
Bank of America double upgrades this little-known eye care stock poised to pop 40%
National Vision is looking to a strong second half of the year, according to Bank of America. Analyst Robert Ohmes double upgraded shares to buy from underperform on Wednesday, citing "multiple signs" that the eyewear company's strategic initiatives improving results. Ohmes' new price target of $22 per share, up from $13, implies the stock might soar 41% compared to Wednesday's close. National VIsion benefited from better pricing and employee recruitment in its latest quarter, according to Ohmes. Customer traffic turned positive last quarter and appears to be continuing. Among the catalysts: "New advertising, a widening selection of $99+ eyeglass frames (including Ted Baker, GX by Gwen Stefani and a Ray Ban pilot) and the rollout of a new [customer relations management software] system that will support improved marketing," Ohmes wrote in the 7-page report. Moreover, the company is "well positioned" to withstand the effect of higher tariffs, the analyst said. National Vision guided toward a headwind of $10 million to $15 million in additional product costs for 2025. Wall Street analysts estimate National Vision's 2025 revenue will total $1.93 billion, FactSet says. "Importantly, less than 10% of EYE's [cost of goods sold] is exposed to China and pricing actions that began in 4Q have supported increased ticket without degradation in conversion or net promoter scores, implying room to mitigate tariffs," Ohmes said. —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

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Product mix modernization: The company began introducing more branded and higher-priced frames, including launches of L.A.M.B. and Ted Baker eyewear. Management noted that after the second quarter, the proportion of frames priced above $99 will double compared to the end of last year, aiming to attract a broader customer base and enhance the in-store experience. Digital and remote exam adoption: Approximately two-thirds of stores now offer remote eye exams, allowing more efficient use of optometrist resources and helping ensure broad store coverage. This technology is now embedded in operations, and management expects further efficiency gains over time. Leadership transition and new hires: The company announced a planned CEO succession, with Alex Wilkes set to take over from Reade Fahs. Other recent leadership additions include CFO Chris Laden and new executives with backgrounds in retail and healthcare, supporting the transformation agenda and operational execution. National Vision's outlook is shaped by continued transformation initiatives, evolving customer preferences, and the need to manage external cost pressures such as tariffs. Enhancing customer experience: Management is rolling out new digital selling tools, improving CRM systems, and personalizing marketing to better engage higher-value customer segments. These investments are intended to drive sales growth and foster customer loyalty as the market becomes more competitive. Tariff mitigation and cost control: The company is preparing for potential increases in tariffs on imported frames, with less than 10% of its cost of goods exposed to China. Management believes that pricing actions and ongoing cost reduction efforts can offset these headwinds, but notes the situation is fluid and not yet fully reflected in guidance. Store optimization and product innovation: Efforts to optimize store formats, test smaller locations, and introduce new branded products are expected to broaden the customer base and improve store economics. National Vision is also investing in associate training and evolving its assortment to support higher average ticket values and margin resilience. In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the impact of ongoing product launches and pricing actions on average ticket values and customer mix, (2) execution of digital marketing and CRM enhancements to drive personalized engagement, and (3) the company's ability to manage cost pressures, particularly if tariffs on imported frames increase. Progress on store optimization and expansion will also be important signposts. National Vision currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34.8×. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it's free). 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