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Gold inches higher as dollar softens, focus shifts to US economic data

Gold inches higher as dollar softens, focus shifts to US economic data

Time of India5 hours ago

Gold prices
nudged higher on Thursday, supported by a softer dollar, as investors looked ahead to upcoming U.S. economic data for hints on the Federal Reserve's potential direction on interest rates.
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Spot gold
was up 0.1% at $3,334.80 per ounce, as of 0007 GMT. * U.S. gold futures rose 0.2% to $3,348.70.
* The dollar was down 0.2% against its rivals, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for overseas buyers.
* U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he would likely seek a commitment from Iran to end its nuclear ambitions at talks next week and credited U.S. strikes on Iran with bringing a swift end to the war between Israel and Tehran.
Live Events
* Anxious Iranians and Israelis sought to resume normal life after 12 days of the most intense confrontation between the two longtime foes, following a ceasefire that took effect on Tuesday.
* Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told a U.S. Senate panel on Wednesday that while Trump's tariffs may cause a one-time price hike, the risk of persistent inflation is significant enough for the central bank to be cautious about further rate cuts.
* Markets are awaiting
U.S. GDP data
due later in the day and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data on Friday. * Investors are currently anticipating 64 basis points worth of Fed rate cuts by the end of this year.
* Bullion tends to do well during periods of uncertainty and in a low-interest-rate environment.
* Spot silver was steady at $36.33 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.9% to $1,366.28, while palladium was up 1.3% at $1,071.40. DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 1230 US Durable Goods May 1230 US GDP Final Q1 1230 US Initial Jobless Clm 21 June, w/e 1430 US EIA-Nat Gas Chg Bcf, Nat Gas-EIA Implied Flow 20 June.

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Why Spain is the only country to reject Nato's 5% defence target
Why Spain is the only country to reject Nato's 5% defence target

First Post

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Why Spain is the only country to reject Nato's 5% defence target

Spain has refused to endorse Nato's new five per cent GDP defence spending target, citing economic strain and social welfare priorities. The decision drew sharp criticism from US President Donald Trump, who vowed to make Spain 'pay twice as much' in trade negotiations read more The Nato summit in The Hague concluded with a sweeping shift in its defence posture: a new target for member countries to spend 5 per cent of their gross domestic product (GDP) on defence by 2035. Billed as a 'historic' and 'transformational' moment by some leaders, the announcement was positioned as a bold response to mounting global threats, particularly from Russia. But while most Nato members agreed to the goal, one country — Spain — publicly refused to endorse the spending benchmark, citing economic and political concerns. The move sparked strong criticism from US President Donald Trump. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD What the 5% Nato target entails The new defence spending goal significantly overhauls Nato's financial commitments. Until now, the alliance had set a benchmark of 2 per cent of GDP for defence spending — a target many members struggled to meet. But with the war in Ukraine ongoing and Russia continuing to be perceived as a long-term threat to Euro-Atlantic security, Nato members are now aiming to more than double that figure over the next decade. According to the declaration adopted by the 32-member bloc, the 5 per cent spending target consists of two key components. First, at least 3.5 per cent of GDP is to be dedicated to core military requirements — encompassing troop readiness, equipment procurement, operational deployments and enhanced capability development. Second, an additional 1.5 per cent is to be spent on infrastructure upgrades such as ports, roads, bridges and airfields that facilitate military logistics, as well as cyber defences, innovation in the defence industrial base and national resilience initiatives. For the first time, spending on weapons and ammunition provided to Ukraine will count toward the target, easing the transition for countries already contributing significantly to Kyiv's war effort. The implementation of the goal is scheduled to be gradual. Allies are expected to submit annual plans detailing a realistic and incremental path t o meeting the 5 per cent mark by 2035. These plans will be evaluated, with a major collective review of progress scheduled for 2029 — a year after the next US presidential election. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Nato leadership has underlined that the target reflects a recognition of the 'persistent threat' posed by terrorism as well, and the need for sustained preparedness across the board. Why Spain refused to meet Nato defence spending target Spain stood out as the only Nato member to explicitly reject the 5 per cent target. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said that Madrid would not increase defence expenditure beyond 2.1 per cent of GDP, calling that level 'sufficient, realistic and compatible with the welfare state.' Speaking ahead of the summit, Sánchez argued that surpassing this level would require unacceptable sacrifices to other national priorities such as public welfare, environmental sustainability, and international development commitments. In a letter published by El País, Sánchez elaborated that meeting the 5 per cent target would force the Spanish government to increase taxes on the middle class, reduce spending on green transition initiatives and curtail its foreign aid obligations. He also warned that it would necessitate immediate off-the-shelf purchases from foreign suppliers, undermining Spain's domestic defence industry and its goal of fostering indigenous military capabilities. 'It is the legitimate right of every government to decide whether or not they are willing to make those sacrifices,' Sánchez wrote. Spain's governing Socialist Party is in coalition with the left-wing Sumar alliance, which has publicly opposed higher defence spending. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD According to Politico, members of the coalition were expected to attend a counter-summit advocating for peace, which was organised in parallel with the Nato meeting. Despite its refusal to adopt the new spending target, Spain has reiterated its commitment to the alliance's broader strategic objectives. Sánchez stated that Spain would fully meet Nato's capability targets, which include specific military performance and readiness benchmarks agreed upon among allies. Echoing this position, Spanish Economy Minister Carlos Cuerpo said in a Bloomberg TV interview: 'Spain will be a responsible ally.' He added, 'No repercussions should derive from making good on our commitments and from being a reliable Nato ally, covering for the capabilities that we did commit to and that are necessary to defend Nato from the different threats that have been identified by experts.' How Trump responded to Spain's stance Trump claimed credit for securing the broader Nato agreement and used the opportunity to publicly shame Madrid for its dissent. Speaking at a press conference at the summit, Trump said: 'I think Spain is terrible, what they've done,' and accused the country of attempting to 'get a little bit of a free ride.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD US President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference, at the Nato summit in The Hague, Netherlands, June 25, 2025. File Image/Reuters The US president went further, threatening to impose retaliatory measures through trade negotiations. 'We're negotiating with Spain on a trade deal. We're going to make them pay twice as much — and I'm actually serious about that,' Trump said. 'You're the only country that is not paying. I don't know what the problem is.' Trump continued: 'You know they are doing very well. The economy is [doing] very well. And that economy could be blown right out of the water with something bad happening.' He added, 'They want a little bit of a free ride, but they will have to pay it back to us on trade because I am not going to let that happen. 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Karnataka cuts proposed excise license fee hike to 50%
Karnataka cuts proposed excise license fee hike to 50%

