Will Hurricane Erin hit the UK?
What impact will ex-hurricane Erin have?
Hurricane Erin has strengthened to a Category 4 hurricane as it threatens to bring life-threatening surf and rip currents to the eastern coast of the United States.However, the effects of Erin are not due to be felt in the UK's weather until next week, as Simon King explains:"Into next week the weather will eventually turn a little more unsettled with the remnants of what will be ex-hurricane Erin.While Erin is still over 3,000 miles away from the UK, it will eventually weaken as it moves across the North Atlantic and arrive to the west of the UK as an area of low pressure – a process we often see in the UK from mid-August as the hurricane season starts to pick up.And being over a week away, there are still lots of uncertainties with the forecast, but we could see some wet and at times windy weather from mid-week."
What's the weather looking like this week?
This week high pressure will shift to the north-west of the UK, south of Iceland, and by Friday it will extend a ridge across the UK bringing us settled and mostly dry weather.This will give rise to a north-easterly or northerly air flow and whilst it will be warm for many, this will more likely be in central and western areas of the UK. Low-level moisture will result in areas of low cloud at times across central and eastern parts but the August sunshine will melt this away in the afternoons.On Friday, a shallow area of low pressure is set to develop in northern areas, possibly giving rise to a couple of light showers for some. On the whole it will be a largely dry but rather cloudy day for many on Friday. Some brightness is possible downwind of high ground.There could be a few isolated showers developing in parts of southern Scotland, northern England, and possibly Northern Ireland.There will be a north-easterly breeze in the east but light and variable winds will develop elsewhere as the area of high pressure sinks southwards.Temperatures will widely range from 18-22C, with a few spots in the west Midlands possibly reaching 24C. It will be cooler in the far north-west with a maximum temperature between 16 and 18C but staying cooler along eastern coasts.
How's the weather for the bank holiday?
Into the weekend, some weather fronts may try and push in from the west but are likely to be fairly weak as they bump into high pressure and then fizzle out. It will stay dry for most as high pressure edges eastwards and the winds become variable moving round to a southerly. Temperatures will rise slightly as we lose the north-easterly wind and will be back above average for the time of year for central and southern England. On Saturday and Sunday, central and southern England will be the warmest spots with temperatures between 23 and 25C.
On Saturday northern Scotland will see the lowest temperatures, between 17 to 19C. Elsewhere they will hover in the high teens to low twenties in Celsius.By Sunday, maximum daytime temperatures in northern Scotland will rise to the low twenties, elsewhere it will be a similar story to Saturday. On Bank Holiday Monday all temperatures will be a degree or so higher than the previous days.As the rest of summer plays out, you can keep up to date with your local forecast by downloading the BBC Weather app or going to the BBC website.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
The Independent
19 minutes ago
- The Independent
Forecasters reveal when Hurricane Erin could bring rain to the UK
Hurricane Erin, now a Category 4 storm over the Atlantic, is threatening to bring severe storms and waves to the Caribbean and the US East Coast in the coming days. This hurricane's activity is likely to cause a 'changeable' period of weather in the UK, potentially ending the nation's ongoing dry spell, especially in the North and West. Independent forecasters predict widespread rain could begin to hit the UK from Wednesday, 27 August, with storms stretching across most of the country. The Met Office states the chance of wetter and windier weather developing is 'small' and 'highly uncertain' due to the low-pressure system Erin will send towards the UK. The UK has experienced back-to-back heatwaves this summer, with provisional statistics suggesting it could be the hottest on record, but the current fine weather is expected to be eroded by Erin's influence.
