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Market Focus Daily: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Market Focus Daily: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Business Times6 days ago

Weak demand, high yields for Japan's 40-year-bonds; US solar makers see tariff loophole for Asian competitors; Two in five businesses in Singapore expect economy to worsen in the year ahead.
Synopsis: Market Focus Daily is a closing bell roundup by The Business Times that looks at the day's market movements and news from Singapore and the region.
Written and hosted by: Emily Liu (emilyliu@sph.com.sg)
Produced and edited by: Chai Pei Chieh & Claressa Monteiro
Produced by: BT Podcasts, The Business Times, SPH Media
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S'pore's investment in Changi Airport Terminal 5 coming at the right time, says Iata chief
S'pore's investment in Changi Airport Terminal 5 coming at the right time, says Iata chief

Straits Times

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S'pore's investment in Changi Airport Terminal 5 coming at the right time, says Iata chief

Expected to cost billions to build, T5 is designed to handle about 50 million passengers a year when it opens in the mid-2030s. PHOTO: CHANGI AIRPORT GROUP S'pore's investment in Changi Airport Terminal 5 coming at the right time, says Iata chief – Singapore is making the investment to construct Changi Airport Terminal 5 (T5) at the right time, as South-east Asia is set to be among the fastest growing aviation markets in the world, said the head of the global trade body for airlines. 'It's a very sensible development,' International Air Transport Association (Iata) director-general Willie Walsh told reporters on June 3, during a roundtable for Asian media at the association's annual meeting in New Delhi. 'It will be important to ensure that the capacity is available ahead of the demand, especially for an airport like Singapore, which prides itself in terms of the standard of service that it provides to airline customers and to airlines themselves,' Mr Walsh said. 'South-east Asia is the part of the world where we'll probably see the strongest growth, going forward,' he added, noting the rapid pace of growth in India and China as well. Expected to cost billions to build, T5 is designed to handle about 50 million passengers a year when it opens in the mid-2030s. This will allow Changi Airport to handle 140 million passengers yearly, up from 90 million today. Mr Walsh, an industry veteran who was chief executive of British Airways, said Iata supports the development of the new mega terminal in Singapore, noting that the association has been in close dialogue with the airport operator and the Government about it. He lamented the fact that many other airports around the world do not fully understand the needs of airlines, which leads to developments that are not appropriate or more expensive than needed. Responding to a question about taxation in India, he said airlines will always have an issue with airport charges. 'The view of airlines is we want efficient airport operations at a cost-effective price, and that means we want to see airports make sensible long-term investments that can be afforded by the industry,' Mr Walsh said. 'It clearly requires more dialogue between airlines and airports, and where we see airlines and airports working together, it's incredibly effective,' he added. Asked about Singapore's plans to consolidate the operations of national carrier Singapore Airlines and its budget arm Scoot at T5, and whether there is a need to ensure fairness for other carriers, Mr Walsh said this happens at any other major air hub. 'For a hub airport to be successful, it requires the hub airport infrastructure, but also the hub airline... If you've got the major hub operator, you've got to have facilities that work for them,' he added. Given the growth that is expected in the wider Asian region, Mr Walsh said there is also sufficient demand to support the emergence of new regional hubs, in addition to the existing ones. 'The critical issue is you have to have the network,' he said, in response to a question about Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport's aspirations to be a hub in East Asia. 'What you often get with these airports is you get a lot of services, but not necessarily connected,' Mr Walsh added. At an earlier press conference on June 3, Indigo chief executive Pieter Elbers pointed to increased connectivity between India and South-east Asia as a driver of new traffic and opportunities. He said India is functioning, to some extent, as a growth engine for South-east Asia, and Indigo, a low cost-carrier and India's largest airline, has added a lot of new flights to the region, to 'enormous response' from both markets. 'We see a lot of new traffic developing between India and South-east Asia – to Thailand to Malaysia to Singapore,' said Mr Elbers. 'So the growth in India is not only domestic growth, it is also regional growth.' Join ST's WhatsApp Channel and get the latest news and must-reads.

