BOJ to consider revising up inflation forecast at July meeting, sources say
But the central bank is seen roughly maintaining its inflation forecasts for fiscal 2026 and 2027, the sources said, signaling a pause in interest rate hikes as it awaits more clarity on how U.S. tariffs could affect the economy.
"Recent inflation data has been fairly strong particularly due to the rising cost of rice, which is pushing up other prices such as those for dine-outs," one of the sources said.
"Consumer inflation is overshooting the BOJ's forecasts somewhat," another source said. "But underlying inflation remains short of 2 per cent," the source said, a view echoed by another source. The sources spoke on condition of anonymity as they were not authorised to speak publicly.
The new projections will be announced after the BOJ's next policy meeting on July 30-31, when the board will conduct a quarterly review of its growth and inflation forecasts.
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