logo
Approval of Egypt's IMF programme review faces possible delay, sources say

Approval of Egypt's IMF programme review faces possible delay, sources say

Reuters01-07-2025
CAIRO, July 1 (Reuters) - The IMF may merge its fifth and sixth reviews of Egypt's $8 billion support programme because of slow progress on structural reforms, possibly delaying a new disbursement by half a year, three people with knowledge of discussions said on Tuesday.
The International Monetary Fund approved its fourth review of the programme in March, unlocking a disbursement of $1.2 billion. An IMF team arrived in Egypt in May to begin the fifth review but has yet to signal its approval, the sources said.
The 46-month facility was first signed in March of 2024 following more than a year of severe foreign currency shortages and inflation that peaked at 38% in September 2023.
The IMF has so far paid out about $3.5 billion under the fund, according to Reuters calculations.
However, it has been displeased with Egypt's slow progress on structural reforms that are the centrepiece of the facility, including the divestment of state assets, one of the sources said. Egypt failed to reach half of its structural benchmarks in its last two reviews, the first source added.
Financial reforms have progressed relatively smoothly.
A finance ministry spokesperson had no immediate comment. The central bank did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
A delay in the fifth review would result in the programme being stalled until after the summer, with the next board meeting likely in December at the earliest.
The IMF has yet to publish a staff report from the fourth review. Egypt asked for a delay to give it time to release details of measures to widen the tax base, the first source said.
On Sunday, parliament approved expanding value-added tax, which will mean higher taxes on construction and contracting services, crude oil, cigarettes and alcohol.
That could trigger the release of the IMF staff report, the first source said.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation down to 13.9% in July, CAPMAS says
Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation down to 13.9% in July, CAPMAS says

Reuters

time5 hours ago

  • Reuters

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation down to 13.9% in July, CAPMAS says

CAIRO, Aug 10 (Reuters) - Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation dropped to 13.9% in July from 14.9% in June, data from statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Sunday. Urban food and beverage prices were down 3% overall compared to June 2025 but rose by 3.4% against July 2024. Urban inflation on a monthly basis inched down in July by 0.5% compared to June, as meat and poultry prices were down by 4.9%, fruits by 11% and vegetables by 7%, while the prices of bread and cereals were up by 0.4% and seafood by 0.2%. Egypt's annual inflation has plunged from a record high of 38% in September 2023, helped by an $8 billion financial support package agreed with the International Monetary Fund in March 2024.

Enjoy summer while you can – Rachel Reeves is already planning an autumn income tax rise
Enjoy summer while you can – Rachel Reeves is already planning an autumn income tax rise

The Independent

timea day ago

  • The Independent

Enjoy summer while you can – Rachel Reeves is already planning an autumn income tax rise

Not for the first time, nor the last, the cry goes up: who would be Rachel Reeves? Most inside the Westminster bubble are able to enjoy a summer break. But the chancellor and her Treasury colleagues face weeks of agonising as to what lies ahead. Come autumn, she must attend the Labour conference, make her set-piece speech and do rounds of interviews. There is the IMF gathering at which the world's other financiers opine and mark her homework to date. Then there is the Budget. What Reeves must confront is the knowledge that 'faster and further' economic growth is not yielding immediate dividends, if indeed it is happening at all; she will insist it is, but the figures say different. Meanwhile, the fiscal black hole she pointed to as not her fault is actually getting bigger and she can no longer seriously maintain this is entirely due to the Tories. Not after more than a year in office. A £25bn deficit could rise to near £50bn if the National Institute of Economic and Social Research is to be believed. Significantly, few apart from those in her own team have questioned this figure. Why? Because borrowing has climbed higher than expected and the promised kickstart has not materialised. Britain's economy is sluggish, inflation has not gone away and unemployment is a worry, and the fears are real even in sectors once relatively immune – in retail and hospitality, but also in graduate posts. When parents rise up because their sons and daughters cannot secure jobs, Reeves's headache will get a whole lot worse. A lethal combination of global economic uncertainty, investment decisions on hold, and the looming presence of AI, is having a severely detrimental effect. She has to plug the black hole, but how? In theory, there are three tools she can use, in any combination, but somehow Reeves must reach that £50bn number. In practice, one avenue is already closed; she cannot borrow any more. Neither, as she is Labour, can she slash public services; austerity was what a Tory predecessor did, it is not for her. So, there's only one remaining and that is to raise taxes. Reeves can increase a bit here and chip away there. That's all it will be: tinkering. It won't fill the divide. They all add up, but levies on the ill-health and wellbeing products of tobacco and alcohol (and get ready for the howls from beleaguered pub landlords) and gambling will not make anything like enough difference. She will steer clear of clobbering business; one hit was sufficient (National Insurance Contributions) and she cannot return for more, it would blow apart her growth agenda and send a terrible signal to potential international investors. A wealth tax, advocated by the left, may well be ruled out for the same reason. As will a windfall tax on banking profits that would antagonise a City that Labour went to great lengths to woo. No, it's down to VAT, employees' national insurance, and income tax. Labour has said it will never raise taxes on 'working people' but that is what these are. Reeves herself has said she won't but, realistically, does she have a choice? VAT is regressive; the rate does not increase the wealthier you are. That leaves employees' national insurance and income tax. National insurance is capped so in that sense it is also regressive. The fairest option and the most attractive in terms of how much it will raise, is income tax. It is simply understood, easily collected and applies right across the wealth spectrum; there are few ifs and buts with income tax. It is harder to avoid. But if ever there was a tax on working people, it is this one – billed as such on every payslip. In a strange way, that might make it more appealing. Any other duty is divisive, a section of society can claim with justification they have been singled out, they will be worse off than others. Income tax is definably progressive. But it is also the most direct, the biggest, state charge on a workers' earnings. Making it bigger leaves Reeves and the government open to charges of rank betrayal, of going back on a pledge often and loudly made. It's Labour punishing the workers, the working-class, its bedrock support. Light the touch paper and run. What is likely, therefore, is the almightiest of political spin operations as this unpalatable step – the one they said they would never take, that is guaranteed to inflame their supporters, that will inspire their opponents – is explained. It may be billed as a one-off, aimed at saving public services, not to be repeated, the solution to a national emergency. We will start to know for sure when the holiday season ends, the machine gears up again and the softening up begins for what is coming. Some may be lying on the beach on their towels; if Reeves is at home, with her head inside a towel, no one should be surprised.

Brazil economy starting to see impact of high rates, official says
Brazil economy starting to see impact of high rates, official says

Reuters

time2 days ago

  • Reuters

Brazil economy starting to see impact of high rates, official says

SAO PAULO, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Brazil's government believes the economy is starting to feel the effects of high interest rates and will closely monitor data to see if those impacts are "wider than initially expected," Economic Policy Secretary Guilherme Mello said on Friday. Brazil's central bank last week held its benchmark rate at 15%, the highest in almost two decades, pausing an aggressive tightening cycle after seven consecutive hikes aimed at fighting sticky inflation, which should cool down economic activity. "Monetary policy is having the expected impact, perhaps even sooner than expected," Mello told an event hosted by news outlet JOTA, though adding the government for now continues to see growth this year close to 2.5%.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store