Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions
Season series: Astros lead 2-1
Houston embarks on a Detroit-Baltimore road trip after a 3-3 home stand ending with a 12-0 loss to the Orioles Sunday. The Astros coughed up 6 runs or more in 4 of their 6 games in the Aug. 11-17 stand. Houston leads the AL West, but the Astros are well under .500 since early July. They are 14-20 across their last 34 games.
Detroit is back in the Motor City after a 7-2 road swing that ended with a Sunday loss at the Minnesota Twins. Sunday's setback snapped a 4-game win streak for the AL Central leaders.
Astros at Tigers projected starters
RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Arrighetti (1-3, 6.38 ERA) is making his fifth start. He has logged a 1.47 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 18 1/3 innings.
Flaherty (6-12, 4.76 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 124 2/3 innings.
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Astros at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.
Astros at Tigers picks and predictions
Tigers 4, Astros 3
Moneyline
The Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 series openers.
Detroit is the side that has been in better form of late. Arrighetti is making his third start off the IL after missing much of the season with a thumb fracture. He was not sharp across several rehab efforts in the minors and is coming off a clunker in his last start at the Major League level. Arrighetti is backed by a Houston bullpen which has struggled its way to a 6.12 ERA this month.
Flaherty figures as better than what shows in his surface line, and he has a nice history against Houston. Per ESPN, current Astros batters own an aggregate .686 OPS against him. Flaherty owns a 3.79 ERA at Comerica vs. a 6.08 ERA elsewhere.
TAKE THE TIGERS (-155).
Run line/Against the spread
No interest. PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 3-1-1 across Detroit's last 5 games.
The analytics present mixed signals here, but with Flaherty's overall prognosis, the Astro offense struggling of late (.678 OPS since July 22), and an inward breeze in the Comerica weather forecast (with fly-ballers on the mound), the UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a partial-unit lean.
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