LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions
LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions
The LA Dodgers (40-27) and the San Diego Padres (37-28) play the middle contest of a 3-game series at Petco Park in San Diego Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0
The Dodgers picked up a wild 8-7 victory in 10 innings in Monday's series opener at Petco Park, cashing as -121 favorites with the Over (8) hitting in the third inning. Neither of the starting pitchers had much to offer as Dodgers RHP Dustin May was trampled for 6 runs (5 earned) on 6 hits and 4 walks in just 5 innings, while Padres RHP Nick Pivetta was shelled for 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings.
It was a game for the offenses. Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman went 3-for-5 with a double, 2 runs and an RBI, C Will Smith (1-for-4) had a 2-run HR and 3 RBIs, and OF Andy Pages (2-for-5, RBI) and 2B Tommy Edman (2-for-5, RBI) each knocked in runs in LA's go-ahead 10th inning.
Padres LF Tyler Wade (1-for-1) turned a 2-run deficit into a 6-5 lead with a 3-run triple in the bottom of the third, while 3B Manny Machado stayed hot with a 2-for-5 performance with an RBI double. CF Jackson Merrill finished 1-for-3 with 2 RBIs.
The Dodgers have won 2 in a row, re-discovering their offense. After scoring just 1 run in the first 2 games of their weekend series at St. Louis, they've cobbled together 15 runs in the past 2 games, helping the Over cash in both outings.
The Padres' 7 runs were the most they've scored in their last 11 games. However, the 8 runs allowed are also the most the pitching staff had surrendered in the last 11 games. Monday's Over snapped a 4-game Under run for San Diego.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Dylan Cease
The Dodgers haven't announced a starter at the time of this publishing.
Cease (1-5, 4.72 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 68 2/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-2 setback at San Francisco Giants Thursday
2025 home stats: 1-2, 3.66 ERA (32 IP, 13 ER), 5 HR, 1.34 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 6 starts
2024 vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-0, 3.38 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 6 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-1, 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 4 starts
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Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Dodgers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
: Dodgers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Dodgers -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-200)
: Dodgers -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-200) Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 4
The DODGERS (+100) are worth a look at even-money at home.
I just don't trust Cease, who is 1-5 this season ... and that win was against a Cleveland Guardians team he knows well from his days with the Chicago White Sox. Plus, that lone victory came way back on April 2 in his second start of the season.
While Los Angeles is having a bullpen day, it has a respectable relief corps with a 3.88 ERA, according to MLB.com.
The Padres +1.5 (-200) will cost 2 times the potential return. That's too much risk just for a little bit of insurance. It might make you feel better to side with the home team since it named a projected starting pitcher, while there is uncertainty with who will lead off on the mound for the visitors. But, Cease is anything but a sure-fire option.
AVOID.
OVER 8 (+100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
We had an unexpected Over result in the series opener. In fact, it was an old-fashioned slugfest at Petco Park, a venue which usually doesn't see a ton of shootouts -- the Under is 18-12-1 there this season. With a bullpen game for LA, and a so-so Cease on the other side, we could get some big production, especially early on.
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