Time of India

time44 minutes ago

  • Time of India

Karnataka cuts proposed excise license fee hike to 50%

The Siddaramaiah-led Karnataka government on Thursday rolled back its earlier plan to double the excise license renewal fees and instead increased them by 50 per cent, following intense opposition from liquor sellers. The decision comes after several representatives, including the Karnataka Liquor Sellers' Association members, met with Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and urged the government to reconsider the hike. They had requested a more moderate increase of 20 to 25 per cent. After reviewing the objections, the state government issued a fresh order implementing a 50 per cent increase instead. Additionally, the government also announced that the license renewal period has been extended from one year to five years, offering long-term relief to industry stakeholders. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like War Thunder - Register now for free and play against over 75 Million real Players War Thunder Play Now Undo The revised rates will come into effect from July 1. What will be the new renewal fees? The new renewal fees vary depending on the population size of the area. For metropolitan corporations with a population over 20 lakh, the annual renewal fee has been set at Rs 9 lakh. In other metropolitan areas, the fee is Rs 7.5 lakh. Live Events Municipal corporations will pay Rs 6.75 lakh, while towns, municipalities, and town panchayats will pay Rs 6 lakh. The fee structure in other areas will be determined based on local population figures. The government has also increased fees for all other types of excise licenses, a move that is expected to generate an additional Rs 300 crore in annual revenue. Notably, this is the first hike in excise license fees since 2016. Although proposals to increase the fees had been brought up multiple times in the past nine years, they were repeatedly postponed due to protests by liquor sellers. The state government also released new annual license fees for various categories: Distillery and Brewery: Rs 1,50,000 per annum, Craft Brewery: Rs 25,000 per annum, Fortified Wine Production: Rs 25,000 per annum, Distillery and Warehouse: Rs 67 lakh per annum and Bar Charter at International Airports: Rs 18.75 lakh per annum. As the new excise year is set to begin on July 1, over 13,000 license holders across Karnataka will have to renew their licenses at the updated rates. Beer sales lose fizz The beer industry has urged the Karnataka government not to go for any further tax increase as it may lead to reduced sales volumes in the state and put investment of over Rs 5,000 crore in breweries at risk. Frequent increases in taxes in Karnataka in recent times have affected growth from the beer industry and have also brought down tax revenues, the Brewers' Association of India (BAI) said in a letter to the state government. Taxes on beer have been increased three times in the last 18 months -- in July 2023, February 2024, and January 2025, and as a result, the growth in sales of beer in the state, which has always been healthy, has "slumped to stagnation", it said. In February last year, Karnataka increased the additional excise duty on beer from 185 per cent to 195 per cent. Later in January 2025, the excise duty was increased Rs 10 per bulk litre, or Rs 78 per case, on most of the beer sold in the state. Moreover, it will also force consumers to shift to cheaper options, leading to a revenue loss for the government. According to BAI, Karnataka has been a favoured investment destination for the beer industry, where its members have invested Rs 3,500 crore so far. There are over 10 breweries in the state -- the highest for any state in India.

