MBSB moves towards major funding rebalancing
PETALING JAYA: MBSB Bhd 's financial year 2025 (FY25) and FY26 are seen as a period of transition that involves a major rebalancing of its funding and financing mix to improve asset quality, says RHB Research.
The research house, which had initiated coverage on the stock, noted that the transition would take time to kick in.
MBSB continued to hold on to excess capital, which its management intended to utilise for growth while maintaining attractive dividend payouts.
Under its Flight26 strategy, the company plans to achieve an 8% return on equity (ROE) by FY26.
'This is premised on a stronger earnings profile from a better funding mix (allowing the group to underwrite better-quality financing without sacrificing net interest margin), enhanced fee income and treasury gains, and operating expenditure discipline,' the research house added.
The FY26 target implied a doubling of ROE from the 4% achieved in FY24, albeit below the sector average of about 11%.
MBSB commands the highest Common Equity Tier-1 ratio in the sector at 19.4%, with room for further uplift given its sector-high risk-weighted assets density of 74% versus comparable peers' at 55% to 65%.
RHB Research said this allowed the group to aim for above-industry financing growth – Flight26 target: FY24-FY26 compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% – while still preserving capital for consistent and attractive dividend payouts.
However, MBSB asset quality metrics lagged that of its peers, it pointed out.
MBSB's gross impaired financing (GIF) ratio in 1Q25 stood at 5.5%, well above the 0.5% to 2.2% range of its peers.
'We understand that a significant portion of the group's GIFs come from legacy construction and collateralised personal financing accounts (collectively forming about 30% of total GIFs), but these have a long legal process and recovery period,' it noted.
As 95% of GIFs are collateralised, MBSB management is comfortable with its coverage levels, and no significant top-ups to provision buffers are expected.
That said, management's focus on lowering cost of funds should allow it to better compete for higher-quality financing, which is positive for future GIF formation and credit cost trajectory.
RHB Research projected a 14% FY24-FY27 net profit CAGR, premised on operating income CAGR of 9% from both net financing and non-financing income, positive jaws underpinned by cost discipline and credit costs of 30 basis points (bps) to 35 bps.
'Our earnings forecasts generate an FY26 ROE of 5.4%, which is short of management's 8% target. We also assume a 70% dividend payout ratio versus management's circa 90% informal guidance, which translates to attractive FY25-FY26 yields of 6% to 7%, offering downside support,' it said.
It has a 'neutral' call on the stock with a target price of 67 sen per share.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
The Star
2 hours ago
- The Star
Data centres to drive demand for industrial property
RHB Research said interest in industrial property would also be driven by the prolonged US-China trade war. PETALING JAYA: Foreign interest in data centre investments in Malaysia remains strong, which will result in industrial property continuing to be a major investment theme, says RHB Research. The research house said interest in industrial property would also be driven by the prolonged US-China trade war. 'The performance of the property sector has been rather flat in the first two months of this year, given the market volatility arising from global concerns over US trade policies and the more recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 'However, the fundamental demand for property has not changed significantly, in our view. 'The prolonged US-China trade war should continue to encourage investments into South-East Asia, and DayOne Data Centers Singapore Pte Ltd recently secured RM15bilin new debt funding for its data centre operations in Malaysia. This indicates the industrial segment should continue to drive the growth of the sector,' the research house added. Headquartered in Singapore, DayOne is a global leader in digital infrastructure, with a growing footprint across tier-one and emerging markets, including Singapore, Johor, Batam in Indonesia, Greater Bangkok, Hong Kong, Tokyo and beyond. The research house said it also expects the impact of the expanded sales and service tax (SST) to be manageable for the property segment. 'The exemption of the SST for serviced apartments built on commercial titles is a relief for industry players. The government recently clarified that this segment is now exempted from the SST, as long as the units are intended for residential use and fall under the purview of the Housing Development Act. 'In addition, essential construction materials such as cement, aggregate and sand are still subjected to a 0% tax. As such, only part of the construction component will be subject to the 6% tax, and this will only affect the industrial and commercial property segments,' RHB Research added.
