
Republicans Tillis and Bacon, Who Split with Trump, Won't Seek Reelection
Rep. Don Bacon (R-Nebraska) – who has taken issue with Trump's tariff policy, his posture toward Russia and Elon Musk's U.S. DOGE Service, among other things – announced his retirement Monday, calling himself a 'traditional conservative' caught in a 'tug of war' in his party over issues such as foreign policy and trade. A day earlier, Sen. Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina) declared that he would not seek a third term, after drawing Trump's wrath for opposing the president's priority legislative package.
The developments emboldened Democrats in their efforts to try to defeat the sweeping tax and immigration bill as well as capture both lawmakers' seats next year – and worried some Republicans on both fronts. Bacon represents one of only three GOP-held House districts nationwide that Trump lost last year, while Tillis was considered the most vulnerable Senate Republican up for reelection next year.
'When the energy's on the other side, you really don't want to have to defend an open seat,' said Tom Davis, a former chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee.
The ranks of Republican elected officials who have differed with Trump in recent years has thinned considerably, as fealty to him has become the biggest litmus test in the party and the president has frequently vowed retribution against his critics. Some have stepped down voluntarily, while others have been ousted in Republican primaries. That dynamic is in play once again ahead of the 2026 elections, with other Republicans facing difficult decisions.
In Texas, Republican Sen. John Cornyn is already facing a tough primary challenger in a vocal Trump ally, state Attorney General Ken Paxton. Cornyn has said he is fully committed to running again. But Paxton sought to stoke doubts about that.
'You next?' Paxton asked Cornyn on X after Tillis announced his retirement.
Jeff Flake, a former Republican senator from Arizona who retired in 2019 after his own disagreements with Trump, said the decisions by Bacon and Tillis show how partisanship has only intensified since he left office. That has left independent-leaning lawmakers torn between retiring or forging forward with their every move scrutinized for loyalty to the party, he said.
'I don't blame them at all,' said Flake, specifically referring to Tillis's predicament. 'To go through the next 18 months … trying to thread that needle when the president's already come out against you – no way. That's asking for too much. You couldn't truly be independent.'
Trump lashed out at Tillis on Saturday night after he voted against moving forward with the president's bill, and promised to meet with potential primary challengers in the coming weeks.
Tillis vowed to speak more freely after announcing his retirement – and wasted little time, heading to the Senate floor hours later to give a scathing speech arguing that the bill went against Trump's insistence that he would not harm Medicaid.
'Republicans are about to make a mistake on health care and betray a promise,' Tillis said Sunday.
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt on Monday bluntly dismissed Tillis's concerns that the bill's Medicaid provisions would prompt rural hospital closures.
'The senator was wrong,' Leavitt said during a White House press briefing. 'The president put out a Truth Social post addressing it, and then the senator announced he's no longer running for office anymore, so I think that case has been closed.'
Several moderate House Republicans privately said they were stunned by how the White House responded to Tillis's retirement announcement, according to two lawmakers familiar with the conversations, who like others spoke on the condition of anonymity to detail private conversations, fueling their concerns about how hard the president's team will work to satisfy centrist concerns' ahead of the midterms.
Speaking with reporters in Omaha on Monday, Bacon, who unlike Tillis had avoided an open back-and-forth conflict with Trump, acknowledged that some of his positions, such as his support for free trade and international alliances, put him at odds with some fellow Republicans in the Trump era.
'I'm a traditional conservative at heart, but I feel like I've been able to do what I thought was right, whether it's infrastructure, whether it was also certifying the election,' he said, referring to his support for President Joe Biden's bipartisan infrastructure law and for confirming Trump's 2020 reelection loss as the president falsely claimed it was rigged.
Bacon said he was retiring to devote more time to family after years of representing a battleground district that requires the incumbent to be 'all in.' He advised his party to be discerning about who they put forward next in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District.
'Be careful in a primary of being drug way to the right because you can't win in the general,' he said.
Democrats said they were eager to contest the open seat.
'Even though [Bacon] always did end up voting the way that Trump wanted him to, he gave a hopeful vision, which is why he was able to win,' Jane Kleeb, head of the Nebraska Democrats, said Monday during a call with reporters. 'Now that that seat is open, there's no question that we're going to be able to send a Democratic official to Congress representing the 2nd Congressional District.'
House Republicans hold a slim majority and roughly a dozen of them have already announced runs for governor and senator, with several others mulling whether to launch their own bids, according to multiple GOP campaign strategists. Two strategists familiar with House races said that the pace of announcements is on par with past years, and that more retirements could come after the August recess, when lawmakers have time to deliberate with their families about running for reelection.
Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-South Dakota) – chair of the Main Street Caucus, which bills itself as a bloc of 'pragmatic conservatives' – announced Monday he was running for governor, and Rep. Michael Lawler (R-New York) said he would take more time to consider his own gubernatorial bid. Lawler is one of the other House Republicans who represents a district that Trump lost last year.
Several House Republicans who belong to the more moderate wing of the party have privately signaled they are considering stepping aside rather than running in tougher terrain, according to GOP officials with knowledge of the situation, but House GOP campaign strategists think those seats – if left vacant – would easily remain Republican.
In the battle for the Senate, Republicans may now be in for a messy primary in North Carolina, though operatives acknowledge an early Trump endorsement could tamp down infighting. The potential candidates include Lara Trump, the president's daughter-in-law who grew up in Wilmington; Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley, the former head of the North Carolina GOP; and some of the state's House members, such as Reps. Pat Harrigan and Richard Hudson.
'This is all kind of fresh within the past 24 hours for me, really learning that this was a viable option and that Senator Tillis wouldn't be seeking re-election,' Lara Trump said Monday on Fox News Radio. 'So look, I'm considering it.'
On the Democratic side, former Rep. Wiley Nickel is already running, though many Democrats are waiting to see if former Gov. Roy Cooper joins the race.
Some Trump-aligned GOP operatives said there was upside to Tillis's decision, giving the party a fresh opportunity to find a nominee who could better unite Republicans and enter the general election with a stronger hand. But open seats can be risky, and the party has fielded some untested contenders in recent elections who ultimately fell flat.
Tillis's tensions with Trump date to his first term, when the senator initially opposed the president's declaration of a national emergency to build a border wall. He reversed the position days later amid political blowback.
At the start of Trump's second term, Tillis stood out for scrutinizing the background of Pete Hegseth as a choice for defense secretary, though he ultimately voted to confirm him. Tillis openly disagreed with Trump's decision to pardon almost all defendants in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol and later helped sink Trump's nominee to be D.C.'s top prosecutor, Ed Martin, over his positions on Jan. 6.
While House Republicans praised Bacon on Monday, the reaction to Tillis's decision was more muted among Senate Republicans. Sen. Tim Scott (R-South Carolina), the chairman of the Senate GOP campaign arm, did not mention Tillis in a statement expressing confidence the party would keep the seat.
Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Kentucky), the former majority leader who has repeatedly split with Trump over the years, said on X that Tillis's retirement was a 'big setback' for the Senate GOP. Freshman Sen. Jim Banks (R-Indiana), who won his primary last year without opposition after Trump endorsed him, struck a different tone during an appearance on 'Fox And Friends.'
'I would retire too,' Banks said, 'if I voted against this bill.'
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The Diplomat
3 hours ago
- The Diplomat
China Car Crash Plan Targeting Hsiao Bi-khim Shocks Taiwan
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The accusations come at a sensitive time in Taiwan, given the ongoing wave of political recalls targeting all KMT legislators. The recalls – on a scale unprecedented in the history of Taiwanese politics – are a reaction against political actions by the KMT in the past two years. Those actions include passing the largest set of budget cuts in the history of Taiwanese democratic politics, seeking to expand legislative powers to allow for new powers of investigation, and freezing the Constitutional Court to prevent it from making rulings. Given the recall wave, the political dynamics in Taiwan are at present similar to an election year. The first wave of recall voting will take place on July 26. It is possible that news of the plot against Hsiao will have a large impact on the recalls. Other incidents that happened shortly before past elections were thought to have affected the outcome, such as the Chou Tzu-yu incident ahead of the 2016 election that put Tsai Ing-wen into power. For members of the pan-Green camp in Taiwan, Hsiao is a much-beloved figure. Apart from her diplomatic successes in Washington, Hsiao is seen as the spiritual successor to Tsai, and she is touted as a frontrunner for the Democratic Progressive Party's presidential candidate after Lai. Indeed, if it had been a different politician targeted – say, Tsai's first vice president, Chen Chien-jen – there would not have been such a large public response in Taiwan. In turn, Hsiao appears to be an especially hated figure for Beijing. Hsiao is among the 'Taiwanese independence separatists' sanctioned by China and has often been targeted in condemnations. Beijing's special ire against Hsiao may come from her background: she was born in Japan to a Taiwanese and an American, and was educated in the United States. This background has sometimes led pan-Blue political opponents to frame Hsiao as, in fact, fundamentally an American with little stake in Taiwan. 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Many accusations from the pan-Green camp focus on trips to China by KMT caucus leader Fu Kun-chi, who is often seen as the architect of the KMT's actions in the legislature. Fu is accused of acting on Chinese stratagems, as well as receiving kickbacks from China; he is currently under investigation for potentially receiving merchandise from China to use in campaigns. Fu sparked controversy in March for having traveled to Hong Kong to meet with Chinese government officials, while trying to hide his trip through social media posts that showed him in Taiwan. Fu's secret trip was outed by Legislative Yuan President Han Kuo-yu, a fellow member of the KMT, for reasons that are not clear. Fu is also a graduate of Jinan University in Guangzhou, one of the Chinese universities that the Taiwanese Ministry of Education has classified as a United Front-affiliated institution. This in itself has become an object of controversy: some reports state that Fu holds a doctorate from Jinan University, but he has downplayed his time at Jinan University when questioned, claiming to have only spent a few months at the institution. Amid the brewing controversy, which is starting to impact the KMT, it remains to be seen how the car crash incident impacts the recalls. Certainly the release of such information by Czech military intelligence could have not have occurred at a worse time for the KMT.