Gold price today: MCX gold rate rises above ₹97,500 per 10 grams on weak US dollar; silver gains 0.5%
Gold price today: MCX gold rate rises above ₹97,500 per 10 grams on weak US dollar; silver gains 0.5%

Mint

timean hour ago

  • Mint

Gold price today: MCX gold rate rises above ₹97,500 per 10 grams on weak US dollar; silver gains 0.5%

Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) rose on Thursday, tracking a rally in global bullion prices on a weaker US dollar. Silver prices also moved in tandem, gaining nearly half a per cent. MCX gold rate opened higher at ₹ 97,600 per 10 grams as against its previous close of ₹ 97,357. Silver price kicked off the trade at ₹ 1,06,405 per kg as compared to the previous close of ₹ 1,05,980. At 9:15 am, the gold price was trading at ₹ 97,462 per 10 grams, up by ₹ 105, or 0.11%, while the MCX silver price was up by ₹ 510, or 0.48%, at ₹ 1,06,490 per kg. In the previous session, MCX gold prices ended 0.38% higher, while MCX silver prices rose 0.11%. Gold prices gained in the international market as the US dollar slumped on growing uncertainty after reports suggested that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell as early as September or October, raising concerns over the future independence of the US central bank. This boosted the demand for safe-haven bullion. Spot gold price was up 0.2% at $3,339.20 per ounce, while US gold futures gained 0.3% to $3,353.10. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $36.36 per ounce. The dollar fell to its lowest level since March 2022, making greenback-priced gold less expensive for overseas buyers. 'Gold prices found support as the dollar index dropped to its lowest in over three years, driven by weak US consumer confidence data and recession concerns. Meanwhile, increased NATO defence budgets and ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions added to the bullish undertone. However, de-escalation in the Middle East continues to limit the upside in bullion,' said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd. Donald Trump called Powell 'terrible' and said he is considering three or four potential candidates to lead the central bank. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, Trump is even weighing the possibility of naming Powell's potential successor as early as September or October. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell told a US Senate panel on Wednesday that while Trump's tariffs may cause a one-time price hike, the risk of persistent inflation is significant enough for the central bank to be cautious about further rate cuts. 'Fed Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, saying the Fed can manage tariff-related inflation but is not yet ready to cut rates, despite political pressure. Meanwhile, while the ceasefire between Iran and Israel appeared to be holding, concerns lingered over its durability,' said Jigar Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst at Reliance Securities. Bullion tends to do well during periods of uncertainty and in a low-interest-rate environment. Investors will now watch out for US GDP data due later in the day, while also keeping a watch for data on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday. According to Rahul Kalantri, gold prices have support at $3,310-3,287, while resistance is at $3,360-3,375. Silver price has support at $36.00-35.70, while resistance is at $36.55-36.75. 'MCX gold price has support at ₹ 96,950 - ₹ 96,680, while resistance is seen at ₹ 97,850 - ₹ 98,200. Silver price has support at ₹ 1,05,380 - ₹ 1,04,600, while resistance is at ₹ 1,06,950 - ₹ 1,07,800,' Kalantri said. Jigar Trivedi believes MCX gold August futures may appreciate to ₹ 97,800 per 10 grams, with support seen around the ₹ 97,000 level.

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