Strong bidding for Lakeside Drive site amid uncertain economic outlook seen as vote of confidence
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Strong bidding for Lakeside Drive site amid uncertain economic outlook seen as vote of confidence

The Lakesite Drive site drew a top bid of $608 million from two subsidiaries of City Developments. PHOTO: LIANHE ZAOBAO SINGAPORE - The state tender for a plot of residential land at Lakeside Drive near the Jurong Lake District closed on June 3 with six bids, in what analysts say is a vote of confidence by developers in private housing demand, especially at sites in established housing estates and near MRT stations. The Government Land Sales (GLS) site, which is expected to offer 575 units and 1,000 sq m of commercial space, drew a top bid of $608 million from two subsidiaries of City Developments. This translates to a land rate of $1,132 psf ppr (per square foot per plot ratio). The strong interest from developers for the Lakeside Drive plot comes after a Media Circle (Parcel B) site drew no bids on April 29 and a Lentor Gardens site drew a mere two bids on April 3. 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Mr Lam, who was former head of research and consulting at Edmund Tie, pointed out that the Government took a similar approach in 2008 and 2009 during the global financial crisis. He added that during the pandemic, GLS sites were launched as scheduled in 2020, but the average tender period (from tender launch to tender close) was noticeably longer compared with that in the pre-pandemic years. This timeframe was about 4.5 months for GLS sites launched from 2020 to 2022, compared with 2.7 months from 2017 to 2019. 'The policy intent of the extended tender periods was to grant developers more leeway to assess market conditions,' Mr Lam said. Will the Government adopt similar measures with the GLS programme this time? Analysts believe an outright suspension of the GLS programme is unlikely because the authorities will likely have to continue to prime sites for new homes, due to the need to supply land to meet housing demand. Furthermore, domestic demand for new non-landed homes continues to be supported for now. On the private property front, housing supply from the GLS programme will be raised to 8,505 units in the first half of 2025, up from 8,140 units in the second half of 2024. PropNex chief executive officer Ismail Gafoor pointed out that the unsold stock of uncompleted private homes, excluding executive condominiums, is much lower now than in previous crises – so there is much less risk of the market crashing because of an oversupply. There were 18,125 such units in the first quarter of 2025, compared with 29,149 units in first quarter 2020 when the pandemic struck, and around 43,000 units in 2008 during the global financial crisis, he said. In the case of Media Circle Parcel B, while this was the second time in about a year where no bids were received for a GLS site, analysts said this could be attributed to site-specific factors including a lack of HDB upgraders and amenities near the site in the one-North precinct. The lacklustre launch in April of the nearby Bloomsbury Residences was also a signal to developers of softer housing demand. However, the better-than-expected bidding interest for the Lakeside Drive site indicates that developers may be saving their bullets for more choice sites. These include those in new housing precincts in Bukit Timah Turf City and the former Keppel Golf Course; Chuan Grove and a mixed-use site in Hougang Central, both of which are close to an MRT station. Developers favoured sites like Lakeside Drive for its ready pool of HDB upgraders from nearby Bukit Batok, Jurong East and West housing estates, and proximity to a substantial industrial employment zone in Boon Lay, Jurong, Pioneer and Tuas. That said, analysts point out that healthy housing demand is contingent on there not being significant job losses and that household balance sheets remain strong. Mr Edwin Loo, real estate consultancy Cistri's associate director, said: 'If current events end up being a trigger for slower income growth and job creation, we can expect demand for private housing to begin to soften gradually.' In such a scenario, he pointed out that buyers who are on the cusp of affording private property are likely to 'act conservatively and opt for the HDB resale market, rather than the lower rungs of the private housing market'. Mr Loo, a former urban planning team lead at the Urban Redevelopment Authority, also said the tariff-related economic instability would affect 'project feasibility assumptions made by private residential developers, especially around potential sale prices, interest rates, and development costs'. He added that he believes the Government is likely 'actively considering a range of economic scenarios' and evaluating how they would impact household incomes, household formation and demand for housing across various price points across the public and private market. Whether that will lead to more state land being alloted for public housing and executive condominiums would bear watching. Join ST's WhatsApp Channel and get the latest news and must-reads.

Singapore stocks climb on the prospects of Trump-Xi talks this week; STI up 0.1%
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