Orioles at Rangers Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 1
The Orioles picked up the win in game one of the series 10-6. That win snapped a two-game losing streak against the Rangers. It was a game where Gunnar Henderson went 2-5 with a home run and four RBI.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Orioles at Rangers
Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
Time: 8:05PM EST
Site: Globe Life Field
City: Arlington, TX
Network/Streaming: Rangers Sports Network, Victory+, MASN, MASN+
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Odds for the Orioles at the Rangers
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: Orioles (+165), Rangers (-200)
Spread: Rangers -1.5
Total: 7.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Orioles at Rangers
Pitching matchup for July 1, 2025: Brandon Young vs. Jacob deGrom
Orioles: Brandon Young, (0-2, 7.11 ERA)
Last outing (Texas Rangers, 6/25): 4.0 Innings Pitched, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 StrikeoutsRangers : Jacob deGrom, (8-2, 2.08 ERA)
Last outing (Baltimore Orioles, 6/25): 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 1 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 7 Strikeouts
Orioles: Brandon Young, (0-2, 7.11 ERA)
Last outing (Texas Rangers, 6/25): 4.0 Innings Pitched, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Rangers : Jacob deGrom, (8-2, 2.08 ERA)
Last outing (Baltimore Orioles, 6/25): 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 1 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 7 Strikeouts
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Orioles at Rangers
Betting the Rangers on the Money Line is up 1.86 units when Jacob deGrom starts at home on the mound
In his last 5 starts on the mound the Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom has an ERA of 1.79
The Rangers have covered in 5 of their last 7 games with Jacob deGrom on the mound
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Orioles and the Rangers
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Orioles and the Rangers:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Texas Rangers on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Baltimore Orioles at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC
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No flirting with perfection for deGrom against O's this time. Just another solid start for Texas ace
Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom throws a pitch to the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, July 1, 2025, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom throws a pitch to the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, July 1, 2025, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom throws a pitch to the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, July 1, 2025, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) — There was no flirting with perfection this time for Texas Rangers ace Jacob deGrom against the Orioles. Just another impressive start for the two-time Cy Young Award winner in his comeback from elbow surgery. DeGrom struck out six on Tuesday night and limited the Orioles to two runs over six innings, on a homer by Gary Sánchez that just cleared the wall. The 37-year-old right-hander departed with a 7-2 lead, six days after he was perfect through six innings and took a no-hitter into the eighth in Baltimore. Advertisement It was the 17th start this season for deGrom, and the 14th in a row he worked at least five innings while also allowing two runs or fewer. That extended his franchise record, and is the longest streak in the majors this season. Baltimore had a runner early this time, when Ryan O'Hearn drew a leadoff walk in the second inning. Cedric Mullins led off the third with a bunt single, though he was then thrown out trying to steal second base. Sanchez hit a two-run homer with two outs in the fourth. The 381-foot shot barely got over the wall in left, and came one pitch after his foul pop that dropped just beyond the extended reach of first baseman Josh Smith into the Rangers dugout. After missing most of his first two seasons with the Rangers because of his second Tommy John surgery, deGrom has thrown 101 1/3 innings this year, his first time over 100 in a season since he threw 204 in 2019 — when he won his second consecutive National League Cy Young while with the New York Mets. Advertisement He threw only 41 innings combined in nine starts the past two seasons after signing his $185 million, five-year contract with Texas in free agency. Texas won all six starts deGrom made in his Texas debut before the end of April in 2023 before surgery, then he rehabbed most of last year before a 1.69 ERA and 14 strikeouts over 10 2/3 innings in three September starts. DeGrom made 12 starts during the COVID-19-shortened 60-game season in 2020, and had career-low 1.08 ERA over 92 innings in 2021 before missing the final three months with right forearm tightness and a sprained elbow. He was shut down late during spring training in 2022 because of a stress reaction in his right scapula, then went 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA in 11 starts the last two months of that season before becoming a free agent. ___ AP MLB:
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