BusinessToday
15 hours ago
- BusinessToday
MBSB's Road To Recovery
RHB Investment Bank Bhd (RHB Research) has initiated coverage on Malaysia Building Society Bhd (MBSB) with a NEUTRAL call and a target price of RM0.67, implying a slight downside of 2% from its current market price of RM0.68. The research house noted that while the stock offers a dividend yield of approximately 6% for FY25, the group remains in a transitional phase, aiming to rebalance its funding and financing mix to lift asset quality and earnings over the next two years. According to RHB Research, MBSB is currently executing its 'Flight26' strategy, which targets an 8% return on equity (ROE) by FY26. This will be driven by a combination of improved funding costs, better-quality loan underwriting, treasury gains, and enhanced operational efficiency. However, with ROE at just 4% in FY24, the research house believes the path to recovery will take time and expects ROE to reach only 5.4% by FY26, still below the banking sector's average of around 11%. On capital strength, the house highlighted that MBSB has the highest common equity tier-1 (CET-1) ratio among its peers at 19.4%. This positions the group favourably to pursue growth while maintaining attractive dividend payouts. The bank is also targeting a financing growth compound annual rate of 8% from FY24 to FY26, above industry average. RHB Research assumes a 70% dividend payout ratio, below MBSB's informal guidance of around 90%, but this still results in strong projected yields of 6–7% over FY25–26, which should lend support to the share price. However, the report also flagged concerns around asset quality. MBSB's gross impaired financing (GIF) ratio stood at 5.5% in 1Q25, significantly higher than the 0.5–2.2% range reported by other Islamic banks. Much of these impaired loans stem from legacy construction and personal financing segments. The house noted that around 95% of GIFs are collateralised, reducing the likelihood of substantial provisioning top-ups, but added that recoveries may take time due to protracted legal proceedings. From a valuation perspective, RHB Research applied a Gordon Growth Model-derived price-to-book value of 0.54 times, including a 2% premium for environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations, giving rise to the fair value of RM0.67. While recognising MBSB as a potential Shariah-compliant alternative in the financial sector, RHB Research cautioned that the group's earnings turnaround and asset quality improvements remain key watch points. The stock, which is trading near its 52-week low of RM0.63, has fallen 24% over the past year. Overall, the investment bank believes MBSB presents a capital-rich yet operationally cautious profile, well-suited for yield-focused investors but requiring more time to prove its strategic execution. Related
The Star
15 hours ago
- The Star
MBSB moves towards major funding rebalancing
PETALING JAYA: MBSB Bhd 's financial year 2025 (FY25) and FY26 are seen as a period of transition that involves a major rebalancing of its funding and financing mix to improve asset quality, says RHB Research. The research house, which had initiated coverage on the stock, noted that the transition would take time to kick in. MBSB continued to hold on to excess capital, which its management intended to utilise for growth while maintaining attractive dividend payouts. Under its Flight26 strategy, the company plans to achieve an 8% return on equity (ROE) by FY26. 'This is premised on a stronger earnings profile from a better funding mix (allowing the group to underwrite better-quality financing without sacrificing net interest margin), enhanced fee income and treasury gains, and operating expenditure discipline,' the research house added. The FY26 target implied a doubling of ROE from the 4% achieved in FY24, albeit below the sector average of about 11%. MBSB commands the highest Common Equity Tier-1 ratio in the sector at 19.4%, with room for further uplift given its sector-high risk-weighted assets density of 74% versus comparable peers' at 55% to 65%. RHB Research said this allowed the group to aim for above-industry financing growth – Flight26 target: FY24-FY26 compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% – while still preserving capital for consistent and attractive dividend payouts. However, MBSB asset quality metrics lagged that of its peers, it pointed out. MBSB's gross impaired financing (GIF) ratio in 1Q25 stood at 5.5%, well above the 0.5% to 2.2% range of its peers. 'We understand that a significant portion of the group's GIFs come from legacy construction and collateralised personal financing accounts (collectively forming about 30% of total GIFs), but these have a long legal process and recovery period,' it noted. As 95% of GIFs are collateralised, MBSB management is comfortable with its coverage levels, and no significant top-ups to provision buffers are expected. That said, management's focus on lowering cost of funds should allow it to better compete for higher-quality financing, which is positive for future GIF formation and credit cost trajectory. RHB Research projected a 14% FY24-FY27 net profit CAGR, premised on operating income CAGR of 9% from both net financing and non-financing income, positive jaws underpinned by cost discipline and credit costs of 30 basis points (bps) to 35 bps. 'Our earnings forecasts generate an FY26 ROE of 5.4%, which is short of management's 8% target. We also assume a 70% dividend payout ratio versus management's circa 90% informal guidance, which translates to attractive FY25-FY26 yields of 6% to 7%, offering downside support,' it said. It has a 'neutral' call on the stock with a target price of 67 sen per share.
