKY is a mile specialist who has always held his own in this type of company. There is no reason why he cannot handle the rise in distance by another 200m. (6) PUMPKIN PIE is another progressive sort who is not without a say in this.

June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

time02-06-2025

  • New Paper

June 3 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

Race 1 (2,400m) Veteran (1) NEBRAAS had (6) UNITED COUNCIL and (7) EXPLOSIVE BOND well behind when finishing second in a Listed race over 3,200m last time. He needs to repeat that performance over the shorter trip to end a 794-day winless streak. (2) SILENT WAR is an unknown quantity over this extended distance but could have a role to play if improving for this sterner test of stamina. (8) FETCHING FLYER cannot be taken lightly. She can mix her form, but her second to Jordan in a 2,000m race puts her in good stead. Race 2 (1,160m) (3) CHERICHERILADY improved with the benefit of an introductory outing to finish third over track and trip last time. She is likely to fight for victory. (10) ONE SUMMER did not go unnoticed on debut behind that rival. Can acquit herself competitively. Watch the betting on the newcomers, especially the well-bred two-year-old fillies (11) QUEEN OF PEARLS and (12) QUEENSLAND. Race 3 (1,160m) (3) CHAPBOOK was on debut when dead-heating with the experienced (2) CARNARVON over track and trip recently, but the former would have come on from that and should improve to get the better of his familiar foe. Look out for any betting support on the well-bred newcomers (11) TIGER'S CAPTAIN and (6) JAN VAN GOYEN. Race 4 (1,600m) The consistent (2) GOLDEN WARRIOR has improved to finish in the money in both starts with blinkers on. He was touched off last time, and needs only to repeat that run to fight for victory once more. It could pay to side with (4) MASTER SPY, who caught the eye on debut over a shorter trip, and would have greatly benefited from that experience. On the evidence of that display, the step-up to this trip should be more to his liking. (8) REJUVENATE appeals most of the remainder. (6) SERGEANT SOQRAT can sneak in at odds. Race 5 (1,600m) (9) FIRE STARTER, (7) MIRROR FLECTION and (5) CURTISS CONDOR have shown promise in both outings and need not improve much to fight out the finish. (1) PHIL THE FLUTER and (2) CHIEFTAIN'S SHIELD are closely matched on recent form, but the latter could turn the tables on 2.5kg better terms and with blinkers refitted. Race 6 (1,600m) (8) ETHICAL and (6) LAVA LAMP have both shown enough to suggest they will not be maidens for much longer. Ethical finished second over this trip on the Inside track last time, so the switch to the Standside course should be to her liking. Filly (7) BOLD ACTION also has legitimate money chances. (1) INTRO is a long-time maiden with the form and experience to acquit herself competitively. (10) INTO DANCING could also make her presence felt. Race 7 (1,800m) (11) COUNT HUHTIKUU finished ahead of (1) BACCHUS in a similar contest over 1,600m last month, and should have the measure of that rival again over this extended trip, despite a 0.5kg turnaround. The lightly raced (7) DJ JUNIOR scored in his only run at this level and should play a leading role. Last-start winner (6) JORDAN remains competitive under the resultant penalty. The drop from 2,000m to 1,800m should not be an issue. Race 8 (1,160m) Good race. (2) BUFFALO STORM CODY is unbeaten in two starts as a gelding and keeps evolving on a steep upwards trajectory. The Tony Peter-trained 3YO carries another hefty eight-point penalty for winning a similar contest last time, but the hat-trick of wins seems well within his compass. Grade 2 entry (3) DANTONFROMSANDTON, consistent (6) QUANTUM THEORY, last-start winner (9) YAMADORI and comeback winner (1) READY TO CHARGE all have the means to expose any chinks in the selection's armour. Race 9 (1,160m) Consistent class-dropper (2) KINDRED HEART has leading claims. Last-start scorer (6) BLIZZARD SNOW has more to do at this level but remains competitive under her resultant penalty. (5) HONG KONG is better off at the weights with her last-start conquerors and should pose more of a threat on these terms. (1) POINTER is suited on the course and distance, and is better than her recent form over 1,400m suggests, so the filly must be respected.

May 8 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
May 8 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

New Paper

time07-05-2025

  • New Paper

May 8 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis

Race 1 (1,450m) (4) GULF OF AMERICA and (7) JAPANESE GARDEN stayed on well in a winners' race on debut over 1,160m and both would have benefited from that experience. (2) BOLD ACTION and (9) OPERA FAN have the form and experience to play leading roles, too. Watch the betting on well-bred newcomer (3) FAIR PROPOSAL. Race 2 (1,450m) (1) CHRONICLE KING ran second on debut over track and trip behind a subsequent winner. Can go one better with that experience to count on. (8) SCARLETT HEART can be competitive, especially in receipt of a sex allowance. Recently gelded (6) ROYALE JACKET is best judged on his debut performance. Watch the betting on imported youngster (7) TASKMASTER. Race 3 (1,200m) (7) EIGHT HATS will be hard to beat if she takes her place in this. (2) GENOVEFA and (6) RENDEVOUS IN RIO have shown enough to trouble the selection, although well-bred newcomer (10) RACHEL WALL need not be special to also make her presence felt. Race 4 (1,600m) (1) ART NOUVEAU and (3) SHAMOON have the form and experience to play leading roles but are vulnerable to less-exposed rivals. (2) NKWENKWEZI would not be winning out of turn and need not improve much in first-time blinkers to open her account. (9) ETHICAL ran an improved third against males last time and remains open to further progress. (8) REFLECTIVE did not go unnoticed on debut. Has a say. Race 5 (2,000m) (8) KUDZU scored in his only 2,000m appearance and is good value to preserve that 100 per cent record over this distance. (10) TOTAL SURRENDER is weighted to be competitive, especially in first-time blinkers. (5) STAR COIN has a good record over this trip. Keep safe. (9) CLAW, (12) FETCHING FLYER and (13) JORDAN have each-way chances. Race 6 (1,450m) (4) SAIL THE SKY was rewarded for consistency with a last-start success at a higher level. However, it is worth noting that Gavin Lerena gets off that runner to ride (5) CALL ME MASTER. (1) AFTER HOURS and (2) CALIDA have the form and experience at this level to do well. Race 7 (1,450m) (2) NIGHT BOMBER finished behind (6) BOB'S YOUR UNCLE before beating (9) PRESSONREGARDLESS, (8) BIOFARMER and (4) MAX THE MAGICIAN last time. There should be little separating the quintet on the revised weight terms. (12) PLUS FOUR landed a betting coup over this track and trip on his Highveld debut. Another bold showing is on the cards. Race 8 (1,450m) (1) WARNING SOUND fluffed her lines last time in a stronger race but would have benefited from a subsequent 15-week absence. (5) GREGARIOUS fits a similar profile and will likely fight for victory with progress expected. (2) QUANTUM, (3) RATTLE BAG and (7) ANNEWITHAN E have the form and experience to be competitive. Race 9 (1,450m) (2) SATYAGRAHA made it start-to-finish to win over track and trip last time. It should pay to follow his progress. (1) WILLOW EXPRESS is proven at this level and has the means to play a leading role, despite conceding weight to all. Last-start winners (4) KING OF NUMBERS and (9) SUPER AWESOME remain competitive, while unexposed (8) CARS BIG AS BARS is not underestimated.

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