The Diplomat
3 hours ago
- The Diplomat
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With participation from the United States, India, Japan, and Australia, the meeting reaffirmed the Quad's collective commitment to a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific amid intensifying geopolitical challenges. Condemnation of Pahalgam Terror Attack One of the key highlights of this meeting was the categorical condemnation of the brutal terror attack in Pahalgam, in the Indian territory of Jammu and Kashmir. India blamed Pakistan for involvement in the attack, culminating in a brief conflict between the two nations in May 2025. The Quad nations sent a strong message on the Pahalgam attack: 'We call for the perpetrators, organizers, and financiers of this reprehensible act to be brought to justice without any delay and urge all U.N. Member States… to cooperate actively with all relevant authorities in this regard.' They further emphasized: 'The Quad unequivocally condemns all acts of terrorism and violent extremism in all its forms and manifestations, including cross-border terrorism, and renews our commitment to counterterrorism cooperation.' This marked a clear signal of solidarity with India and reflected a growing strategic convergence on counterterrorism within the Indo-Pacific context. Beyond counterterrorism, the Quad reaffirmed its broader strategic agenda — encompassing maritime and transnational security, economic prosperity, critical and emerging technologies, and humanitarian assistance. The group seeks to evolve into more than a diplomatic forum. As Rubio pointed out, the Quad must become a 'vehicle for action,' with trade and commercial ties playing a pivotal role in ensuring its long-term relevance. Quad Critical Minerals Initiative The highlight of the latest Quad Foreign Ministers' Meeting was the launch of the Quad Critical Minerals Initiative – a major geoeconomic move aimed at reducing dependency on China's near-monopoly over rare earth elements and mineral processing. While the joint statement avoided directly naming China, it clearly conveyed the coalition's worry: 'We are deeply concerned about the abrupt constriction and future reliability of key supply chains, specifically for critical minerals… The use of non-market policies and practices for critical minerals, derivative products, and mineral processing technology undermines global supply chains.' The joint statement added: 'Reliance on any one country for processing and refining exposes our industries to economic coercion, price manipulation, and supply chain disruptions.' These declarations underscore the Quad's recognition that the primary challenge posed by China is geoeconomic. Beijing's dominance over mineral supply chains, global trade networks, and strategic manufacturing has enabled it to cultivate economic dependencies across continents – from East Asia to Africa and beyond. These dependencies have become instruments of political coercion. Countries that challenge China's positions on issues such as the South China Sea, human rights, or Taiwan often face subtle, targeted economic retaliation. Unlike formal U.S. sanctions, China's coercive actions are typically informal, embedded within global value chains, and difficult to counter. Even the United States, despite imposing tariffs and pledging to decouple from China, ultimately signed a trade deal with Beijing due to pressure from domestic industries and consumer markets. This episode exposed the limits of strategic autonomy in the face of deep economic interdependence and highlighted how dependency can undermine geopolitical leverage. 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Without aligning its South Asia and Indo-Pacific policies, the U.S. risks promoting a fragmented vision that falls short of being a true Indo-Pacific strategy. If the goal is to empower India to become a net security provider and strengthen its position to counterbalance China, then Washington must support the development of India's strategic capabilities and its interests in the region – even if that includes some strategic accommodation (such as accepting India's defense ties with Russia) or flexible trade arrangements. Failing to do so reduces the coherence of the Quad response to what is, fundamentally, a holistic Chinese challenge spanning military, economic, and diplomatic domains. A fragmented approach will not suffice against such an integrated threat. Conclusion The recent Quad meeting reaffirmed a commitment to a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific, while highlighting the centrality of ASEAN. Yet, statements alone are not enough. 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Nikkei Asia
5 hours ago
- Nikkei Asia
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