The Independent
an hour ago
- The Independent
Hurricane Erin could bring end to UK dry spell with rain after bank holiday weekend
Nationwide rain could bring an end to the UK's ongoing dry spell in just a few days as Hurricane Erin continues to advance over the Atlantic Ocean. Upgraded to category four on Monday, the hurricane is threatening to bring severe storms and waves to the Caribbean and the east coast of the US in the coming days. This atmospheric activity is likely to bring a 'changeable' period of weather to the UK in the coming days, the Met Office 's long-term forecast said, especially in the North and West. Independent forecasters predicted that countrywide rain could begin to hit the country from Wednesday 27 August, with storms stretching as far as 600 miles as most of the nation is hit. At its heaviest this rain could reach around 5mm an hour, but most regions will see between 0.2 and 3mm. The Met Office said the chance of widely wetter and windier weather like storms developing is 'small', but admits it is 'highly uncertain' at this stage. The cause of the uncertainty is the area of low pressure that Hurricane Erin will send towards the UK from across the Atlantic. This leads to unsettled weather conditions, while high pressure causes settled and fine weather conditions. Brits will likely enjoy fine and dry weather owing to high pressure over the bank holiday, which will be 'increasingly eroded' by the low pressure from the West in the following days, the Met Office said. After Hurricane Erin has travelled northwards, past the eastern side of Canada, 'it's likely to push its way across the Atlantic,' said Alex Burkill from the Met Office. This can 'really play havoc with the forecast confidence for what's going to happen as we go through next week', he added. Forecasts are likely to become clearer in the coming days. The UK has seen back-to-back heatwaves this summer, as European nations across the continent also grapple with high heat. In the coming week, dry weather is set to continue for most of the UK following last week's high heats. Parts of the country could see temperatures reach 27C on Monday and Tuesday. A northeasterly breeze means northern and eastern parts of the UK will be cooler on these days, reaching the low 20s. The continued dry spell comes after officials warned England was suffering from 'nationally significant' water shortfalls, despite rain in July. Sunday's highest temperature was 27.7C in Somerset, while West Sussex and Inverness in Scotland also reached 27C.
Daily Mail
an hour ago
- Daily Mail
Hurricane Erin's path revealed in spaghetti models
A State of Emergency has been declared in parts of North Carolina as Hurricane Erin approaches, bringing life-threatening surf and dangerous rip currents. Officials in Dare County, home to more than 38,000 residents, ordered mandatory evacuations beginning at 10am ET on Monday. Beaches along the Outer Banks could see waves reaching 20 feet starting Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center warned. The storm is expected to affect the Tri-State Area from Tuesday through Thursday, particularly along the Jersey Shore and Long Island's South Shore. Coastal communities, including New York City beaches, could face rip currents, high surf with waves up to 12 feet, flooding, beach erosion, and wind gusts of 20 to 40 mph. On Sunday, North Carolina officials ordered evacuations for Hatteras Island, including the unincorporated villages of Rodanthe, Waves, Salvo, Avon, Buxton, Frisco and Hatteras. 'Now is the time to secure property, finalize plans, and evacuate with belongings,' officials wrote on Facebook. 'Please follow instructions from officials and property managers.' A similar situation is unfolding in nearby Hyde County, where officials declared a State of Emergency for Ocracoke Island in anticipation of flooding. Mandatory evacuations began for visitors at 8pm Sunday and are set for residents at 6am Tuesday. Donnie Shumate, Hyde County Public Information Officer, said: 'While Hurricane Erin is expected to stay well off our coast, the system will continue to increase in size and is forecast to bring life-threatening impacts to the Ocracoke coastline and render Highway 12 impassable.' As of around 5am Monday, Erin was about 105 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk Island. The NHC said that Hurricane Erin should make a gradual turn toward the north later Monday and into Tuesday. The Bahamas government issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the central Bahamas, while a Tropical Storm Warning remained in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands and southeast Bahamas. Additional strengthening is forecast for Monday, followed by gradual weakening, though Erin is expected to remain a large, major hurricane into midweek. The NHC noted: 'Even though some weakening is forecast beginning Monday night, Erin will remain a large and dangerous major hurricane through the middle of the week .' Hurricane-force winds extend up to 60 miles from the center, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching outward up to 230 miles. The area of strong winds is expected to expand over the next few days , meaning Erin could impact coastal areas even without making a direct landfall. Erin's outer bands drenched parts of Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands with heavy rain and tropical-storm–force winds on Sunday. The storm knocked out power for roughly 147,000 customers, Luma Energy, the island's power transmission and distribution company, reported. More than 20 flights were canceled due to the severe weather. By Sunday evening, the Coast Guard allowed all ports in Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands to reopen as conditions improved. Rough seas are forecast across parts of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos. Life-threatening surf and dangerous rip currents are expected into midweek for the Bahamas, Bermuda, the US East Coast, and Canada's Atlantic coast as Erin turns north and then northeast.
