
RBNZ Signals Further Rate Cuts to Revive Flagging Economy
The Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee lowered the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 3% Wednesday in Wellington, as expected by 22 of 23 economists in a Bloomberg survey. The RBNZ's new forecasts indicate a reasonable chance of two more 25-point cuts, even as the bank raised its projections for inflation.
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Yahoo
25 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Tariff, Inflation Fears Led Fed To Avoid Rate Cut In July, Meeting Minutes Show
Key Takeaways Members of the Federal Open Market Committee considered inflation driven by tariffs to be a bigger threat to the economy than joblessness, according to minutes of a July meeting released Wednesday. Tariff-related inflation concerns dominated the discussion before the FOMC's decision to keep the central bank's key interest rate steady. The thinking of FOMC members may have shifted after a shocking decline in job creation was reported days later. Behind closed doors, officials at the Federal Reserve said much the same as they've said in public: that concerns over tariffs stoking inflation led them to keep the central bank's interest rate flat in July instead of cutting it. That's according to minutes of the July meeting released Wednesday. The minutes showed members of the central bank's policy committee were divided over whether inflation or joblessness is the biggest threat to the minutes shed some light on how Fed officials are thinking about how they should use monetary policy to pursue their "dual mandate" of keeping inflation low and employment high. The minutes echoed public statements Fed officials have made recently, but are outdated since they were made before the surprise slowdown in the job market was revealed in an Aug. 1 hiring of tariffs dominated the discussion. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee debated how much the tariffs are likely to push up prices, how long it will take for those price hikes to make their way through supply chains to store shelves, and whether those higher prices will set off a self-reinforcing cycle of price hikes and wage increases."With regard to the outlook for inflation, participants generally expected inflation to increase in the near term," the minutes said. "Participants judged that considerable uncertainty remained about the timing, magnitude, and persistence of the effects of this year's increase in tariffs."At several points, the minutes referred to "a couple" of committee members who argued that the weakening job market was more worrisome than tariff-driven inflation. Although the meeting minutes did not name names, that could reference Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, who voted for a rate cut but were outnumbered."Most participants judged the upside risk to inflation as the greater of these two risks, while several participants viewed the two risks as roughly balanced, and a couple of participants considered downside risk to employment as the more salient risk," Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a commentary. "It's unclear if the July employment report and the revisions to prior months, released after the July meeting, alter some views of the balance of risks."Financial markets currently are pricing in about an 81% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September to bolster the job market, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data. Read the original article on Investopedia Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


Forbes
25 minutes ago
- Forbes
Why Is The Stock Market Down Today? How Beginners Can Turn Red Days Into Gains
Editorial Note: We earn a commission from partner links on Forbes Advisor. Commissions do not affect our editors' opinions or evaluations. With inflation eating into your savings, relying solely on your nine-to-five paycheck might not be enough. This is where investing comes in. The stock market is in the red again, with major indexes wobbling on renewed concerns about economic growth and interest rate policy. For many long-term investors, days like this feel unsettling. But for beginners just starting out, the question is different: Is a market dip the right moment to get in? The short answer: It can be, if you approach it with the right mindset and tools. When markets fall, many people instinctively want to run. Losses dominate headlines, and even seasoned investors feel anxious watching red tickers scroll across the screen. But history suggests that downturns can present opportunities to those willing to buy and hold. When the market takes a hit, the price of stocks, ETFs and index funds often drop too, creating a chance for new investors to get in at a discount. ETFs are collections of stocks, bonds and other securities that trade like a single asset, and index funds track major benchmarks like the S&P 500. Buying during a dip can mean more shares for your money—much like grabbing a favorite item on sale—and could pay off over the long run. The key is your time spent in the market. If you invest money you won't need for at least five to 10 years, a temporary downturn is unlikely to derail your long-term gains. But if you need quick returns, short-term volatility can sting. If you're nervous about putting a lump sum into the market during a slide, there's a well-tested strategy: dollar-cost averaging. That means investing a set amount of money consistently, regardless of market conditions. Over time, this approach helps smooth out the impacts of market swings. When prices are high, your set investment buys fewer shares. When prices are low, you get more for the same dollar amount, resulting in less pressure to 'time' the market perfectly. If you're new to investing, stocks, ETFs and mutual funds can feel confusing. Online brokers make the process easier—they give you access to the market and tools to help you learn as you go. With an online broker, you can buy and sell investments from your phone or computer without needing to meet a financial advisor in person. Many platforms also offer helpful guides, videos and tutorials, so you can learn the ropes while you start investing. Here are some noteworthy options if you're searching for an online broker for beginners. Before you jump in, a few fundamentals matter more than today's market headlines: Build your emergency fund first. Aim to keep three to six months' worth of expenses in a savings account before committing extra cash to stocks. That way, you won't need to sell investments in a downturn to cover bills. Aim to keep three to six months' worth of expenses in a savings account before committing extra cash to stocks. That way, you won't need to sell investments in a downturn to cover bills. Focus on diversification. Rather than betting on one or two companies, reduce your risk by spreading your money across index funds or ETFs that track the broader market. Rather than betting on one or two companies, reduce your risk by spreading your money across index funds or ETFs that track the broader market. Invest, don't trade. New investors sometimes confuse investing with short-term trading. Long-term wealth is built through patience, not daily buying and selling. New investors sometimes confuse investing with short-term trading. Long-term wealth is built through patience, not daily buying and selling. Use tax-advantaged accounts. Accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s can help maximize your returns through tax breaks. It's impossible to know for certain whether today's drop is the beginning of a larger downturn or just a temporary dip. But history shows markets have consistently trended upward over long horizons. The S&P 500, for instance, has weathered wars, recessions, inflation spikes and tech busts—yet long-term investors who stayed the course were rewarded. That's why successful beginners focus less on the question 'Is now the bottom?' and more about 'How consistently can I invest over time?' A market downturn can feel intimidating, but it also gives new investors a chance to buy in at lower prices. By focusing on diversification, using dollar-cost averaging and choosing the right online broker, beginners can turn today's red screens into tomorrow's growth. Don't try to outguess the market. Instead, play the long game—because in investing, time in the market almost always beats timing the market.


Bloomberg
28 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
TJ Maxx Shares Hit Record
Off-price retailer TJX Cos. raised its full-year earnings per share outlook after better-than-expected results, a sign that shoppers wary of economic uncertainty are turning to discounters. Barclays Capital Senior Retail Analyst Adrienne Yih has more on the story. (Source: Bloomberg)