
USD on a weaker trajectory through the second half of this year: Investment strategist
Thomas Rupf, Chief Investment Officer, Asia at VP Bank Singapore, explains why he expects more funds to switch out of the greenback and into the Euro.
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CNA
an hour ago
- CNA
Global airlines trim 2025 profit forecast over trade tensions and supply woes
NEW DELHI :Global airlines shaved a key forecast for 2025 industry-wide profits on Monday, blaming trade tensions and declining consumer confidence, while hitting out at "unacceptable" delays in jetliner deliveries that have hindered their growth plans. The IATA industry body now expects global airlines to post a combined profit of $36.0 billion this year, down slightly from a previous forecast of $36.6 billion in December, before U.S. President Donald Trump took office. He has since launched a trade war and tightened enforcement of U.S. border controls. But airline profits are still set to rise from $32.4 billion last year, helped by lower oil prices and record passenger numbers. The International Air Transport Association issued the widely watched forecasts, which give clues to the wider economy, at an annual meeting of its more than 300 member airlines in New Delhi. "Earning a $36 billion profit is significant. But that equates to just $7.20 per passenger per segment," IATA Director General Willie Walsh said in a statement. That is a thin buffer against any future demand shocks or taxes as the industry returns to a more normal regime after a sharp bounceback in air travel from the pandemic, he said. Strong employment and easing inflation are expected to push revenues up 1.3 per cent compared to last year. But airlines will have to wait a little longer to hit the $1 trillion mark after IATA trimmed its prior forecast for industry-wide revenues by 2.1 per cent to $979 billion, which would still be an all-time record. Trump's sweeping tariffs have stoked fears of an economic slowdown and squeezed discretionary spending, prompting many consumers especially in the United States to delay or scale back travel plans. Meanwhile, aircraft delivery delays have hampered airlines' ability to meet soaring travel demand in certain regions, while driving up operating costs as carriers are forced to keep older jets in service or pay more for the dwindling number of available spare parts. "It's been something that has frustrated everybody, particularly airlines who are waiting to take delivery of aircraft or have aircraft sitting on the ground that they'd love to see in service,' Walsh told Reuters in an interview. In a statement on the new outlook, Walsh called predictions of delays throughout this decade "off-the-chart unacceptable". Total expenses for the industry are forecast to reach $913 billion in 2025, up 1.0 per cent from 2024 but below earlier projections of $940 billion, as lower fuel prices help offset rising aircraft maintenance costs. IATA predicted that cargo revenues would drop 4.7 per cent to $142 billion in 2025, mainly due to reduced global economic growth and trade-dampening protectionist measures, including tariffs. Amid a tug of war over who should absorb the tariffs, Walsh recognised that some manufacturers would be tempted to pass them on to their customers, but warned this would also push up fares.


CNA
2 hours ago
- CNA
Citi names Bank of America veteran Zhang as new China country head
HONG KONG: Citigroup said on Monday (Jun 2) it had appointed Wenjie Zhang as its new country officer and banking head for China, after the exit of its former China head in November. Zhang was also named president and executive director of Citibank China, the company said in a statement. The appointment is subject to regulatory approvals. He will act as the lead Citi representative and as its single, coordinated face in the mainland China market, the company said, leading the team and fostering strong regulatory relationships and risk controls. He will fill the role after former Citi China head Luke Lu left in November for personal reasons. Zhang will join Citi in July and will be based in Shanghai, reporting to Marc Luet, Citi's Head of Japan, Asia North and Australia and Banking, the bank said. A seasoned banker with 30 years of experience in corporate and institutional banking, Zhang was most recently the president of China and Shanghai branch manager for Bank of America China, according to Citi's statement. Prior to that, he was co-head of global banking and executive vice president at HSBC China, after stints at JPMorgan, Citi and Credit Agricole CIB. Citi is cutting up to 200 information technology (IT) contractor roles in China, two people familiar told Reuters last month, as the bank looks to hire its own staff globally for such operations to improve risk management and data governance. Citi, which already has a banking business in China, is in the process of setting up a securities unit in the country.


CNA
2 hours ago
- CNA
BOJ sets aside maximum provision of losses for bond transactions
The Bank of Japan has set aside the maximum provision for losses on bond transactions, a spokesperson for the central bank said on Monday. The level of the provision for possible losses on bond transactions was 100 per cent for fiscal 2024, the spokesperson said in an emailed response to Reuters. The moves come as the Japanese central bank faces mounting pressure to keep hiking borrowing costs, after it kept short-term interest rates steady in its May meeting. The BOJ has usually kept a target of provision for losses on bond transactions around 50 per cent of gains or losses from the transactions. The Nikkei first reported BOJ setting aside maximum provision for losses on bond transactions earlier on Monday.