ESPN FPI gives Michigan State near zero percent chance of reaching College Football Playoff
ESPN FPI gives Michigan State near zero percent chance of reaching College Football Playoff
Each P4 Team's Chance to Make CFP 🏈
(via ESPN FPI) pic.twitter.com/CxLPNXWr25 — CFB Tracker (@MatchupTracker) June 6, 2025
Michigan State football has been given a near zero percent chance of reaching the College Football Playoff in 2025 by one metric system.
While the betting odds are posted at +1800 for Michigan State to make the 2025 College Football Playoff (which isn't as high as I personally would have thought), ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) is giving the Spartans essentially no chance of reaching the playoff. ESPN's FPI rating system gives the Spartans a 1% chance of reaching the College Football Playoff this year -- which is one of the lowest of all the power four teams.
Per ESPN's FPI, these are the only power four teams with a lower percentage to reach the College Football Playoff:
Oklahoma State (0.9%)
Vanderbilt (0.9%)
West Virginia (0.8%)
Mississippi State (0.7%)
Arizona (0.5%)
Stanford (0.5%)
Syracuse (0.5%)
Houston (0.3%)
Northwestern (0%)
Purdue (0%)
Wake Forest (0%)
FPI is a predictive rating system used by ESPN to measure and project the strength of college football teams. These ratings take a lot of things into consideration and can help predict how things will play out this fall.
While I'm not expecting a College Football Playoff run for the Spartans in 2025, I would personally give them a much higher chance than 1% of making it happen. I wrote recently how there is a path for the Spartans to be this year's Indiana and reach the College Football Playoff, and I simply wouldn't have written that article if I thought it was a 1% chance of happening. So with all due respect to ESPN's FPI ratings, I'm going to pass on these odds and give the Spartans more of a fighting chance of shocking the college football world in 2025.
Contact/Follow us @The SpartansWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Michigan State news, notes and opinion. You can also follow Robert Bondy on X @RobertBondy5.
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